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Fangraphs: Evaluating the Prospects


weams

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http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/evaluating-the-prospects-baltimore-orioles/

Something that came up on every call with an Orioles official was their internal prospect list. Most teams I've talked to don't have a consensus list; maybe a list a couple people in the office maintain with agreed-upon tiers of players, but not one that the whole organization refers to. Others in the org maintain their own lists as well. At one point or another, this master list was referenced enough that I saw some trends where the Orioles own list would diverge from my own.

They skewed high for the near big league ready players, with down list players like Dariel Alvarez and Henry Urrutia much higher than I have them and thus some lower level players like Stephen Tarpley lower than I have them. As you would expect, they also have some information a typical scout may not have, regarding injuries and progress in private workouts, so some players with subpar 2014 season are higher than I have them, like Urrutia, Michael Almanzar and Josh Hart. Other than those two main differences, our lists ended up being pretty similar, with only a handful of players we disagreed on that didn't fall into one of those two groups.

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The Orioles have a specific "money ball" theory it seems in which they value a player skewed more to a " what can you do for me right now" kind of thing. Its all about squeezing value from every angle possible to help the big club. So, maybe a guy like Alvarez we see as a mid tier at best prospect based on his floor and ceiling, the front office sees more in the light of a guy who potentially could provide us 1 win. To a team who has a very limited budget, 1 win above replacement level for league minimum is quite valuable.

Of course i could just be reading a little to deeply into the article!

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