Stan "The Fan" Charles: Failing To Re-Sign Chris Davis Could Set Orioles Back For Years

[El Gordo]

I agree for a .250 ish hitter (on a solid year) with 30 Hrs and 100 RBIs - those are worse than Bautista numbers who signed 5 years at $64 million. And who knows he could revert back to 2014 numbers which are pretty bad for $70 million.

I think the market is much better for those kind of numbers today. And even if he reverts to 2014 form he still would have been a 30 HR 90 RBI guy without the suspension. If that's the worst case scenario for him I think he gets paid.

[Aristotelian]

Chris Davis is an impact player and his production wouldn't be easy for the O's thin farm system to replace in the short-term, but...

... lets not get carried away here. He isn't a mega franchise definining superstar like Machado. He's basically Ryan Howard.

Exactly. If we "fail" to sign CD, we can always revisit the decision and fill the hole with another player through trade or free agency. This would set us back a year or two.

If we sign CD for 10/$250M and he starts to decline, we are locked into the 2014 version of CD for 10 years. Now that would really set back the organization for years to come.

[mdbdotcom]

I could see him siging something like this:

6/100 with two vesting options.

1. 16.5

2. 16.5

3. 17

4. 17

5. 16.5

6. 16.5

O1 - 16

O2 - 15

Potentially, that's $131mm over 8 years, finishing after his age 37 season.

[AlbionHero]

Between 2012-2015, Davis is #1 in the majors in home runs and #3 in RBIs. Man is gonna get paid.

[Mayor McCheese]

Chris Davis is an impact player and his production wouldn't be easy for the O's thin farm system to replace in the short-term, but...

... lets not get carried away here. He isn't a mega franchise definining superstar like Machado. He's basically Ryan Howard.

So are you saying we should trade for Ryan Howard instead of signing CD?

[weams]

Stan prepare for the setbacks.

[MDK02]

How bad are we going to be next year? 70 wins?

[Three Run Homer]

I agree that extending Machado is the most important offseason priority.

But if this franchise wants to be a consistent winner, it's either going to have to develop a much more productive farm system or it's going to have to pay market value for a good player sooner or later.

[Dipper9]

If we have to open up the vault, I'd rather get Machado locked up long term first. Then extend Jones for a few more years. He took a team friendly deal once. Now let's reward him with a few more years of guaranteed money. Keep that man happy.

If we did those two things and didn't re-sign any our FA's, I'd be thrilled about this upcoming offseason.

No...failing to extend Machado this off-season could set the Orioles back for years.

Jones is signed through 2018 and Manny 2019 I believe. They are not priorities this offseason. Not sure why everyone keeps saying they are?

[mcgraw238]

Listening o DuqXM today it doesn't sound like there is much enthusiasm, in the organization for signing him (if Duq in any way is a reflection of the warehouse thinking). He said if Davis' market is in the 70 M range maybe. They seen to think he is too inconsistent to take the risk of a long term big money contract.

I agree with the sentiment that Davis is too inconsistent to lock into LT big money and thus he's gone. I'd probably entertain the $70-$90M range and then wish him well. The key is how the club responds to this loss. I expect we will be hearing how great Christian Walker is and what great strides he has made with the glove.

[Hank Scorpio]

I mean, are we seriously going to even THINK about getting any hopes up on this?

I would hope we are collectively smarter than that.

Ain't happenin'.

[clapdiddy]

How bad are we going to be next year? 70 wins?

Doubtful. I have no doubt that we will be in the AL East race next year.

[SpinJr]

I agree that extending Machado is the most important offseason priority.

But if this franchise wants to be a consistent winner, it's either going to have to develop a much more productive farm system or it's going to have to pay market value for a good player sooner or later.

No truer two thoughts. We can't continue to let guys walk and not replace them with our own cheap home grown talent. Problem is as you said we don't have a productive farm system. We'll just end up wasting money playing inflated FA prices for lesser players because that's the only option we have. I'd be pissed if I'm Jones, Hardy and Machado if we don't sign at least two of our guys.

[SpinJr]

Doubtful. I have no doubt that we will be in the AL East race next year.

Truly? Even with all our FA gone as so many of posters believe? (not saying I agree they're all gonna go)

[BirdinBama]

I think some team will offer CD way big bucks, way more than the Orioles will, and he will be gone. Who will be out there for us to replace CD's homers and rbi's?