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Duquette says signing Davis a priority.

33rdst

By 33rdst
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33rdst All-Star

33rdst

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Some tough questions here. It's hard to know what Chris Davis' performance level will be in 2016, let alone 2020. We don't know how many teams will be pursuing him or how far out they'll be willing to know, so we're guessing what it would take to retain him.

I think it's important to keep in mind that the big question isn't how high to bid to retain Chris Davis, but how to keep this a winning team within the budget constraints (themselves unclear in light of the uncertainty over MASN -- don't want to get started on that), not an easy thing for the Orioles to do. I think DD has been pretty effective in looking at things that way, rather than just trying to collect a bunch of real good layers and then figuring out later what to with them, as some of our competitors have done from time to time.

That was the context for my post a little while ago, pointing out that there is little LH power on this team or in the organization. Replacing Chris Davis isn't like replacing Tommy Hunter. If Davis goes, it's not just a matter of trying to find another first baseman and replacing his WAR. Unless you think there's a different formula for winning at OPACY, you need to add some LH power hitters, or one big-time one. Recent experience convinces me that they're not likely to be found in the dumpsters or bargain basements. To field a winning team without Chris, IMO, the Orioles almost certainly will need to bear premiums/overpayments elsewhere.

Although CD was pretty much in the dumpster when we found him but I get your point. It will be about replacing his production if he goes. How do you replace 40/100. Not with Christian Walker that's for sure.

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weams Hangout Grand Counsel

weams

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I don't think the O's go back to Rasmus after they failed to seal the deal last off season.

I was asked about myself. I have no idea what someone else might do. I was not predicting, I was saying what I would be comfortable with.

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baltfan Hangout Grand Counsel

baltfan

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You gotta think Davis, Upton, Heyward, and Cespedes are all going to get 100 mil plus contracts. I think Davis is the most high risk of the four of not living up to the contract with his streakiness/inconsistency. Bat speed can be a problem for Davis at times and what do we expect to happen as he approaches his mid-30's?

I'm not against signing Davis, but he should only be a fall back option if we aren't able to land Upton or Heyward. If you are going to spend 100 plus mil, better to do it on the safer bet.

I would take Davis over all three. Uptown has been traded three times for a reason. A lot of Heyward's value is his glove. Cespedes has now been traded four times.

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Tx Oriole Hangout Grand Counsel

Tx Oriole

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Machado obviously. I would give him a $300 million contract in a heartbeat. If you look at the top organizations in recent memory, they rarely gave out more than one or two mega contracts. Theo Epstein didn't sign a single player to a $100 million contract until the 2010 off-season when he was with the Red Sox. Matt Holliday is the only mega contract the Cardinals have given out in recent years and he was a much more proven and consistent hitter than Davis was. A smart organization will be prudent about giving out big contracts.

I like Manny. But I would never give any player that kind of

contract. Neither will PA. IMO

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