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Our Luck Ran Out


weams

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http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-orioles-frustrating-season/

It wasn’t supposed to be this way for the Orioles. After a second trip to the postseason in three years, one in which they got about one-sixth of a season from Matt Wieters and half a season from Manny Machado, making the playoffs in back-to-back seasons for the first time since 1996-1997 was the clear goal. It hasn’t happened that way. The team recently dropped six straight, and has dropped eight of their last 10, to give themselves a firm uphill climb toward a wild-card berth.

Perhaps what is most frustrating for the Orioles is that they have significantly outscored all four teams standing with them or in their way of the second wild-card slot:

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Here's the thing, luck is a huge part of baseball. The only way to eliminate the luck is to have a ginormous payroll. It's harder to win over a 162 game schedule than just to get hot and win in the playoffs. I'm cool with not having a huge payroll. But that also means there is going to be variation from year to year. This year we're just on the wrong side.

Still it's not over. Every team fighting for the 2nd WC spot is really flawed. It's really going to come down to who can get hot and win down the stretch. It's going to be an uphill battle for us without the SP's. I just don't see the necessary talent in that dept to go on a long winning streak.

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