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Thoughts about opt-out clauses?


Frobby

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I wasn't aware that there are compensatory draft picks involved with opt-outs... ?

Generally the whole idea just smells a little like lopsiding the risk to me.

He becomes a FA and you make the QO. He declines since the reason he opted out in the first place was to get more money. Since I don't think CD will be productive for more than 4 years, I'd be happy to give him an opt out at 3 years and risk missing out on one more 2015 type year, rather than pay for 3-4 2014 type years.
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No reason you can't slap a QO offer on someone who opts out.

Interesting. Gotcha. I guess that has to do with the QO deadline. As long as the contract sets a deadline for the opt-out which happens to be just prior to the QO deadline, that should work.

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The only argument I've found somewhat convincing as far as being opposed to opt-outs after the third year is if that opt-out is accompanied by many more guaranteed years than you would otherwise have agreed to (especially since the opt-out would come with an overall decrease in cost).

In other words, if you are okay with a 7/140 deal then I don't see an issue with giving out a 7/120 with an opt-out after year 3.

The exception is the rare case where you have someone as a FA at age 26/27. Even then, you are less likely to run into the "bad" scenario where the player is bad and you are on the hook. And if the player is bad, he is still young enough that he can bounce back some so long as it is not injury-related.

Give me a three-year deal any day of the week. I'd be taking on the long term risk anyway, and if the player opts-out I get a pick and can make a new determination as to whether or not I want that player at his advanced age or to go in another direction.

If only we lived in a world where the player and agent would actually give up a year's pay in order to get an opt out.

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