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What is your reaction to the signing and contract of Chris Davis


isestrex

How do you feel about the Chris Davis signing and contract?  

142 members have voted

  1. 1. How do you feel about the Chris Davis signing and contract?

    • Absolutely terrible, I'm completely against it
    • I'm worried but Davis was a priority and at least we have something
    • Still mixed, can't decide
    • I like it a lot but I'm a little concerned about the future
    • Love it, it's not my money

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I will enjoy having the most potent power hitter in the AL on our team for the next few years. I might have personally gone in a different direction, but I say that while guessing what Cespedes and Upton are asking for right now. The length worries me, but you know in the real world, length of contract is part of the give and take necessary to get players to commit to your team during their prime. The deferred helps, too.

My thoughts essentially

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I'm leaning toward not liking it. Manny's extension is going to be more difficult to pull off now. Also it's going to make it difficult to significantly spend elsewhere to improve the team this year and in years to come.

Time will tell. But unless Crush strings together 3 or 4 awesome 6 WAR seasons in a row for us, it's going to feel like an overpay.

I think Manny's extension now gets significantly easier. First off, we now know there isn't a 120M hard cap set by Angelos, he'll bust the budget when he (or Dan or Buck, whatever) sees fit. Secondly, Manny and his agent now see that the Orioles aren't a team hamstrung by their own budgetary constraints, they'll bring back a Davis for a long-term deal on top of Jones extension and Hardy and others. If Manny wants to play in Miami or LA or NYC there's little we can do, but I think this deal shows him the Orioles can be serious about paying up, even overpaying, for good players.

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As for the poll, I voted for the like it a lot/concerned about the future one. This is clearly an overpay based on straight risk/reward, but it's a market-valued overpay. The current value of the contract with deferrals is quite close to where I think Davis should have been valued. You can quibble with whether or not the O's should be paying market rates for a bipolar performer like Davis, but it is a reasonable contract using reasonable assumptions.

He will almost certainly have any number of poor seasons in the deal. Maybe at the tail end, maybe as soon as next year.

And if this ends up as Ryan Howard 2, Electric Boogaloo, well... we knew that was a possibility.

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Net present value $128m per olney

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

That's about right if you apply interest discounts to the entire stream of payments, including deferred. If you don't discount the first seven years, the ones where he's playing under the contract, and discount only the deferred payments, the contract is worth about $141m.

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Glad we got something, but we over paid oh well gald it's PA money. :laughlol:

By year 3 this place will be screaming this contract is all that's wrong with the O's. :P

Here's my biggest question to this contract is there any $$ to extend the one oriole that should REALLY get the big $$ Manny?

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I voted against it. I think it's too much money and am worried about the future

of this team. And what kind of production can the team get from Chris? Be good

for three or four years then tank for the remainder of his contract? Can the FO

still get a COF and pitching? Time will tell I guess. IMO

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As for the poll, I voted for the like it a lot/concerned about the future one. This is clearly an overpay based on straight risk/reward, but it's a market-valued overpay. The current value of the contract with deferrals is quite close to where I think Davis should have been valued. You can quibble with whether or not the O's should be paying market rates for a bipolar performer like Davis, but it is a reasonable contract using reasonable assumptions.

He will almost certainly have any number of poor seasons in the deal. Maybe at the tail end, maybe as soon as next year.

And if this ends up as Ryan Howard 2, Electric Boogaloo, well... we knew that was a possibility.

Nicely stated but what does young Nate think? Is he a stat guru? :scratchchinhmm:

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Appreciate Angelos for trying but it seems like he has directed the course of the off-season and the result is terrible.

I agree. And this probably doesn't bode well for keeping Dan when his contract is up. Some may think this is a good thing, I don't. That might be an interesting poll.

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Not yet. He will be, but not yet. He's just happy that his favorite player will on the team until he gets his driver's license.

LOLZ and at that time he will be telling us (Can o Corn - style) how he hated the contract from the get-go! :mwahaha:

"Roberts did it to himself!" :angry fire:

"Hobgood was never rated that high - I knew it!"

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