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Greg Pappas

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Fairfax Bird Major Leaguer Rising Star

Fairfax Bird

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I may be alone here, but I think Gordon is an extremely high risk. I don't love his swing (though he is raking now). Much like Frazier last year, he has a bit of a metal-bat swing and will need to make some key adjustments to get rid of his hitch in order to thrive at the higher levels of the minors. Is he a good enough athlete to pull it off? Possibly. He's certainly talented. Would I pass on another "safer" pick just because he is a SS? No way. Alvarez, Beckham, Hosmer, Smoak are all a little cleaner, mechanically, and Matusz/Crow -- and I'll even throw Melville in there -- have higher ceilings and fewer "technical" shortcomings.

As always, just my two-cents.

I agree on picking the best possible talent. I just think he may be the best possible talent. Take a look at his Cape Cod stats using a wood bat, pretty darn good.

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Stotle Hangout Grand Counsel

Stotle

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I agree on picking the best possible talent. I just think he may be the best possible talent. Take a look at his Cape Cod stats using a wood bat, pretty darn good.

The issue is with his swing mechanics and how his stroke will hold up against better talent. I'm voting it won't. His back elbow is too high in his load, which creates a "hitch". He either has to drop it before begining through the ball (which he doesn't) or he has to come around it, meaning his hands aren't taking the quickest route to the ball.

I've only watched one game with him (Oregon State earlier in the year), and he homered. It was on a 3-0 pitch, sitting fastball, and the ball was out over the outer half of the plate. I'm being a little bit conservative, but when you have a handful of guys who don't have these red flags, I'd rather spend my top 5 pick on them.

Just my thoughts...

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Greg Pappas Hangout Grand Counsel

Greg Pappas

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Greg,

As a fellow resident of Abingdon, please take that the (near Bel Air) off of your location ID. As far as I'm concerned Bel Air is near Abingdon.

Great insite into the draft. Enjoy your post.:rolleyes:

Thanks, I'll make that adjustment to the location right away. :D

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mapierce AAA

mapierce

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Justin Verlander and the Tigers respectfully disagree...

For now until his arm falls how. He's thrown so many innings already he's bound for an injury in the next year or two. I'm sure the Padres are pissed they took Bush (?) before Verlander.

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Stotle Hangout Grand Counsel

Stotle

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For now until his arm falls how. He's thrown so many innings already he's bound for an injury in the next year or two. I'm sure the Padres are pissed they took Bush (?) before Verlander.

I don't think DET is worried. Further, I can think of 29 other teams that would love to have Verlander.

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clapdiddy Hangout Grand Counsel

clapdiddy

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Wieters and Arietta were both Boras clients. I don't think it will impact BAL one way or the other.

Good point, but those choices were made before MacPhail was in charge.

I'd like to think that it won't have an impact, but I'm not 100% sure that it won't.

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Stotle Hangout Grand Counsel

Stotle

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Good point, but those choices were made before MacPhail was in charge.

I'd like to think that it won't have an impact, but I'm not 100% sure that it won't.

Generally, GMs don't have much input outside of the first round. It's just too difficult for them to know everything they'd need to in order to make informed decisions. That said, AM could very easily have an impact on the first round selection. I'd hope he weighs in, and ultimately defers to Jordan and scouting dept if there is a disagreement.

We'll see! Just no G.Beckham and no Smoak over Alvarez or T. Beckham and I'll be thrilled.

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Stotle Hangout Grand Counsel

Stotle

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Good point, but those choices were made before MacPhail was in charge.

I'd like to think that it won't have an impact, but I'm not 100% sure that it won't.

Generally, GMs don't have much input outside of the first round. It's just too difficult for them to know everything they'd need to in order to make informed decisions. That said, AM could very easily have an impact on the first round selection. I'd hope he weighs in, and ultimately defers to Jordan and scouting dept if there is a disagreement.

We'll see! Just no G.Beckham and no Smoak over Alvarez or T. Beckham and I'll be thrilled.

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