Orioles ESPN Projection: 74 wins

[blid]

http://espn.go.com/chalk/insider/story/_/id/16891504/baltimore-orioles-2016-midseason-betting-report-mlb

Vegas projection: 78.5 wins

My projection: 74 wins

Current record/pace: 51-36 (95-win pace)

The Orioles are on pace to finish with 95 wins, but Peta projects 74.

The Orioles are 51-36 at the moment with 75 games remaining. To finish with only 74 wins, they'd have to go 23-52 the rest of the way. That's a .307 winning percentage, worse than any team in baseball. The Vegas projection isn't really that much better.

The remaining schedule for the Orioles is very difficult. 9 games against Boston, 9 against Toronto, 4 against the Nats, series versus Texas and Houston, and a west coast trip are all ahead of us. Still, though, I'd bet on the Orioles to beat that line.

I don't have ESPN Insider, but people are skeptical about the Orioles, to say the least.

[PaulFolk]

http://espn.go.com/chalk/insider/story/_/id/16891504/baltimore-orioles-2016-midseason-betting-report-mlb

Vegas projection: 78.5 wins

My projection: 74 wins

Current record/pace: 51-36 (95-win pace)

The Orioles are on pace to finish with 95 wins, but Peta projects 74.

The Orioles are 51-36 at the moment with 75 games remaining. To finish with only 74 wins, they'd have to go 23-52 the rest of the way. That's a .307 winning percentage, worse than any team in baseball. The Vegas projection isn't really that much better.

The remaining schedule for the Orioles is very difficult. 9 games against Boston, 9 against Toronto, 4 against the Nats, series versus Texas and Houston, and a west coast trip are all ahead of us. Still, though, I'd bet on the Orioles to beat that line.

I don't have ESPN Insider, but people are skeptical about the Orioles, to say the least.

Just to clarify-- the 74-win projection is what that writer projected at the beginning of the season. It's not what he's projecting now.

[weams]

I don't have ESPN Insider, but people are skeptical about the Orioles, to say the least.

How does popular skepticism have anything to do with with winning another 24 games or more?

[PaulFolk]

Get used to difficult schedules as long as the lawsuit is ongoing. Manfred is a petty, sad excuse of a man.

Manfred is personally devising the schedules for the 30 MLB teams? I can't imagine how long that takes him.

[Can_of_corn]

Manfred is personally devising the schedules for the 30 MLB teams? I can't imagine how long that takes him.

Just the O's. He does the one for the Orioles and has someone else build the rest of the schedule around it.

[weams]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">O's have 75 gms left. With 40 gms on road, they just need to play .500. Play great at home. They could have 90+ wins. Division winner ?</p>— Ross Grimsley (@rgrimsley2) <a href="

">July 13, 2016</a></blockquote>

<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[blid]

Just to clarify-- the 74-win projection is what that writer projected at the beginning of the season. It's not what he's projecting now.

Hah, well that adds some meaningful context. I thought that number was pretty absurd.

[Can_of_corn]

LOL if you don't think he's screwing us

Hope you had fun at the all star game...oh wait, he took that away from us in another act of pettiness.

There is only so much that can be done with the schedule.

Take the All-Star game away? Sure.

Mess with the schedule? Not enough gain to be worth the effort.

[tntoriole]

There is only so much that can be done with the schedule.

Take the All-Star game away? Sure.

Mess with the schedule? Not enough gain to be worth the effort.

Particularly since every AL East team plays every other team 19 times...number of interleague opponents are fixed and the same for each team,etc. Our schedule is no more difficult than any other team. The All Star game decisions? Didn't Selig make those? (at least for last year and the next three years locations).

[SteveA]

There is only so much that can be done with the schedule.

Take the All-Star game away? Sure.

Mess with the schedule? Not enough gain to be worth the effort.

Yep, although I did note back in April that we play more games where we have a night game, then travel at least one time zone, without a day off, than any of the other teams in our division.

[brianod]

Get used to difficult schedules as long as the lawsuit is ongoing. Manfred is a petty, sad excuse of a man.

Wow. Another classic post, thanks for letting us all know about this!

[waroriole]

Get used to difficult schedules as long as the lawsuit is ongoing. Manfred is a petty, sad excuse of a man.

Only obnoxious fans complain about things like schedule. Red Sox fans, Alabama fans etc. we all play the same teams. If you make excuses about stuff like that, you probably don't have the resolve to win the East.

[weams]

Only obnoxious fans complain about things like schedule. Red Sox fans, Alabama fans etc. we all play the same teams. If you make excuses about stuff like that, you probably don't have the resolve to win the East.

AL East is a tough division. Very tough.

[Frobby]

Particularly since every AL East team plays every other team 19 times...number of interleague opponents are fixed and the same for each team,etc. Our schedule is no more difficult than any other team. The All Star game decisions? Didn't Selig make those? (at least for last year and the next three years locations).

Being in the AL East automatically makes our schedule harder than 25 other teams'. Throw in the fact that our interleague rival is the Nats and I'd say we have it tougher than the other AL East teams. Though of course, they have to play us 19 times, and we only have to play them.

AL East +17

AL Central -1

AL West -2

NL East -3

NL Central -11

NL West 0

[waroriole]

AL East is a tough division. Very tough.

Toughest division this year. By far.