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wildcard

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What if Manny has yet another gear? - 200 hits, 300 avg, 900 OPS

What if Davis has one of those years?  = 50 homers and 130 RBI

What if Trumbo repeats 2016's offense but hits well vs lefties?

What if Jones and Hardy are healthy all year?

What if Schoop hits for a whole year like  he did in the first half last year? 304/338/509/847

What if Tillman, Gausman and Bundy all pitch like aces?

What if Miley and Jimenez start 30 games  each with 4.50 ERAs?

What if Castillo hits and catches well?

What if Sisco in ready for the majors by mid season this year?

What if the pen repeats 2016?

What if Rickard really  is a leadoff hitter with a high OBP vs lefties and righties?

What if there is a World Series championship just waiting for the O's to put it together?

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2 hours ago, wildcard said:

What if Manny has yet another gear? - 200 hits, 300 avg, 900 OPS

What if Davis has one of those years?  = 50 homers and 130 RBI

What if Trumbo repeats 2016's offense but hits well vs lefties?

What if Jones and Hardy are healthy all year?

What if Schoop hits for a whole year like  he did in the first half last year? 304/338/509/847

What if Tillman, Gausman and Bundy all pitch like aces?

What if Miley and Jimenez start 30 games  each with 4.50 ERAs?

What if Castillo hits and catches well?

What if Sisco in ready for the majors by mid season this year?

What if the pen repeats 2016?

What if Rickard really  is a leadoff hitter with a high OBP vs lefties and righties?

What if there is a World Series championship just waiting for the O's to put it together?

I may be wrong, but I think if those two happen, we are in the playoffs.

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Of course, it would be easy to come up with a parallel list of things that could go horribly wrong.    But it's fun to dream this time of year. I'd really like to see Gausman, Bundy and Schoop make significant progress towards fulfilling their potential.    

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1 hour ago, Frobby said:

Of course, it would be easy to come up with a parallel list of things that could go horribly wrong.    But it's fun to dream this time of year. I'd really like to see Gausman, Bundy and Schoop make significant progress towards fulfilling their potential.    

Truly those three are the hinge on which the end of the Machado/Britton club control era turns.

Everyone else is a role player now - if anyone was going to be the alpha dog on a champion it would have happened already.  But Jones can still put himself in the statue conversation if he can help us get one.

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What if Caleb gets an RBI this season?

What if half the Yankees and Red Sox players get taken out by injuries for the season?

What if the Orioles call up Sisco in September and he doesn't hit well?

What if Orioles fans start showing up?

What if Trumbo wins the All Star Game Home Run Derby?

What if Kim never gets a beer thrown at him again?

What if Buck uses Britton in a Wild Card Game?

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On balance, of the things that can go right or wrong, I think more things went right than wrong last year.     We had very few key injuries, outperformed our Pythag by several games, and didn't blow a single 9th inning/extra inning save.   We'd be very fortunate to get an equal number of breaks this year.    Our run differential was 29 last year, compared to 20 the year before, and yet we won 8 more games.    

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8 hours ago, wildcard said:

What if Manny has yet another gear? - 200 hits, 300 avg, 900 OPS

What if Davis has one of those years?  = 50 homers and 130 RBI

What if Trumbo repeats 2016's offense but hits well vs lefties?

What if Jones and Hardy are healthy all year?

What if Schoop hits for a whole year like  he did in the first half last year? 304/338/509/847

What if Tillman, Gausman and Bundy all pitch like aces?

What if Miley and Jimenez start 30 games  each with 4.50 ERAs?

What if Castillo hits and catches well?

What if Sisco in ready for the majors by mid season this year?

What if the pen repeats 2016?

What if Rickard really  is a leadoff hitter with a high OBP vs lefties and righties?

What if there is a World Series championship just waiting for the O's to put it together?

They'd probably win about 112 games.  But then again 20 or 25 teams have a comparable list that puts them well over 100 wins if everything goes right.  

Everything never goes right.  The 2001 Mariners won 116 games and had five or six below-average players.

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46 minutes ago, oriole said:

I like how everything on this list is best case scenario and if it all came true we'd be half the all star team and then there is Ubaldo and Miley and in a dream world they have a 4.50 ERA. Expectations are low haha

Just two seasons ago in 2015 Ubaldo had 32 start and a 4.11 ERA.

Miley - For four seasons from  2012-2015 he averaged 32 starts per season and never had an ERA over 4.46.

So 30 starts and a 4.50 ERA is a pretty reasonable projection for those two.

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I posted the OP to highlight that the O's have the players to go the WS if thing go right.  I don't think any of the projections are not possible.  I agree everything going right is not likely.  But I like the possibility that enough goes right to take the O's pretty far is good.

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