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An Airing of Grievances


weams

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    • This is true, but the problem remains if you sign some guy to a 7 year contract, while that money might be palatable in 2026, it could quickly grow not so in the upcoming years.  Obviously, if you could sign Burnes for 1/2 years you'd do it; but that isn't really an option.
    • What happened in the 2nd half w Adley is puzzling. I would say however that 17 mill in 2027 should be more like 10% of the payroll, so far more palatable than 20%.
    • You have to look at payroll in context though thinking 3 years in advance compared to what league average will be with revenue increasing.  This is league average payroll.   2019 112 million 2020 58 million but was Covid year. 2021 120 million 2022 134 million 2023  150 million 2024 156 million So league average is up 36 million 4 years.  If it keeps around that pace league average should be over 180 million so that 100 million would be little over half of league average payroll.  
    • This is drastically underestimating Paredes
    • they did not. 2 big moves so far, bring in Fried and Williams, but lose Holmes anf Cortez, Not to mention Soto. Oblivious there not yet but as it stands now they are not as good. and god forbid Stanton regresses or Judge gets hurt. 
    • I think if you're going to spike the payroll this is the year to do it, with so much potentially coming back off next year.
    • Elias spending the $25M early, Roster Resource has us at $122M tonight, 19th in MLB. If we close Burnes, we hit 13th for a minute.    Any AAV between 29 and 44 lands us between SFG at $167M and BOS at $150M. That'd just be a momentary crest - we land Burnes to make $65M in new 2025 salary and we're near done while most of the Top 50 free agents still have jobs to get. But to the OP point, that'd set us at ~$160 with all the studs the cheapest they'll ever be again in 2025.    We will get to reconfigure about $35M next winter when Eflin, Mullins and Sanchez walk, and of course there's the calculation/hope O'Neill plays well enough to opt out. I do think the O's financial analysts deserve a little credit for finding a contract balance where the CLUB is hoping the player opts out too.
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