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2019 Detroit Tigers


Redskins Rick

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  • 2 months later...

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    • I mentioned this once before but if you follow high end D1 softball the game has changed dramatically because the pitching is so dominate.  The theory is, you aren't going to score a bunch of runs by stringing singles together so most top programs only recruit athletes with game changing power or speed.  The speed aspect is important because you can turn a single into a double by stealing so now it only takes 2 hits to score a run instead of 3.   The O's lower minors seem to be stacked with guys that can steal bases so maybe that will be the change in philosophy moving forward.   It is just a thought but maybe the organization see's the pitching trend that is dominating because of the bullpen usage and OBP across the board.  So stack your team with power and or speed and not much else matters.
    • Absolutely. Cowser had made up his mind that he was swinging on that. Maybe analytics told him the pitchers throws a certain pitch and strike more times than not, but instead of see ball, hit ball approach, Cowser swung at a pitch that would have put the Orioles ahead with a hit by pitch.  Look at how Salvatore Perez took a similar pitch earlier in the game. He turned in and took it off his elbow guard. That's a professional way to take that. This team has too much hitting talent to perform the way they do. There is too much guessing whcih is probably based on analytics. But pitchers and other teams know how much the Orioles guess due to this and they pitch them differently than the "analytics" would suggest which leads to those horrible swings.
    • Sorry I was going off of old data.  Still a pretty big jump. It's mostly noise.
    • So what do they do this offseason? SP wise, you have Eflin and Rodriguez, with Kremer anchoring the back end of the rotation. Hopefully Bradish is back mid year, but you can’t rely on him. They need to get at least a TOR arm, maybe a number 4 type too. I feel pretty good about Povich starting out in the 5th spot based on his last month or so, but if they grab another reliable arm that’s fine.    TOR Eflin Rodriguez Kremer Povich/Trade/FA   Depth: Suarez, Young, McDermott, Rogers, Bradish (hopefully), Minor League signings   For the pen, Bautista should be back but they should add another backend arm. I would let Soto or Perez walk and would lean towards keeping Soto. They both have control issues but Soto has better stuff and gets more K’s. The bullpen looks like they will be decent next year.    Bautista Coulombe  *FA Signing/Trade* Cano Dominguez Webb Soto/Perez Akin   Their lineup is extremely LH heavy right now and needs more balance. They likely need to add a starting caliber RHH OF, in addition to bringing back Slater or adding another RHH OF for the bench. Big questions IMO are:   Who do they bring back for 1B? I doubt they keep both O’Hearn and Mounty, but do they bring back at least one? O’Hearn adds another LHH you would need to platoon, but his skill set is much more needed than Mountcastle’s. Do they integrate both Kjerstad and Mayo or is one traded? They both showed pretty awful Chase and whiff rates. The inability to make contact and have competitive AB’s (especially in important situations) plagued the offense, and while losing Santander and maybe Mountcastle helps some of that, Kjerstad and Mayo arguably completely cancel that out. Mayo also has no position and Kjerstad is awful defensively. They should both be DH’ing primarily and having both of them on the roster hurts their defense and severely limits their roster flexibility. Do they keep both Urias and Mateo? If not, which one do they keep? Mateo’s speed and defense are more important in a bench role, but Urias is the backup 3B and much better suited to play every day in case of injury. If you get rid of Mateo, you lose a lot of speed and defense. If you lose Urias, you lose a good bench bat and potential everyday player in case of injury. Or you bring both back, which could put both Cowser and Mullins in everyday duty against LHP’s depending on who they have as their everyday RF.    😄 Rutschman 1B: 2B: Holliday 3B: Westburg SS: Henderson RF: CF: Mullins LF: Cowser DH: Kjerstad/Mayo   Bench: Backup C (Carson Kelly?) RHH OF  2 of Urias/Mateo/Kjerstad/Mayo   The pitching seems pretty straightforward. They need a 1/2 starter, maybe another back end guy, and a back end bullpen guy. The position players is where it will get interesting. They have a lot of good pieces in place and waiting in the wings, but it doesn’t fit together that well. 
    • It's always going to be about value.  Do you expend resources to replace Mountcastle or do you spend them somewhere else? You have a finate amount of resources to spend.
    • The Padres were 12th overall this year. They were 21st last year.  Think this is more of a function of Profar being gangbusters for them, Merrill being AS/ROY caliber, acquiring Arraez midseason, Higashioka having a career year, and Tatis looking somewhat decent eventually. They were more balanced this year than last year, regardless of Soto being there.
    • How about open ended questions? Do you believe that changes are necessary? Do you believe that there is any sort of systemic problem with hitting approach? Is there any sort of culture issue? Is something being done to determine why prospects struggle so much when they first come up?  
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