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TT: Ynoa, it's time to say goodbye to Mike Wright


Tony-OH

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48 minutes ago, Bubble Buddy said:

Didn't Wright used to hit high 90's every now and then? I feel like I remember in his first couple of starts he was hitting high 90's? 

Answer is yep. He used to sit around 95 MPH. https://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfxo.aspx?playerid=12586&position=P&pitch=FA&statArr=&legend=1&split=base&time=daily&start=2015&end=2019&rtype=mult&gt1=15&dStatArray=FA&ymin=&ymax=

 

 

I always thought he'd be some kinda useful out of the pen. But the results were putrid. 

It's 2019.  My 12-year-old soccer playing kid throws 88.

So I exaggerate, but "occasionally hits 95" is getting darned close to MLB average.

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36 minutes ago, DrungoHazewood said:

It's 2019.  My 12-year-old soccer playing kid throws 88.

So I exaggerate, but "occasionally hits 95" is getting darned close to MLB average.

His first two seasons his FB average was 94.8 and 94.9 MPH. So he was sitting 95. And that was as a starter most of the time. 

This year it's 93.6. Definitely didn't get the velocity bump out of the pen, which is a bit surprising because a lot of guys do.

Season Team vFA vFC vFS vSI vCH vSL vCU vCS vKN vSB
2015 Orioles 94.8     92.5 81.3 84.0 77.1      
2016 Orioles 94.9     93.2 81.8 83.7 79.6      
2017 Orioles 94.1     93.1 85.5 86.5        
2018 Orioles 94.1     92.6 83.1 89.9 78.6      
2019 Orioles 93.6     92.4 88.8 88.8      
Edited by Bubble Buddy
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5 minutes ago, interloper said:

Surely this means we'll hear of Brady's imminent departure.

But seriously, it's crazy. There's never NOT been a better guy to use in the minor leagues at any time during Wright's tenure here. Especially in the last couple of years. 

He generally did well at Norfolk, so I don’t think it was that obvious that we had someone better all the time.   In the years he divided time here: 

2015: 2.22 ERA

2016: 3.07

2017: 3.69

Its not like Norfolk was loaded with guys who were outperforming Wright down there.  

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14 hours ago, Frobby said:

He generally did well at Norfolk, so I don’t think it was that obvious that we had someone better all the time.   In the years he divided time here: 

2015: 2.22 ERA

2016: 3.07

2017: 3.69

Its not like Norfolk was loaded with guys who were outperforming Wright down there.  

That's as much a reflection on the quality of pitchers at Norfolk as anything else.  Pick his last year in Norfolk, he allowed 4.44 runs per nine.  The run environment for the Tides was 4.3 runs per nine, with the Tides allowing 4.44 runs/nine.  In '16 he allowed 3.56 runs per nine, in an environment of 3.77.  In '15 he was much better, but in '14 he was much worse (although both of those coincided and matched wild swings in Norfolk/IL run context - in '15 the Tides allowed less than 500 runs all year).  Overall he's allowed 4.13 runs/nine in AAA.

An average AAA pitcher is somewhere below replacement level.  Rule of thumb is If you give up around 3.75-4.00 runs a game in Norfolk you're a replacement-level pitcher in the majors.

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15 hours ago, Bubble Buddy said:

His first two seasons his FB average was 94.8 and 94.9 MPH. So he was sitting 95. And that was as a starter most of the time. 

This year it's 93.6. Definitely didn't get the velocity bump out of the pen, which is a bit surprising because a lot of guys do.

Season Team vFA vFC vFS vSI vCH vSL vCU vCS vKN vSB
2015 Orioles 94.8     92.5 81.3 84.0 77.1      
2016 Orioles 94.9     93.2 81.8 83.7 79.6      
2017 Orioles 94.1     93.1 85.5 86.5        
2018 Orioles 94.1     92.6 83.1 89.9 78.6      
2019 Orioles 93.6     92.4 88.8 88.8      

I would expect the velocity gap between relievers and starters to narrow over time, since starters are continuing to pitch max effort and fewer innings.  The biggest difference was probably in the 90s when starters were still kind of expected to half try to get to the 7th or 8th most games and there were already one-inning relievers.

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