Jump to content

I really want to keep Villar (Update: Traded to Marlins for LHS Easton Lucas)


AceKing

Recommended Posts

I just read through this whole thread and enjoyed the discussion.  What the O's will do with Villar is one of the more intriguing O's topic.

I would like to point out a few things:

1) Elias' focus is not 2020 its 2022-2023.  That is when the O's should have its three high first round draft picks in the majors.  DL Hall, Rodriguez and Rutschman.

2)  Elias has also stated that being a .500 team is not his focus.  Its winning the WS.

3) Elias did offer Villar 4.8m this season.  Along with millions for Bundy and Givens.  So if he think the player has value he will spend the going rate for him.  Elias knew last winter that Villar would be 31 in 2022 when he gave him 4.8m.

I think Elias will tender Villar.  Whether Villar is on the O's in 2020 is probably a function of what other teams offer for him in trade.  If its something that help the O's in 2022/23 or beyond  he is probably gone.   If no one offers something that Elias values he will probably be with the O's next season.  

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

20 minutes ago, Win Column said:

I just don't understand how a team - and I don't care whether it's contending, rebuilding, tanking, whatever - would non-tender a nearly 4 WAR player.

Especially if said player could be trade bait next year. Obviously no one bit on him this year or enough for the Orioles to pull the trigger and Villar has flaws, but he does have enough that he could be valuable to have for our rebuilding club.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, jarman86 said:

Especially if said player could be trade bait next year. Obviously no one bit on him this year or enough for the Orioles to pull the trigger and Villar has flaws, but he does have enough that he could be valuable to have for our rebuilding club.

Villar is a decent cog, to help field a team, while it rebuilds and add better player.

I would not look for him to be here long term. IMO

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, wildcard said:

I just read through this whole thread and enjoyed the discussion.  What the O's will do this Villar is one of the more intriguing O's topic.

I would like to point out a few things:

1) Elias focus is not 2020 its 2022-2023.  The is when the O's should have its three high first round draft picks in the majors.  DL Hall, Rodriguez and Rutschman.

2)  Elias has also stated that being a .500 team is not his focus.  Its winning the WS.

3) Elias did offer Villar 4.8m this season.  Along with millions for Bundy and Givens.  So if he think the player has value he will spend the going rate for him.  Elias knew last winter that Villar would be 31 in 2022 when he gave him 4.8m.

I think Elias will tender Villar.  Whether Villar is on the O's in 2020 is probably a function of what other teams offer for him in trade.  If it something that help the O's in 2022/23 or beyond  he is probably gone.   If no one offers something that Elias values he will probably be with the O's next season.  

I think Elias will trade Villar before the tender deadline, and even throw in a couple million dollars to sweeten the pot.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Redskins Rick said:

Villar is a decent cog, to help field a team, while it rebuilds and add better player.

I would not look for him to be here long term. IMO

I'm certainly with you on that, but we also want to be competitive I gather and letting Villar go I think doesn't help.  Who is our next SS? Richie Martin? Zach Vincej? Jack Reinheimer? Mason McCoy?  I'd much rather spend an extra $3m on a guy that could bring us something in return for our rebuilding and have him be aggressive than have any of those 4 stopgap. 

Everyone seems focused that no one wanted Villar because he wasn't traded.  Maybe the Brewers were asking too much because the extra years of control he had.  Maybe Elias' asking price was higher because he intends to keep him for the reasons I just stated.  These past few years at the deadlines have been different.  Teams are valuing prospects way more than ever and the prices for players have dropped.  Either way, Villar is flawed and is a player that will fill the void, but I'd much rather watch him for the aggressiveness and playmaking, even if it means the frustration when he makes boneheaded mistakes.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Upcoming SS FA,

Gregorious, Isglesias, Mercer. Pretty much it. 

https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/free-agents/shortstop/

Upcoming 2B FA,

https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/free-agents/2nd-base/

More options but not that much quality. Villar should have a market for a team looking to contend next year. A vet, SH, top of order, MI, that can steal you a base. Just like with Givens, Villar will have a much better market than what he had on July 31. If the August deadline still existed he wouldn’t be here. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, mdbdotcom said:

Does Villar bring back a promising low-level minor league shortstop if the O's kick in a few million dollars to help pay his salary?

Villar is in that spot where the surplus between his arb salary and his performance is something, but not huge.  Let's swag a $7M salary, $16M value, or thereabouts.  Is that worth a Grade B- A-ball shortstop?  Maybe.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, DrungoHazewood said:

Villar is in that spot where the surplus between his arb salary and his performance is something, but not huge.  Let's swag a $7M salary, $16M value, or thereabouts.  Is that worth a Grade B- A-ball shortstop?  Maybe.

That's why I had the O's kicking in a few million dollars to increase his value. He would be a one-year rental, so his new team would have a limited time to enjoy what surplus value there is.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.



  • Posts

    • There’s another accomplishment from 1983 I’d like to match.  
    • I'm more of a Prime Number guy, I'm happy enough with 89. Round numbers are for suckers.   Pretty disheartening they haven't managed to reach that relatively meager goal in 40 years.
    • Still with a chance to do this for the first time since 1982-83. Would be one more nice accomplishment for this organization. 
    • The weird thing about our bullpen is that they rarely blow leads.   They have a 69% save rate, 4th highest in baseball.  They make it scary, but generally, when they have the lead, they get the job done.   Where they are really bad is keeping games close when we’re down a run or two, last night being a classic example of that.   This year’s team has 32 comeback wins, compared to 48 last year.   Why is that?   Part of it is obviously on the offense, but part of it is that the bullpen doesn’t keep us in striking distance when we’re behind.   One way you can tell this is by the W/L records of the starters and the bullpen.  Last year, the starters were 57-40, this year they’re 60-49.   The starter got the decision 12 more times this year than last year, including 9 more losses (with 3 games to play).   That tells you that when the team is losing when the starter is pulled, they keep losing.  Meanwhile, the relievers were 44-21 last year, 28-22 now. They’re not picking up wins because they don’t give the offense a chance to catch up and get the win for the bullpen guy.    
    • I do not disagree with above posts.  Also I am pretty sure that this time last season, the Texas Rangers Hangout was saying the exact same things as the Rangers Pen.  Point being, you never know until you know.  The pen is shaky, but is capable of putting together a solid run from time to time.  
    • Roster Resource thinks it has tonight's lineup and Kjerstad on bench again. He is 7 AB shy of 130 MLB regular season AB with 3 games left, and if he ends up short some prospect list makers may still label him one.    If still with the Orioles, he will be 26 years old by Sarasota. I think the OP has its answer as it has been Cole and Lopez these two nights and the team is preparing for that intensity.
    • I care I bet the over on 88 wins, looked like a lock now not so much, come on O’s, daddy needs some new shoes
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...