You're right, they are excellent prospects.
No one argued that Holliday is gonna walk 20% of the time in the majors. No one made that argument. But I would suspect that he'd still maintain a good separation between his batting average and his on base percentage in the majors.
Yes, Stowers was ready for the big leagues. He had nothing else left to prove in AAA. At some point these guys need to show that they can handle the ultimate test, which is ML pitching.
You can't just run around and say "Oh, he performed poorly in the majors, he needs more time in AAA" after a guy has been mashing AAA level pitching (and in Stowers' case, for years). You're smarter than that.
No one also has argued trading a bunch of solid vets to "clear" space for them.
I think whether Holliday is ready to be the O's 2B is TBD. Same with Mayo at DH/1B and Kjerstad in RF. All TBD.
Holliday was no doubt sent home to work on fielding balls to his right at 2B. At the end of the season he was probably the 4th best O's 2B. Urias, Westy and Mateo were all ahead of him defensively and probably offensively. In fairness 2B is a new position to Hollliday and with practice he probably gets better. Holliday ceiling is probably the highest of the four.
Mayo was probably sent home to work on his defense at 1B. Elias has not prepared him well to play 1B in the majors. Stubbornly playing him too much at 3B and then after the season ended saying that his body type fits best at 1B. How he looks at 1B in ST probably is a big factor in where to starts the season. Right now its TBD.
Interestingly Callis and Jonathan Mayo have tagged Cody Mayo as the favorite to be Rookie of the Year. For that to happen he probably has to play in the majors pretty early in the year.
Kjerstad is the furtherest along of the three in winning a position with the O's. His spot is Corner OF/DH. The outstanding factor is who is the right-handed outfielder Elias keeps talking about adding?
Moving the LF fence in is a clear sign that Mounty is the O's starting 1B. He is among the leagues best fielding 1B and he had 33 homers before the fence was moved back.
Whether O'Hearn or Mayo is Mounty backup at 1B is TBD based on how much Mayo improves. O'Hearn's defense is not a high bar to match.
So whether Holliday, Mayo or Kjerstad have more to prove at AAA is really a function of their improvement and what moves Elias makes this offseason. Its TBD because AAA is where you go when another player beats a player with options out for a spot on the Orioles roster.
By July I think all three players are in the majors with the O's. How they get there is TBD. JMO.
Elias is definitely A master of building a franchise from nothing to contention. We will see how he does without his high draft picks. I have a feeling we’re in for a lot of disappointment this off-season. I hope I’m wrong.
Player A stats at AAA -- .279 / .376 / .543 with a K rate 24.2% and a BB rate of 12.5% while 22 years old
Player B stats at AAA -- .260 / .355 / .585 with a K rate 25.9% and a BB rate of 11% while 23 years old
Player A is Coby Mayo.
Player B is Pete Alonso.
That's why you don't trade Mayo unless you're getting an absolute haul in return.
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