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Hays: my favorite current Oriole

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wildcard Hangout Grand Counsel

wildcard

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11 minutes ago, OrioleDog said:

Hays and Mullins both playing well could make an interesting DJ Stewart fork in the road when Santander gets back.    Does he deploy to the Jim Dwyer, (pinch hit and start once a week) role, or are regular AAA reps still valued for his development?

If Stewart hits Hyde will find a place to play him.  If  he does not hit  he probably become a backup player that mostly plays when someone else is injured. The only way Stewart goes to AAA is if he is not hitting and the O's need his spot of a player that is more deserving of the playing time in the majors.

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Frobby
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Love this guy.   He’s a really fiery player who so obviously loves playing baseball.    Was watching his homer on the highlights and he was just grinning ear to ear as he crossed home plate.    I real

Frobby
Frobby

John Means post-game comment on Hays: “Once he gets hot he usually doesn’t stop.   I’m looking forward to watching him over the next month.” Hays on getting in the groove: “Before my last at bat

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Frobby

It tells me that they believe these are very good players and that our organization has the ability to develop them well.   They can sort out who to keep and who to trade for other assets later.  

Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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24 minutes ago, wildcard said:

If Stewart hits Hyde will find a place to play him.  If  he does not hit  he probably become a backup player that mostly plays when someone else is injured. The only way Stewart goes to AAA is if he is not hitting and the O's need his spot of a player that is more deserving of the playing time in the majors.

I don’t think Stewart will play much once Santander is back.   

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wildcard Hangout Grand Counsel

wildcard

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30 minutes ago, Frobby said:

I don’t think Stewart will play much once Santander is back.   

If Stewart has a 800 OPS when Santander returns I think  Hyde will form a rotation with Mullins, Hays, Santander, Mancini, Mountcastle, and Stewart so each get a day off every 5 days.  The question IMO  is can Stewart hit well enough to make that happen?  The 2nd question is can those 6 guys stay health?

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jabba72 Hangout Veteran Council

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Whoever has the hot hand should play once Santander returns. His latest injury has me wondering about how well he'll hold up over an entire season. Then we have Diaz and McKenna knocking on the door in Triple A. 

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glenn__davis Hangout Grand Counsel

glenn__davis

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2 hours ago, OrioleDog said:

Hays and Mullins both playing well could make an interesting DJ Stewart fork in the road when Santander gets back.    Does he deploy to the Jim Dwyer, (pinch hit and start once a week) role, or are regular AAA reps still valued for his development?

I'm a fan of DJ, but he's 27 years old.  The time for him needing AAA reps to develop is over.  He needs to earn his time at this level at this point.

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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2 hours ago, wildcard said:

If Stewart has a 800 OPS when Santander returns I think  Hyde will form a rotation with Mullins, Hays, Santander, Mancini, Mountcastle, and Stewart so each get a day off every 5 days.  The question IMO  is can Stewart hit well enough to make that happen?  The 2nd question is can those 6 guys stay health?

Well, I’m not holding my breath on Stewart posting an .800 OPS over the long term.  He’s at .581 right now, .726 for his career, .768 before this season started, .790 in the minors (and I usually expect a 30-50 point drop between major league and minor league performance).  Obviously he was able to post .809 last year in a 112 PA sample, and maybe some year he’d do that over a full season, but in general, I see him as more of a .760-.770 guy with a reasonably good OBP than an .800 guy.  I think his playing time is going to depend on whether Santander and Mountcastle start hitting.   But they will be given a lot of chances because they have more upside than Stewart.   

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owknows All-Star

owknows

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18 minutes ago, Frobby said:

Well, I’m not holding my breath on Stewart posting an .800 OPS over the long term.  He’s at .581 right now, .726 for his career, .768 before this season started, .790 in the minors (and I usually expect a 30-50 point drop between major league and minor league performance).  Obviously he was able to post .809 last year in a 112 PA sample, and maybe some year he’d do that over a full season, but in general, I see him as more of a .760-.770 guy with a reasonably good OBP than an .800 guy.  I think his playing time is going to depend on whether Santander and Mountcastle start hitting.   But they will be given a lot of chances because they have more upside than Stewart.   

Mountcastle's batting .318 over his last 7 games (OPS of .833) ... and has a 5 game hitting streak.'

I'm optimistic

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Just Regular Hangout Grand Counsel

Just Regular

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Hays' May running great about halfway through - here is something I wouldn't have guessed.   He is 90th+ percentile this month among qualified MLB hitters swinging the least.    It's fueled him so far this month bumping up to join Mullins as a second Oriole with a plus chase rate.

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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With the second half about to get underway, one of my big hopes is that we get to see a healthy Austin Hays for the final 73 games.   He was on a pretty decent run just before the break, hitting .900 OPS over his last 14 games.   Hoping he can stay hot for a while and stay on the field.   

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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In the category of things that don’t show up in the box score, Hays was listed as 0 for 5 yesterday, but he reached base twice on Rays errors caused by him busting his tail down the 1B line.   The first time, Choi bobbled a grounder and Hays beat the throw to the pitcher by a millimeter.   The second time, Franco charged a slow hopper near the 3B bag and made an off-target throw on what would have been a very close play at 1B. Honestly I would not have been surprised if the second play had been scored a hit, with Hays advancing to 2B on the throwing error, but the official scorer ruled that Hays reached on an error.   In any event, two hustle plays by Hays that led to him reaching base.   

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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The season may be ending with a thud, but not for Austin Hays.   Two homers yesterday, and the second one for a moment looked like it might result in a come from behind win against the Yankees, the best kind of win there is in this world.   Unfortunately, the bullpen couldn’t hold the lead.   

Hays has his OPS up to .767 and hit the 20 homer mark last night.   
 

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