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Promotions query


HowAboutThat

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All things being equal, is it easier for a minor-league hitter to make the transition to the majors, Facing major league pitching?

Or is it easier for a minor league pitcher to make the transition and face major league hitting?

Or is it impossible to make a general comment?

I ask because I am wondering How likely it is to see some of our middle minors guys get a MLB promotion on the basis of exceptional performance at their current level?

God knows we have needs.

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There is likely a statistical answer to this and that answer is likely to have something to do with the profile of the player (e.g., velocity, age, LD% or whatever) and the parameters of what you consider successful.

Alex Wells is a great example. Very successful at AA but not the profile of ML success. Not impossible, but not the profile without velocity. It happens with hitters too. I forget his name, but we had a guy who won the triple crown (I think) in Bowie about 10 years ago. He was old, which is part of his profile, and likely had other profile things because he wasn't really a prospect even at that time. 

Short answer is that success isn't a bad thing, but it's not a guarantee. Alternatively, it's probably hard to play at any level without success and then go to the majors and have success unless you're talking about very small sample sizes.

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