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What’s your 2022 OPS Projection for Jorge Mateo?


Frobby

What’s your 2022 OPS projection for Jorge Mateo?  

34 members have voted

  1. 1. What’s your 2022 OPS projection for Jorge Mateo?


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  • Poll closed on 02/28/22 at 22:18

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Jorge Mateo did fairly well in his limited stint with the Orioles, posting a .748 OPS in 116 PA.    Before that, he had a .545 OPS with the Padres in 121 PA in 2020-21, for an overall career OPS of .644 in 237 PA.    As a minor leaguer, his career OPS is .747, including .737 in AAA ( PCL).   So, he’s a bit of a wild card.   What do you see for him in 2021?

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Sub 720…floor is very low though.

Really unsure how high the ceiling is but I think what you see on the field is far more than what you will get.  His talent screams that he should be really good but I tend to doubt he will be much more than a guy who is valuable while he is cheap, in a utility type role.

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Mateo's variability might be the highest on the team; I split the baby and went with 690-719.  That's a median prediction, but I believe it will certainly be wrong, as I feel he will either outperform or underperform such a prediction.

This is his last best chance to establish a ML career.  He's got the talent and I enjoyed watching him last year.

 

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  • 7 months later...
21 minutes ago, Frobby said:

Almost 15% had Mateo (.646) in the .630-.659 range, but 83% guessed higher.   

If you go with the Marcels approach you'll be right a lot more than wrong: what have you done in the past (i.e. last 3-4 years), how old are you? He was 27, going into last year he had a .645 OPS. He ended up with a .646. His minor league numbers pointed towards a mid-.600s.

My projection for next year?  .645.

Edited by DrungoHazewood
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