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What’s your 2022 OPS Projection for Kyle Stowers?

Frobby

By Frobby
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What’s your 2022 OPS projection for Kyle Stowers?  

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  1. 1. What’s your 2022 OPS projection for Kyle Stowers?

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  • Poll closed on 02/28/22 at 22:29

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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Kyle Stowers won’t be on the OD roster, but he seems quite likely to get a call-up during the year.   Last year he played well at three levels: .900 OPS in 161 PA for Aberdeen, .938 OPS in 276 PA in Bowie, .773 OPS in 93 PA in Norfolk.   He posted high K rates at all levels, though the rate didn’t change much as he advanced.  He figures to be a much better defender than DJ Stewart, and a much better hitter than Ryan McKenna, so he definitely could replace either on the roster at some point, or get called up if someone has an injury.   What’s your prediction of the OPS he’ll put up in the majors in 2022?

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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21 minutes ago, wildcard said:

I think Stowers will be as good as Mancini was in 2017.    I expect to see him in the majors in June.

This post prompted me to look at Mancini’s K rate in the minors.   Here he is compared to Stowers at the three levels:

Hi A: 15.2% vs. 34.2%
AA: 17.5% vs. 30.4%
AAA: 22.5% vs. 34.4%

Stowers managed to keep his batting average in the .272-.283 range at the three levels despite his strikeout numbers, but I really doubt he’ll hit above .250 in the majors if he doesn’t figure out a way to cut down his K rate.  To ask him to match Mancini, who finished 3rd in the ROY voting, is a pretty tall order.   

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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1 minute ago, Moose Milligan said:

.740-.769.

He strikes out his fair share for sure, but who doesn't these days?  There's been a good separation between his batting average and on base percentage which, IMO is more important.  

 

Depends how low the batting average is.   

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RZNJ Hangout Grand Counsel

RZNJ

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I went over .800 because frankly I have no idea. He made adjustments from when he debuted in Aberdeen and became a different hitter. Is he capable of making further adjustments to maintain the power and still make more contact?   Can he be a star with a 30% K rate?  

 

He, reportedly, is at least an average defender, will take a walk, and has huge power.    He could bust but I'll take the over.  He made huge strides last year.  Hopefully, that isn't his peak.

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sportsfan8703 Hangout Grand Counsel

sportsfan8703

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On 2/22/2022 at 4:38 PM, Moose Milligan said:

.740-.769.

He strikes out his fair share for sure, but who doesn't these days?  There's been a good separation between his batting average and on base percentage which, IMO is more important.  

 

I agree. I don’t think he sees Baltimore though until Mancini and Santander are traded. 

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LookinUp Hangout Grand Counsel

LookinUp

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All of the talk re: top prospects lists has been about the delta between Tony and the rest of folks on Mayo.

Well, there's also a huge delta on Stowers. Likely bigger than that on Mayo. Tony's a big fan. Makes this a fun guy to follow.

Shot in the dark, I say .740-.769.

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