Close Games

[Bahama O's Fan]

If the beginning of the season is any indicator, this year will be like 2012 for having close games. So far we have

Loss 2-1

Loss 5-3

Win 2-0

Loss 5-4

Loss 2-0

Win 2-1

[Bahama O's Fan]

I posted this and no one responded. I felt like bumping it. We seem to be having alot of close games and it seems like we are winning them. 

[Bahama O's Fan]

32 one run games this season

15-17 record. Guess we are winning less than losing but it matches our record this year, just below .500

 

[Aristotelian]

Wasn't our run differential massively negative in '12? Only -19 this year. Feels like we've had a chance in almost every game, even the losses.

 

[Frobby]

3 minutes ago, Bahama O's Fan said:

I posted this and no one responded. I felt like bumping it. We seem to be having alot of close games and it seems like we are winning them. 

Well, the O’s are 14-15 in one-run games,  6-3 in extra innings.  By comparison to the most extreme year I can think of, in 2012, we were 29-9 in one-run games, 16-2 in extra innings.

Unpacking that a bit, in 2012, we played 38 one-run games, right now the O’s are on pace to play 55 one-run games.   That’s a pretty huge number.   We actually haven’t been that successful at 14-15.   If we were winning them at the clip we did in 2012, we’d probably we in a wild card spot right now.  

At the other end of the spectrum, the O’s are 9-10 in blowouts of 5+ runs.   That’s a decent record and we aren’t playing too many of them — on pace for 36 blowout games for the year (and a 17-19 record), compared to 48 games in 2012 (25-23).   We were in 57 blowouts last year (13-44).   

So bottom line, we are playing in a lot more close gsmes this year.   We’re winning our share of them, but it’s not like 2012 when more than 75% of one-run games went our way.  

 

[Frobby]

15 minutes ago, Bahama O's Fan said:

32 one run games this season

15-17 record. Guess we are winning less than losing but it matches our record this year, just below .500

 

I think your count is slightly off - I got my numbers straight from BB-ref.  14-15.  

[Bahama O's Fan]

I wonder how we compare to other teams as to amount of close games played

[Bahama O's Fan]

1 minute ago, Frobby said:

I think your count is slightly off - I got my numbers straight from BB-ref.  14-15.  

You're probably correct. I was just going through the schedule and counted by hand