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Mullins and Mountcastle need to step up


interloper

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Lost in the good times lately is the fact that Mullins and Mountcastle are OPSing around .700. That's after both looked like they had gotten through some early season slumps.

I'm sorry but that's just extremely disappointing. These guys are huge cogs of the offense and they just look like they're lost in the sauce up there and swinging anemic bats. A lot rides on these two guys in terms of the near future success of this team. 

I hope they figure it out.

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1 minute ago, oriole said:

Mullins was a bit expected but I really thought Mountcastle was going to be a real threat at the plate. So far he has looked absolutely lost to my eyes. 
 

Either way, there’s a lot of time to get it back

Yeah I really expected more from Mountcastle by now. I'm pretty bummed about his future and the kind of player he ultimately will be. There's certainly still time but I'm not seeing a particularly scary bat right now.

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I agree to an extent, but a .700 OPS this year is not the same as a .700 OPS last year. Mullins has a OPS+ of 105 while Mountcastle is 103 so they're both above league average at the plate (albeit barely). Obviously, we'd like more from both and we expect more from both, but I don't think they've been that bad relative to the league. Mullins was 135 OPS+ last year and Mountcastle was 113 OPS+. I was hoping for a step up from Mountcastle and expecting a bit of regression from Mullins so I'd really like to see both get over 120 OPS+.

As for Mountcastle, he was was pretty bad up until about this point last season before turning it on. We may be dealing with a slow starter in his case. 

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The problem with Mullins is he just isn't getting on base as the leadoff hitter. .309 right now compared to .360 last season. That seriously hampers the offense as a whole. 

I don't care if he doesn't hit for much power as long as he gets on base, but he's doing neither right now.

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1 minute ago, interloper said:

Yeah I really expected more from Mountcastle by now. I'm pretty bummed about his future and the kind of player he ultimately will be. There's certainly still time but I'm not seeing a particularly scary bat right now.


I could see Rutschman taking over a lot of 1B starts to get his bat in the lineup with Mayo possibly taking over full time in a couple years. So Mountcastle doesn’t have to work out in the long run…it would be a lot cooler if he did though 😎 

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They are at 103 and 105 OPS+. I wouldn't say that's extremely disappointing. Both are within 100 OPS points of their career averages. I agree, if we want to see the offense to pick up those would be two prime candidates with higher established ceilings than we're seeing. 

 

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103 and 105 OPS+ is disappointing.  They are core hitters in the line-up.  If our best hitters are slightly above average, that's not a good sign.  

Mounty seems to be a tough luck case a bit for his power numbers.  His xBA is .324 vs. actual BA of .258.  xSLG is .565 vs. actual SLG of .403.  But those expected stats are really out of line from his prior to years.  Average EV is 91.4 (3 MPH higher than league average) and HH% sits at 47.8 vs. league average of 35.6.  His BB% is anemic.  But he'll get his counting stats.

Mullins' pull rate has gone up 18% (from 32% to 38%).  And IF/FB ratio is jumped nearly 100% (from 14% to 25%).  All while his BB% has dropped by nearly 33% (from 8.7 to 5.7).  Feels very similar to Westburg and Cowser.  He's gotten power hungry and needs to get back to going with the pitch.  Not sure Mullins will get back to 2021 numbers, but there's upside in there as well.

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Mullins did hit it decently well the other way I believe twice last night, but Gerrit Cole outside pitches probably made that a necessity more than any kind of intention.    This is a consolidation year after the Too Good to be True one.

Despite the recent slump, last week at the end of the hot streak he was still flickering into the Top 10 in AL position player WAR.

I don't think he's gonna be able to hold off Trout to keep his All-Star spot though.

For all the frustrating day-to-day variance, to me Mountcastle year-to-year feels like a low variance player.   Hyde in the postgame last night clarified Mountcastle rather than Mancini pulled for McKenna defensive switch since he was higher in order, and it was more about delaying a McKenna PA as long as possible in that contingency.

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Despite the down offensive year, there are players rising above that and having really good seasons.

So, to try and uplift these guys because their OpS+ is above average ignores the fact that we are relying on them and that they are supposed to be much better than that.  

Mullins should still be traded imo.

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Just now, Sports Guy said:

Despite the down offensive year, there are players rising above that and having really good seasons.

So, to try and uplift these guys because their OpS+ is above average ignores the fact that we are relying on them and that they are supposed to be much better than that.  

Mullins should still be traded imo.

I agree. Forget slugging, these guys just need to get on base. If Hays can have a good season in this environment, these two can as well. I don't like the "dead ball" excuse here. 

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9 minutes ago, interloper said:

I agree. Forget slugging, these guys just need to get on base. If Hays can have a good season in this environment, these two can as well. I don't like the "dead ball" excuse here. 

I mean, moving the wall back (more so than the dead ball) has had a quantifiable effect on Mountcastle's stats. Plus he's been hurt. He'll be alright. 

Definitely concerned about Mullins. 

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