Cade Povich 2022

[DoobyDoo]

He’s listed as the starter for Aberdeen tonight on milb.com.

[Tony-OH]

I went and watched several of his starts last night as well as video of Johnson, McDermott and Cano. 

As usual, I'm going to be a little different from what I had read from some sources on these guys.

I'll be honest, I like Povich the best of the three and he has the best chance to stick as a starter.

Povich is a stringbean lefty with smooth mechanics that gets some swings and misses on his fastball (93-95 in 1st inning or so but settles in around 92-93 MPH), an advanced curveball with really good late bite. His slider is not very good but he can throw it as a get me over strike.

The changeup though is the separator for me. While the command needs to improve, the pitch has nice depth and some fade arm side and the only thing he needs to do is be told he has to throw it more instead of going to his bread and butter the curve. This is what makes him a better prospect for me than Drew Rom even though Rom is younger by a year and at a higher level. Rom refuses to use his changeup much despite the fact that he'll need it to have success at the major league level if he's going to stick as a starter.

Now, if he can improve that slider or use it more down and away he will be able to defend himself better against lefties, and his command can get inconsistent, but I can see why Elias likes the stuff.

 

 

[justD]

Matt Sabados notes just now that Bowie has a 7-games-in-6-days series coming up next, that they may be in need of a pitcher.

The way he’s pitching tonite so far (4IP, all zeroes except for 7 Ks) maybe an out of the ordinary quick promotion?

 

[baltfan]

No hits and 7ks through five innings thus far.  Not bad. 

[justD]

 

[ManciniFan]

26 minutes ago, baltfan said:

No hits and 7ks through five innings thus far.  Not bad. 

Wow! That’s nuts! Way to impress your new club! Delmarva pitching is atrocious, any help coming there I wonder.

[baltfan]

Not only did he give up only one hit and strike out 8 in 6 innings, he did it in 75 pitches. 

[Chaka Garcia]

27 minutes ago, baltfan said:

Not only did he give up only one hit and strike out 8 in 6 innings, he did it in 75 pitches. 

If O’s can unlock some extra velocity and develop one of his off speed offerings. Could be a pop-up prospect next year. Hopefully, he impresses enough for AA promotion after a few starts. 

Edited August 7, 2022 by Chaka Garcia

[Three Run Homer]

I guess it's time for me and Jim Callis to shut up about Cade Povich!  

[Three Run Homer]

12 hours ago, Tony-OH said:

I went and watched several of his starts last night as well as video of Johnson, McDermott and Cano. 

As usual, I'm going to be a little different from what I had read from some sources on these guys.

I'll be honest, I like Povich the best of the three and he has the best chance to stick as a starter.

Povich is a stringbean lefty with smooth mechanics that gets some swings and misses on his fastball (93-95 in 1st inning or so but settles in around 92-93 MPH), an advanced curveball with really good late bite. His slider is not very good but he can throw it as a get me over strike.

The changeup though is the separator for me. While the command needs to improve, the pitch has nice depth and some fade arm side and the only thing he needs to do is be told he has to throw it more instead of going to his bread and butter the curve. This is what makes him a better prospect for me than Drew Rom even though Rom is younger by a year and at a higher level. Rom refuses to use his changeup much despite the fact that he'll need it to have success at the major league level if he's going to stick as a starter.

Now, if he can improve that slider or use it more down and away he will be able to defend himself better against lefties, and his command can get inconsistent, but I can see why Elias likes the stuff.

 

 

This makes me feel a lot better about the Lopez trade, thanks for your analysis.  

[now]

3 hours ago, baltfan said:

Not only did he give up only one hit and strike out 8 in 6 innings, he did it in 75 pitches. 

and 50 of them strikes.

[Filmstudy]

Taking nothing from Povich tonight, but it looked to me as he benefitted somewhat from shadows over the first 3 innings when no opponent hit the ball out of the infield (6Ks, 63, 53, F2) and Wilmington went 9 up, 9 down.  For the game, he allowed just 3 balls out of the infield.  Great place to start.

Nice mix of called and swinging strikes in a game where he was exceptionally efficient in terms of total pitches and strike percentage.  Don't have the CF view, so high/low zone location is difficult to gauge.  

[Hallas]

7 hours ago, Chaka Garcia said:

If O’s can unlock some extra velocity and develop one of his off speed offerings. Could be a pop-up prospect next year. Hopefully, he impresses enough for AA promotion after a few starts. 

Really doubt they're going to get more than what he's currently showing (93-95.)  What's more likely is that he gets the stamina to throw that hard in the 6th inning.

[LookinUp]

8 hours ago, Chaka Garcia said:

If O’s can unlock some extra velocity and develop one of his off speed offerings. Could be a pop-up prospect next year. Hopefully, he impresses enough for AA promotion after a few starts. 

I think the point Elias was making is he was already a pop up prospect this year. I’m not saying he’s Grayson Rodriguez, but seems like a legit SP prospect right now.

1 hour ago, Hallas said:

Really doubt they're going to get more than what he's currently showing (93-95.)  What's more likely is that he gets the stamina to throw that hard in the 6th inning.

I agree with your point about holding velo, but I’d wager that comes with 1-2 more top end as well. Even that tick or two can be very helpful.

[Hallas]

1 minute ago, LookinUp said:

I think the point Elias was making is he was already a pop up prospect this year. I’m not saying he’s Grayson Rodriguez, but seems like a legit SP prospect right now.

I agree with your point about holding velo, but I’d wager that comes with 1-2 more top end as well. Even that tick or two can be very helpful.

He's already gone from 88-90 to where he is now.  It feels like a stretch that he is going to get significantly more than that?  But I guess it's possible.