Tuesday, August 16: Orioles try to continue their winning ways vs Blue Jays
By
SteveA
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Cano has been great since June 1st even if the last week has been rough. 11.27 K/9, 3.41 ERA, 2.56 FIP, 2.64 xFIP, 2.73 SIERA. Perez’s ERA is worse than last year but his K-BB rate, FIP, and xERA are all better than last year, while his xFIP is slightly worse. I don’t feel notably different about those two this year than heading into the playoffs last year. If anything, having Cano as a 7th/8th inning option instead of the closer like last year is probably better. The pen isn’t great but I don’t think it’s that bad. Cano, Perez, Soto, Dominguez, Coulombe, Webb, and Akin have combined for a 3.37 ERA and 9.81 K/9 this year with the O’s. They’re missing a go to back end guy (which is evident when pitching to guys like Judge and Soto) but they have a number of solid options that can strike guys out. Guys like Kimbrel, Irvin, Baker, Smith, Tate, Ramirez, and Heasley really hurt the overall bullpen ERA and they won’t be pitching in the playoffs. I’m definitely taking them over KC’s pen and I’m not sure it’s that much worse than any other AL playoff team’s besides Cleveland. -
Your conclusions are 100% correct, but it has nothing to do with division records in that 3 way tie It is head to head results among the tied teams: 1) Det 10-9 (4-2 vs Balt, 6-7 vs KC) 2) Balt 3-3 (4-2 vs KC, 2-4 vs Det) 3) KC 9-10 (2-4 vs Balt, 7-6 vs Det) -
By glenn__davis · Posted
I assumed the OP meant next year. I don't think there's anyone on the international side who has a chance at this point to blow up that quickly. I agree that if we're looking beyond just next year then yes, that's more likely. -
You are wrong. If Detroit wins out and the Orioles are swept (and KC doesn't sweep), we fall to the #2 wild card due to our tiebreak loss to Detroit head to head. Detroit is the #1 wild card in that case. We are the #2 wild card. If KC wins 1 or 2, they are the #3 wild card, otherwise Minnesota is the #3 wild card. If Detroit wins out AND KC wins out and we are swept, it is a 3 way tie for the 3 wild card spots. Based on head to head among tied teams, we are 3-3 (4-2 vs KC, 2-4 vs Det), KC is 9-10 (2-4 vs us, 7-6 vs Det), and Det is 10-9 (4-2 vs us, 6-7 vs KC). So Det is the #1, we are the #2, and KC is the #3. So to be the #1 wild card and get home field Tuesday, we need either one win or one Detroit loss. KC's results are irrelevant to whether we get the #1 spot or not, although they could jump us and Detroit by winning out if we lose out and Det wins out.
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LOL, I was worried last year about getting swept in four games by the Red Sox when the magic number for the division was 1. Part of being a fan is imagining the worst case scenario. I would agree it's not likely, though. -
By LookitsPuck · Posted
O's just need to win 1. O's lose home field if they go 0-3 and Tigers go 3-0. I actually have no idea what happens if the O's go 0-3, Tigers go 3-0, and Royals go 3-0. They'd all be 88-74. O's have tiebreaker over the Royals, but not over the Tigers. Royals have the tiebreaker over the Tigers, but not the Orioles. lol Does anybody know what happens in that situation? Does it go to intradivision? If so, here are their records intradivision: Orioles: 32-20 (.615) in AL East Royals: 33-19 (.634) in AL Central Tigers: 27-22 in AL Central Interestingly enough, that loss against the Yankees now means the Royals have the intradivision tie breaker. So it does look like there are 2 scenarios where the O's don't get home field: O's go 0-3, Tigers go 3-0 OR O's go 0-3 and Tigers go 3-0/Royals go 3-0. If the Tigers lose, doesn't matter what the Royals or O's do. I think? -
Skubal holds Slater to a .000 average/.000 OPS. SSS with only 5 AB's, but he's 0-5 with 0 walks and 2k's. DH vs Skubal = Rivera
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