Jump to content

Need a little stat help here


Baltimorecuse

Recommended Posts

3 minutes ago, Baltimorecuse said:

No, I'm not.  I really don't understand a 41 WAR.  Because you can't answer, you call it trolling.  

Nice try.

Can you read?

The part where you said "Mateo is better" was trolling.

I completely and totally believe you when you say you don't understand WAR.

BTW 41 WAR over 18 seasons is barely above league average performance, so he needed to be one of the all time greats on defense to be a slightly above average player.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Baltimorecuse said:

No, I'm not.  I really don't understand a 41 WAR.  Because you can't answer, you call it trolling.  

Nice try.

Clearly you don't understand, yet you've had many people explain it to you. 

So either you're being intentionally obtuse or trolling at this point.  You seemed to want to have an honest conversation about Belanger's career value but don't want to engage anyone in an honest conversation.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, EddeeEddee said:

What do you mean 41 times better?  Do you mean is career dWAR is 41 above the average shortstop?  If so that doesn't mean he's 41 times better -- it means that defensively he is valued at 41 wins more than the average shortstop over his entire career.  And he played for about 18 seasons, which is another reason it's so high.  

You do raise an interesting point about WAR and one of the confusing things about it.  I'm no stats expert by any means, but I think WAR loses its value when comparing players from different eras.  Belanger's WAR is really relevant against other players of his era.  I doubt WAR really has much value or meaning when comparing a player's skills from 4 or 5 decades ago to one from today.  I think it's designed to measure players against others in their own era -- not all eras.

Infield defense was more important when he played since so many more balls were put into play and of that number a greater percentage were ground balls and line drives.

What's the average K rate during the years he played?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

51 minutes ago, Baltimorecuse said:

Yeah, I did.  Mateo is easily as good.  

The point you are missing, is that Mark Belanger was that good for 18 years.  IF Mateo does what he did last year for 17 more years....he would be considered great.

Of course still not HOF

Edited by foxfield
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Baltimorecuse said:

That's my question.  Usually career numbers are stated as an average.  Is this all his WARs combined?  

Can't find the Hangout thread for some reason.

Here is an ELI5 definition.

https://www.mlb.com/glossary/advanced-stats/wins-above-replacement

Quote

WAR measures a player's value in all facets of the game by deciphering how many more wins he's worth than a replacement-level player at his same position (e.g., a Minor League replacement or a readily available fill-in free agent).

For example, if a shortstop and a first baseman offer the same overall production (on offense, defense and the basepaths), the shortstop will have a better WAR because his position sees a lower level of production from replacement-level players.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Can you read?

The part where you said "Mateo is better" was trolling.

I completely and totally believe you when you say you don't understand WAR.

BTW 41 WAR over 18 seasons is barely above league average performance, so he needed to be one of the all time greats on defense to be a slightly above average player.

 

So it's 41/18.  That was the question.  Mateo v Belanger's fielding skills are purely subjective.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • I was at a meeting and came out to the Orioles down 1-0. I looked away for what seemed like a minute and it was 5-0, then 7-0. Do we know why Burnes was lifted after just 69 pitches after 5 innings? Was he hurt? Do we know why Cano was brought into the game in the 6th (Have to imagine his adrenaline may not have been as flowing at that stage of the game)?  Obviously the bullpen was pretty horrific last night, but could some of this be because Hyde was using guys who typically are late in game relievers in the 6th inning?  
    • Good point on the age.  I think it would have to be someone like Nate George from this year's draft just blowing up next year. The story would be how everyone missed on him because he played in a cold weather state.    
    • First, Schmidt is having a better year than Cole. Second, the O's teed off Ragans and Lugo last time they faced them.
    • Elias needs to use better judgement when he dumpster dives, prepare better for the high percentage chance that his dumpster diving pickups will fail, and increase usage of other means to get pieces. Bullpen usage is another problem, but it’s hard to effectively juggle flaming torches. A wrong move burns badly 
    • I can see the case for Mountcastle based on defense alone, but what has Kjerstad done to warrant that kind of treatment? Is it the .505 OPS he’s put up since coming back? The overall .438 ML OPS since getting hit in the head? I’m as bummed as anyone that his season got derailed, but if you’re talking about where they are right now — he’s not your huckleberry. As for O’Hearn, he’s 8 for his last 23 (.348), with 3 doubles. That feels a little like the “getting himself together” that you referenced. He had an awful month-long slump, but he also has an extended track record (over 1.5 seasons) of excelling in the role he’s now back in, as the platoon LH 1B/DH guy. He had a 125 wRC+ in those 750 PAs as an Oriole until 8/20, which is roughly when Mountcastle went out.  I’d be good with Kjerstad DHing against LH starters, because there’s good reason to think he hits them better than O’Hearn. And if they want to play both O’Hearn and Kjerstad against some RHPs, in order to set up the potential of Mountcastle coming in to PH against a lefty reliever, I’m down for that too. But the primary alignment is going to (and should) be the Mountcastle/O’Hearn duo we’ve gotten accustomed to seeing.
    • The Achilles heel for this team is going to be the unit that doesn't step up in the postseason. I can easily see scenarios where: the bullpen is hot and provides good performances but the offense sputters and isn't clutch the offense comes up big but the bullpen blows games late starting pitching tosses some clunkers (not really likely with Burnes and Eflin) and they can't recover the defense sucks and gives opponents extra outs to work with, blowing games open when the bullpen or SP would have been able to escape and continue We've seen all of these units falter at one point or another during this season.  We've also seen all of these units perform very well at different times throughout the season.  So, we'll see what turns out to be the Achilles heel for the Orioles in the playoffs starting next week.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...