Wednesday, August 9: Orioles try to bounce back after tough loss to Astros
By
SteveA
in Game Threads
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By LookitsPuck · Posted
I wouldn't categorize the pen as bad, but I would categorize them as the worst of the AL playoff bullpens. The Royals are better than their aggregate looks. They transitioned a few guys from starting to relieving, one of them being Bubic who has been amazing. 2.76 ERA, 1.97 FIP, 11.7 SO/9, 1.5 BB/9. Those are lights out numbers. The only 2 O's that come close are Coulombe and Akin, and Akin is abysmal in high leverage situations whereas Bubic is lights out. There are other notables for them: Erceg (2.88 ERA, 1.17 FIP, 11.2 SO/9, 1.1 BB/9), of course. But also Schreiber, Zerpa, Hernandez, and Lynch are all above average arms. You look around the AL playoff picture, and the O's just don't have any elite 1-2 punches. They have an elite 1 punch in Coulombe. They have a bunch of above average arms, but none (aside from Coulombe) that you can really trust. -
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By LookitsPuck · Posted
Wait, are you saying that it's the combined H2H? I guess that does make sense. So, in that circumstance, in a 3 way tie...the Tigers get the #4 seed, the O's #5, and Royals #6? -
Bubic is really good. Zerpa has a pretty bad K-BB rate on the season though and gives up hard contact, so it looks like that may just be a good stretch for him. His xERA is 4.49 on the season. Lynch is solid but he’s a low K, low BB lefty. Definitely not bad, but he’s going to give up contact. -
Yeah, I was tracking #1 overall at some point, not next year. Unless Basallo still has rookie eligibility, I don't see anyone having a chance after next season. -
Cano has been great since June 1st even if the last week has been rough. 11.27 K/9, 3.41 ERA, 2.56 FIP, 2.64 xFIP, 2.73 SIERA. Perez’s ERA is worse than last year but his K-BB rate, FIP, and xERA are all better than last year, while his xFIP is slightly worse. I don’t feel notably different about those two this year than heading into the playoffs last year. If anything, having Cano as a 7th/8th inning option instead of the closer like last year is probably better. The pen isn’t great but I don’t think it’s that bad. Cano, Perez, Soto, Dominguez, Coulombe, Webb, and Akin have combined for a 3.37 ERA and 9.81 K/9 this year with the O’s. They’re missing a go to back end guy (which is evident when pitching to guys like Judge and Soto) but they have a number of solid options that can strike guys out. Guys like Kimbrel, Irvin, Baker, Smith, Tate, Ramirez, and Heasley really hurt the overall bullpen ERA and they won’t be pitching in the playoffs. I’m definitely taking them over KC’s pen and I’m not sure it’s that much worse than any other AL playoff team’s besides Cleveland.
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