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Red Sox Series III

Frobby

By Frobby
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Frobby
Frobby

I’d say the main thing you’re missing is defense.  Rtot has them -22 runs (12th in the AL), Rdrs has them -23 (13th), Fangrapghs defense has them at -32.1 (last) and OAA has them -51 outs (last).  The

Frobby
Frobby

The O's head for Fenway for 3 games with the Red Sox, who have split with the O's 3-3 so far this year, including a Sox 2-1 series win to open the season.   That series was marred by some poor Orioles

24fps
24fps

It's great to beat the Red Sox, but there's something particularly enjoyable about dominating them.  Great win tonight.

maybenxtyr Hangout Veteran Council

maybenxtyr

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, swerda said:

Surprised no one is mentioning the elephant in the room when we pretty much ruined the Red Sox in late 2011. Could be some karma going against the O's. Not as devastating as missing the playoffs but the division at least.

The Red Sox could sweep them and it would still not be the reason if they don't win the division. I'm not downplaying Boston, but I don't expect Seattle to roll over for Tampa.

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86this Perennial All-Star

86this

Posted
Posted
6 hours ago, Moose Milligan said:

The ROY race is a WAR race.  As long as Gunnar has him, he'll be fine.  Gunnar gets bonus points for being arguably the best player on the best team in the AL and playing a premium defensive position.

That said, I agree.  I'd love to see Casas hit a wall.

I'd like for him to hit a wall, too, just not the green monster variety.

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OsFanSinceThe80s Hangout Grand Counsel

OsFanSinceThe80s

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, swerda said:

Surprised no one is mentioning the elephant in the room when we pretty much ruined the Red Sox in late 2011. Could be some karma going against the O's. Not as devastating as missing the playoffs but the division at least.

The Orioles are making the playoffs no matter what the Red Sox do against them this weekend. No player on this Red Sox team is thinking about getting revenge for 2011. Most of them probably don’t even know about the legend of Robert Andino. 

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OsFanSinceThe80s Hangout Grand Counsel

OsFanSinceThe80s

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, maybenxtyr said:

The Red Sox could sweep them and it would still not be the reason if they don't win the division. I'm not downplaying Boston, but I don't expect Seattle to roll over for Tampa.

The Mariners are focused on clinching a wildcard spot and they’ve been red hot playing .660 baseball during the second half. 

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Just Regular Hangout Grand Counsel

Just Regular

Posted
Posted

Good test of the Bradish breakout tonight.

Both of the recent Red Sox blowups at the end of 2022 and beginning of 2023 were 2.1 IP, 7 R, working out tidily to a run an out.

He's had good games against them too - September 2022 also had a 7 inning gem, and his MLB debut against them was strong.

He's found a new level in his 2nd year.

As Luis Urias has changed Clubs, we get another Brother v. Brother occurrence.    Luis Urias next time MIL and BOS intersect in Immaculate Grid will probably give a nice low score.

Masataka Yoshida's down to 6th in the batting order lately, something that's only happened in the last couple weeks.    His monthly OBP splits go:

373, 410, 333, 344, 281, 261     MLB Arms have only walked him 6 times in the last ~200 PA.

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  • Posts

    • Aristotelian
      Looks like the Detroit Tigers

      By Aristotelian · Posted

      Hm, seems like perfect situation for Akin as an opener, maybe game 3 if necessary? 
    • wildcard
      Cade Povich 2024

      By wildcard · Posted

      You are such a Rebel.
    • SteveA
      Looks like the Detroit Tigers

      By SteveA · Posted

      Another possibility: If you win game 1, maybe you don't ptich Eflin in Game 2 and try to win Game 2 without using him.   I mean, worst that can happen is you lose and have Eflin for game 3 anyway.   So you won't lose the wild card series without pitching your two best. But you COULD win the wild card series without your two best, and then you would have Eflin and Burnes lined up for games 1 and 2 in Cleveland
    • LookitsPuck
      Can Cowser still win Rookie of The Year over Gil/Wells ?

      By LookitsPuck · Posted

      I like Law a lot, but that is a beyond asinine comment about not playing every day on a playoff team. You know how many playoff teams would slot him in the lineup immediately every game? Answer: the large majority. The Yankees would take Cowser over Verdugo The Tigers might not put him in over Greene/Meadows/Carpenter, but they’d DH him over their options. Cowser would start over every outfielder for the Royals, IMHO. He’d start over Meyers and Dubon for the Astros. The Guardians would probably start him over anybody not named Kwan in the OF, tbh.  I can keep going.
    • LookitsPuck
      Can Cowser still win Rookie of The Year over Gil/Wells ?

      By LookitsPuck · Posted

      Even more of a reason to like FG over BBref,  tbh. Thanks, didn’t realize they switched this year. My point re: FIP is that I rather prefer it over RA/9, not to say it’s perfect. RA/9 treats all runs allowed by a pitcher the same regardless of them being earned or unearned. So, a pitcher on a team with a terrible defense is going to be judged much more harshly than somebody that pitches on a top tier defense. Not to mention the bullpen taking over mid inning dilemma. The funny thing is in your example re: FIP, RA/9 would have the first pitcher but love the second. Either way, these stats, like nearly all single solitary stats, aren’t best taken alone.  For your example, let’s say Pitcher A allowed weak contact and the defenders just had poor range, poor arms, whatever, but in the second example the defenders had great range and great arms making amazing plays to prevent any damage…then what?  Anyways, give me FIP over RA/9 was my point. But if you want to truly assess a pitcher, you’re going to need a few complimentary stats to go along with it.  
    • Just Regular
      Can Cowser still win Rookie of The Year over Gil/Wells ?

      By Just Regular · Posted

      Really zooming the microscope in on one game with Tarik Skubal, would you consider batting Austin Slater 3rd or 4th to basically pinch hit in the 1st inning, and then replace him in LF with Cowser in the top of the 2nd inning. A tactic that might look good to the SIGBOT but could freak out actual ballplayers.
    • Warehouse
      Looks like the Detroit Tigers

      By Warehouse · Posted

      It would make sense. I think there are four possibilities for not announcing Eflin yet: 1. It’s going to be Eflin, we’re just waiting to announce to make it harder for Tigers/Royals to prepare. 2. Hyde and FO are discussing whether to slot Eflin for game 3 to possibly save him for ALDS game 1. 3. Hyde and FO are discussing a possible opener strategy for game 2. 4. Eflin has some minor aches/pains/soreness so we’re delaying the announcement to make sure he will be healthy enough. 

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