Steamers 2024 ERA projection..top 25

[dystopia]

9 hours ago, Pickles said:

Looks like even hitting as he did last year, Adley is one of the most valuable players in the game.

Offense wasn’t why his WAR was lower last year. 

[Sports Guy]

7 hours ago, ShoelesJoe said:

They're projecting Gunnar to be worse in 2024 than he was in 2023? I'll take the over on that one. 

No..he had a 4.6 fWAR in 2023.

[btdart20]

Mason Miller with the 5th best ERA?  He's pitched about 70 IP in his MiLB and MLB career combined.  Dude's a freak, but counting on him qualifying is a stretch.  The same sort of thing can be said for Shane Baz.  

Game 7 of a series:  Kyle Bradish or David Peterson?  

[OriolesMagic83]

8 hours ago, ShoelesJoe said:

They're projecting Gunnar to be worse in 2024 than he was in 2023? I'll take the over on that one. 

Hey no one noticed that Ohtani didn't even make the top 20 WAR.

[Frobby]

12 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

A guy with a 4.35 ERA in 122 career innings is ranked 11th overall by a projection system and you still manage to sound slighted on his behalf.

It's a projection system,  I didn't think he'd be that high.  It must have liked his underlying data.

 

I have always wondered if these projection systems take into account developments during the prior season.  For example, if a pitcher has a 5.00 ERA in the first half and a 3.00 ERA in the second half, is he treated any differently than a pitcher who had a 3.00 ERA in the first half and a 5.00 ERA in the second half?   And if they don’t, should they, at least for younger pitchers?  My instinct is that they should, but there could be evidence to the contrary.