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July 20th @ Rangers


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8 minutes ago, Malike said:

That's why it's descriptive and not predictive. There is enough advanced scouting on where to play guys and it doesn't take anything but EV and LA into account. You could hit a ball 100 MPH on the ground to 3B on 1 hop 100 times and make 100 outs but your xBA would be .600 despite being .000

It's definitely just a tool and needs to be used appropriately.  Yes, a ball at that speed and angle will be a hit about 1/2 the time, depending on just how close it's hit to a fielder.  And someone who can consistently hit the ball hard should, over time, have better numbers than someone who consistently hits the ball softly.  But as you said it's descriptive and not predictive.  It's get to see Cowser hitting the ball hard.  I think that, over time, that will result in him having better overall numbers than what we are seeing.  But at the end of the day the numbers are what the numbers are, good, bad or indifferent.  He's been a bit 'unlucky' as in many of his hard hit balls have been right at defenders.  But that's part of baseball.

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3 minutes ago, forphase1 said:

It's definitely just a tool and needs to be used appropriately.  Yes, a ball at that speed and angle will be a hit about 1/2 the time, depending on just how close it's hit to a fielder.  And someone who can consistently hit the ball hard should, over time, have better numbers than someone who consistently hits the ball softly.  But as you said it's descriptive and not predictive.  It's get to see Cowser hitting the ball hard.  I think that, over time, that will result in him having better overall numbers than what we are seeing.  But at the end of the day the numbers are what the numbers are, good, bad or indifferent.  He's been a bit 'unlucky' as in many of his hard hit balls have been right at defenders.  But that's part of baseball.

I think it's fine when you take it for what it is. Like I said, Gunnars groundout in the first with a launch angle of -2 and 100 MPH EV had an xBA of .440. Guys know where to setup on guys in the IF and OF so they are rarely in the wrong position to make easy plays on balls that statcast thinks should be hits. Mullins hit his ball 104 with a 32 LA and it went 409 feet 30/30 and an xBA of .760.

Edited by Malike
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Just now, bpilktree67 said:

Yeah he needs to throw more fastballs and changes tonight.  The breaking balls are not sharp and no command.  

The problem with his high fastball is his slider is more horizontal and he doesn’t throw curve enough. The only pitch he has to play off it is changeup and you don’t really want to be throwing that high.

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Just now, Malike said:

Gunnars first out is an out 100 times out of 100 times. The launch angle was -2 and the EV was 100.5. The xBA was .440.

For sure.  But only a small % of MLBers are able to consistently hit the ball that hard.  If he connects with the ball 1/4” lower it’s a HR.  If that ball was hit 10’ to the left or right it’s a hit.  If you high the ball hard consistently good things will happen.  No amount of advanced scouting will completely subdue a batter hitting the ball hard consistently, there are just too many variables.  

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