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Will the Orioles get home field advantage during the Wild Card?


LookitsPuck

Will the Orioles get home field advantage during the Wild Card Series?  

35 members have voted

  1. 1. Will the Orioles get home field advantage during the Wild Card Series?

    • Yes
      35
    • No
      0


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...and if so, when will it happen? Game 160, 161, or 162?

Matchups in Minnesota:

  • Povich vs. Pablo Lopez (4.11 ERA)
  • TBD vs. Matthews (5.71 ERA)
  • TBD vs. Ober (3.94 ERA)

Matchups for Tigers/White Sox:

  • Crochet (3.68 ERA) vs. TBD
  • Burke (1.93 ERA) vs. TBD
  • Cannon (4.37 ERA) vs. TBD
Edited by LookitsPuck
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8 minutes ago, foxfield said:

Correct me if I am wrong. But any Orioles win clinched home field. So the only way it doesn’t is if the Tigers and Royals win out and the Orioles are swept in Minnesota. 
 

I voted yes they will be home team in the WC. 

O's just need to win 1.

O's lose home field if they go 0-3 and Tigers go 3-0.

I actually have no idea what happens if the O's go 0-3, Tigers go 3-0, and Royals go 3-0. They'd all be 88-74. O's have tiebreaker over the Royals, but not over the Tigers. Royals have the tiebreaker over the Tigers, but not the Orioles. lol

Does anybody know what happens in that situation? Does it go to intradivision? 

If so, here are their records intradivision:

  • Orioles: 32-20 (.615)  in AL East
  • Royals: 33-19 (.634) in AL Central
  • Tigers: 27-22 in AL Central

Interestingly enough, that loss against the Yankees now means the Royals have the intradivision tie breaker.

So it does look like there are 2 scenarios where the O's don't get home field: O's go 0-3, Tigers go 3-0 OR O's go 0-3 and Tigers go 3-0/Royals go 3-0.

If the Tigers lose, doesn't matter what the Royals or O's do. 

I think?

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22 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

If you vote no, stop being a fan.

LOL, I was worried last year about getting swept in four games by the Red Sox when the magic number for the division was 1. Part of being a fan is imagining the worst case scenario. I would agree it's not likely, though.

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24 minutes ago, foxfield said:

Correct me if I am wrong. But any Orioles win clinched home field. So the only way it doesn’t is if the Tigers and Royals win out and the Orioles are swept in Minnesota. 
 

I voted yes they will be home team in the WC. 

You are wrong.

If Detroit wins out and the Orioles are swept (and KC doesn't sweep), we fall to the #2 wild card due to our tiebreak loss to Detroit head to head.  Detroit is the #1 wild card in that case.  We are the #2 wild card.   If KC wins 1 or 2, they are the #3 wild card, otherwise Minnesota is the #3 wild card.

If Detroit wins out AND KC wins out and we are swept, it is a 3 way tie for the 3 wild card spots.   Based on head to head among tied teams, we are 3-3 (4-2 vs KC, 2-4 vs Det), KC is 9-10 (2-4 vs us, 7-6 vs Det), and Det is 10-9 (4-2 vs us, 6-7 vs KC).   So Det is the #1, we are the #2, and KC is the #3.

So to be the #1 wild card and get home field Tuesday, we need either one win or one Detroit loss.   KC's results are irrelevant to whether we get the #1 spot or not, although they could jump us and Detroit by winning out if we lose out and Det wins out.

Edited by SteveA
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12 minutes ago, LookitsPuck said:

O's just need to win 1.

O's lose home field if they go 0-3 and Tigers go 3-0.

I actually have no idea what happens if the O's go 0-3, Tigers go 3-0, and Royals go 3-0. They'd all be 88-74. O's have tiebreaker over the Royals, but not over the Tigers. Royals have the tiebreaker over the Tigers, but not the Orioles. lol

Does anybody know what happens in that situation? Does it go to intradivision? 

If so, here are their records intradivision:

  • Orioles: 32-20 (.615)  in AL East
  • Royals: 33-19 (.634) in AL Central
  • Tigers: 27-22 in AL Central

Interestingly enough, that loss against the Yankees now means the Royals have the intradivision tie breaker.

So it does look like there are 2 scenarios where the O's don't get home field: O's go 0-3, Tigers go 3-0 OR O's go 0-3 and Tigers go 3-0/Royals go 3-0.

If the Tigers lose, doesn't matter what the Royals or O's do. 

I think?

Your conclusions are 100% correct, but it has nothing to do with division records in that 3 way tie

It is head to head results among the tied teams:

1) Det 10-9 (4-2 vs Balt, 6-7 vs KC)

2) Balt 3-3 (4-2 vs KC, 2-4 vs Det)

3) KC 9-10 (2-4 vs Balt, 7-6 vs Det)

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6 minutes ago, SteveA said:

Your conclusions are 100% correct, but it has nothing to do with division records in that 3 way tie

It is head to head results among the tied teams:

1) Det 10-9 (4-2 vs Balt, 6-7 vs KC)

2) Balt 3-3 (4-2 vs KC, 2-4 vs Det)

3) KC 9-10 (2-4 vs Balt, 7-6 vs Det)

Wait, are you saying that it's the combined H2H? I guess that does make sense. So, in that circumstance, in a 3 way tie...the Tigers get the #4 seed, the O's #5, and Royals #6?

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13 minutes ago, LookitsPuck said:

Wait, are you saying that it's the combined H2H? I guess that does make sense. So, in that circumstance, in a 3 way tie...the Tigers get the #4 seed, the O's #5, and Royals #6?

Yes

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5 minutes ago, Malike said:

Befuddling poll.

It's more of a poll and question in one. Do you think they'll get home field advantage? And if so, which game does it happen on? There are only 3 games left. A bunch of teams are throwing the ole TBD today/this weekend up based on what happens with other teams. The funny thing is the Tigers aren't even showing a starter, yet, but they are the first game of the AL WC teams. I reckon they have an interesting decision since the White Sox are throwing Crochet tonight. 

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31 minutes ago, Moshagge3 said:

LOL, I was worried last year about getting swept in four games by the Red Sox when the magic number for the division was 1. Part of being a fan is imagining the worst case scenario. I would agree it's not likely, though.

I don’t know the meaning of Moshagge, but that’s meshuggah.  (If you don’t know the meaning of the latter, Google it.)
 

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