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Am I the only one who thinks...


MisterCrash

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...that the Boston Red Sox may not be able to contend for a while after this year?

Firstly, what is going on with the back of their rotation? So many question marks. Wakefield at 43? Can Tazawa throw 200 innings? Is Buchholz the real deal? Will Matsuzaka bounce back from injury? What's up with Brad Penny? They still have Beckett and Lester, and that's huge, but to make it to the postseason you need a complete staff.

Further. Who is playing SS for them next year? Their lineup isn't going to be the same, with Manny gone and Ortiz past his prime, and now Jason Bay is leaving at the end of the year. Varitek is likely gone, meaning they don't have a ML-quality everyday catcher: Martinez can't catch 120 games a season any more. Can Mike Lowell OPS .850 again next year? They have their superstars in Pedroia and Youkilis, but I don't know how complete a team they'll have next year, and in the division of the Yankees and Rays they might get shut out of the playoffs for the next several years.

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...that the Boston Red Sox may not be able to contend for a while after this year?

Firstly, what is going on with the back of their rotation? So many question marks. Wakefield at 43? Can Tazawa throw 200 innings? Is Buchholz the real deal? Will Matsuzaka bounce back from injury? What's up with Brad Penny? They still have Beckett and Lester, and that's huge, but to make it to the postseason you need a complete staff.

Further. Who is playing SS for them next year? Their lineup isn't going to be the same, with Manny gone and Ortiz past his prime, and now Jason Bay is leaving at the end of the year. Varitek is likely gone, meaning they don't have a ML-quality everyday catcher: Martinez can't catch 120 games a season any more. Can Mike Lowell OPS .850 again next year? They have their superstars in Pedroia and Youkilis, but I don't know how complete a team they'll have next year, and in the division of the Yankees and Rays they might get shut out of the playoffs for the next several years.

You seem to be assuming that the Red Sox won't add any new players, that they're stuck with the guys currently on their roster for the next few years. That couldn't be further from the truth. Just like always, they'll find a way to re-stock by signing FAs, making trades, reaching into their farm system, etc.

The Red Sox will continue to be contenders as long as they have a smart front office and a boatload of money to spend.

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Things you could see:

Trading for AGon - they've already had some discussions about this

Trading for Halliday, or signing Lackey/Harden - they will need pitching

Signing Holliday - Bay is gone, if they don't bring him back, they'll improve on him

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You seem to be assuming that the Red Sox won't add any new players, that they're stuck with the guys currently on their roster for the next few years. That couldn't be further from the truth. Just like always, they'll find a way to re-stock by signing FAs, making trades, reaching into their farm system, etc.

The Red Sox will continue to be contenders as long as they have a smart front office and a boatload of money to spend.

Paul's right. There's no way that a very smart front office with a payroll ceiling that's 2nd in the majors is going to suffer through too many down periods. Anyway, for them a down year is finishing in the 80s in wins. That's the O's eventual goal.

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...that the Boston Red Sox may not be able to contend for a while after this year?

Firstly, what is going on with the back of their rotation? So many question marks. Wakefield at 43? Can Tazawa throw 200 innings? Is Buchholz the real deal? Will Matsuzaka bounce back from injury? What's up with Brad Penny? They still have Beckett and Lester, and that's huge, but to make it to the postseason you need a complete staff.

Further. Who is playing SS for them next year? Their lineup isn't going to be the same, with Manny gone and Ortiz past his prime, and now Jason Bay is leaving at the end of the year. Varitek is likely gone, meaning they don't have a ML-quality everyday catcher: Martinez can't catch 120 games a season any more. Can Mike Lowell OPS .850 again next year? They have their superstars in Pedroia and Youkilis, but I don't know how complete a team they'll have next year, and in the division of the Yankees and Rays they might get shut out of the playoffs for the next several years.

Varitek will be back and split time with Martinez behind the plate. Apparently Beckett really likes him.

You are assuming the Red Sox don't resign Bay, nor sign Holliday to make up for it.

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