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1 hour ago, Safelykept said:
Krimbrel continues on his Heater. Since May 10, 20 IP 5 hits 33 SO. WHIP of .065, and ERA of 0.90. Hope he can keep it up, and does not fall apart like last year.
Small sample size (20 IP) but this favorite stat here -- K/H, 33/5 -- is otherworldly even for high-end relievers. Back in the day (e.g., 1987, peak Tom Henke at 128/62) when I first started noticing it, the best of the best were at around K/H = 2.0. This sample, 33/5, is 6.6. For probably the closest comparable context, last year the Mountain had a historic 110/30, or 3.7 (in 61 IP).
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37 minutes ago, bluedog said:
I mean they have some mid-tier prospects that are similar in quality to maybe Beavers or McDermott. So its not like they have nothing - but they certainly don't have the goods to get a top tier hitter - which is why they might be interested in someone like Mountcastle.
... if we're interested in collecting more of Beavers/McDermott FV. One of each? Um, have to think about it. Once we get a taste of Mayo it would be easier to part with Mountcastle. As has been noted, sometimes he can carry the team.
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1 hour ago, Allan Bryant said:
Are you serious or just kidding ?
Just kidding!
But there should be such a stat!
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1 hour ago, bluedog said:
I don't see KC trading one of their ML starters. They have the top rotation in the majors by WAR but the 5th worst bullpen in the majors. They don't have any impact arms ready in the minors to even attempt to take a starting role. Their starting pitching is what has them in contention and I'd be shocked if they subtracted there.
The problem is they need to upgrade their relief pitching and lots of position in their lineup if they really want to try and compete for a playoff spot.
So maybe the O's could send KC average+ offensive players (Mountcastle?) in exchange for prospects and then flip those prospects along with our own in another deal for pitching?
The real question is, what interesting prospects does KC have that they'd be willing to send to the O's for Urias, Mounty or Mateo? Seems like their farm system is pretty weak...
Interesting quandary for KC, if they don't want to trade starters, and don't have decent prospects to trade. Then how are they going to acquire hitters and relievers? We're basically opposite, except every team always needs relievers.
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3 hours ago, Allan Bryant said:
Thanks Drungo sir , now the ERA is not only stat I can employ to evaluate pitchers . I’m not stats nerd or whiz but it’s never too late to learn for a boomer like me
And for closers, don't forget the M/V-Q (Moxie/Veteranosity Quotient)!
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29 minutes ago, DrungoHazewood said:
One thing to look at for relievers is WPA, measuring performance completely in the context of win probability added or subtracted. Essentially taking into full account the importance, or leverage, of the situations he's pitched in and his outcomes.
Kimbrel is 104th in the majors in reliever WPA. 5th on the Orioles behind Coulombe, Webb, Perez, and Cano.
Dang, where's the Wow! emoji when you need it? : o
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Just now, Malike said:
I switched to the Seattle feed. It's working.
I'm blacked out from Seattle, as well as Toronto. Go figure.
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Just now, Can_of_corn said:
Roy LOVES sac flies in the game thread.
Okay, that's funny.
I'll take the Big flies over the Sac flies any day.
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1 hour ago, Can_of_corn said:
I don't get it, he doesn't even have one sac fly....
Kjerstad has 40 HR written all over him.
(Of course, I penciled in 50 HR for Glenn Davis when he was acquired, but anyway...)
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1 hour ago, e16bball said:
I think this is the wrong thread for this post…
Still trying to keep that dang helmet from falling off...
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1 hour ago, 24fps said:
Thanks for sharing this.
My only quibble is you failed to point out that Rubenstein is only one of several billionaires in the Orioles new ownership group. Boras has every reason to be happy with this particular changing of the guard. That said, I don't expect Elias to allow himself to be taken advantage of, and I'll be very surprised if Boras tries to bypass him going forward.
That's an intriguing nexus of decision-making going forward: Elias - Rubenstein + the rest of the ownership group. I'm assuming Rubenstein trusts Elias with the baseball decisions; yet with contracts coming up these turn back to how much the owners will front him. I wonder if anyone here has more insight/reporting to share on that balance of power in these upcoming decisions (beginning probably with the trade deadline).
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18 minutes ago, Frobby said:
Both. From Fangraphs yesterday:
“A problem contending teams often have to solve in order to be sustainably great is how to keep the pitching flowing while their position player core is in place. The Orioles aren’t going to have that problem. There are so many interesting pitchers in this system that it was tough to include them all. There’s an org we’re aware of whose scouts need to write a full report on a player if he touches 95 in front of them. If you’re a scout from that team covering Baltimore, you’ve had to write up more than 80 pitchers based on their peak velo alone. The retaining wall of arms is strong in the upper levels, giving the Orioles the pitching depth to contend amid injuries.”
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/baltimore-orioles-top-45-prospects-2024/
Meanwhile, our major league pitching staff has the third best ERA in MLB.
I’m honestly pretty tired of people saying we haven’t paid enough attention to the pitching.
I find this news pretty shocking, given our board "consensus" about the lack of pitching. Thx for the heads up.
Granted, most of those SP are still at high A or below, and the RP are only rated 35 or less FV, but given the impressive quantity of arms, some should pop above that in time. And the top 10 feature 3 SP in Povich, McDermott and Young.
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1 hour ago, Can_of_corn said:
Other teams seem to be able to grow the arms.
Sure... and then the arms fall off.
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2 hours ago, Il BuonO said:
It's hilarious to me that this team's pitching often is under the microscope. They've performed very well considering little Bradish, Means and no Wells.
I hear ya but I think the angst comes from looking forward from here. In the first half we had at least the equivalent of a main rotation piece (15 starts) from those three. Going forward that's 0. Also on the trepidation scale is the shelf life of good starts from Suarez and Irvin, with Irvin already confirming doubts. Then there's Kremer, also spending time on the IL. Amid all the carnage we have Povich as a ray of (also tentative) hope, to complement the ace and king we're still holding. So yes, there is real concern over the rotation (and the bullpen has its own concerns beginning with the loss of Coulombe).
All that said, I'm fully on board with considering Kjerstad as a top-gun member of the Untouchables!
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32 minutes ago, LookitsPuck said:
The kid is special. At age 20, Gunnar put up an 826 OPS across A, A+, AA. At age 18, Basallo put up a 953 OPS across A, A+, AA.
The money quote. More rep!
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16 minutes ago, bpilktree said:
He looks like same guy from start of last year. He isn’t wild but has no command and can’t get the ball in on right handers to inside corner. He is either yanking it way inside and not a competitive pitch or leaves it out in middle third to get hit hard. He just has no command to place his pitches where he needs them on the black and off edges.
Funny, reading this post in the sidebar under the thread title, I assumed you were talking about Kremer. I dunno, maybe the shoe fits him too. Anyone heard otherwise lately?
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Meanwhile, while offense in general (espec. batting average) is down by historic levels, homers are high at historic levels (at least with some players and some teams). So it's not all bleak for lovers of offense, since the power pitchers are countered by the power hitters. Not necessarily the game we want to see, but there's still lots of pop to keep us entertained.
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1 hour ago, Say O! said:
- in general, pitcher career WAR is much lesser than hitters. For context, Palmers 38th pitcher WAR of 67.8 would fall at 86th overall if in the hitters only category
Yet another confirmation of the wisdom of Elias's drafting approach (so far) to favor hitters.
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5 hours ago, DrungoHazewood said:
Santander has an OPS+ of 128 and a wRC+ of 125. In other words, at or near his career peak, and better than Cal or Brooks' career marks. A 128 OPS+ would be Nick Markakis' second-best offensive season.
MLB overall batting average this year is .242, 5th-lowest of all time. League OBP of .311 is in the bottom 15% since 1900. And while slugging will probably inch up through the summer, the current mark of .393 is lower than any season since 1992.
My guess is that they juice the ball next year, since the shift ban hasn't really had much of an overall effect. Even if it's revived a few careers like Ryan O'Hearn's.
That's a striking reveal of the low offense numbers in context, @DrungoHazewood. What's your best guess to account for it?
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Shades of overtaking the miracle Rays last year around midseason.
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5 minutes ago, Cuellar35 said:
It's why you draft bats, trade for arms.
Exactly. Which is why we can field a top lineup every night with a chance to win regardless of what rotation patchwork of the week is in effect, and what Norfolk-shuttle bullpen we trot out there. Day in, day out supremacy on the field.
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Unbelievable talent on this team right now, reflected in All-Star finalists at every position except 2B:
Rutschman, Mountcastle, Henderson, Westburg, O'Hearn, Santander (only one OFer, we're not greedy).
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22 minutes ago, Cuellar35 said:
I just dream of the day our two catchers at the major league level are Adley and Basallo. Heck, they could practically split the season at C to keep them truly fresh, while DHing on the days they are not behind the plate. Besides the power what truly intrigues me with Samuel is his speed. I never saw 7 SBs for him at this point of the season. Elias has two great athletes in Adley and Sammy.
Right on. Add to those bashers, Mayo and Kjerstad as regulars. Good times ahead. Hasta manana!
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1 hour ago, OsFanSinceThe80s said:
Gregor, is that you?
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But there should be such a stat!
Do we let Povich make his next start against the NYY?
in Orioles Talk
Posted
Thinking of Povich today after practicing flute--trying some note sequences that sounded way off, compared to some that were harmonically pleasing. Sometimes the biggest help to learning is find out what doesn't work.
In other words, I'm betting on a good outing next time out, whether it's vs. NY or someone else. It can help to get beat up by the pros once in a while.