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George

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Posts posted by George

  1. An awful .200 team has an 80% chance of losing a game. The probability of this .200 team losing 19 games in a row is 0.8 raised to the 19th power. The odds are 1 in 100.

    Very unlikely if the players are all trying to win and play up to a low bar of a .200 winning percentage.

  2. Doesn't matter much if a team picks first, second or another low round. Only the Rays and the old Expos have impressed me with their consistent skill in acquiring young athletes and developing them into high end major league players. Most teams are hit and mostly miss in this critical skill. Too bad the O's didn't choose to rebuild in the early 2000s. The first step should have been hiring the entire Expos scouting and development team from low A to the majors.

    • Upvote 1
  3. Afficianados of the race to the bottom know that its the W column that's important. The Rangers have won two more games than the O's. Texas has to live with those 2 wins and cannot decrease their wins with more losses. The O's remain in the driver's seat!

  4. The good news is that the Diamondbacks are on a 4 game win streak. The O's are only one game behind the Dbacks in the W column. Elias can take the first draft pick and deserves all the credit!

  5. Gotta like Hays, mostly for the excellent fielding, speed on the bases as well as in CF, his pleasure in playing a child's game, and the potential a real athlete has to hit well too. All these reasons are already in the comments. Another reason is an invidious comparison with regard to fielding with other position players, who will remain nameless. Hays is old school "Oriole's Way." He is not an affront to the baseball gods with ungodly fielding.

    • Upvote 1
  6. On 5/21/2020 at 1:29 PM, Roll Tide said:

    I think they are probably right. Loses to free agency and no signings. Drafted receivers usually don’t make an immediate impact

     

     

    https://ravenswire.usatoday.com/2020/05/21/despite-additions-pff-thinks-ravens-wr-corps-is-among-nfls-worst/

    Ravens are betting that its drafted receivers will improve during the season and become impact players during the playoffs.

  7. 1 hour ago, MongoBoy said:

    Billionaires (millionaires) have their hand in more than 1 business.  It's like when investing in the stock market.  You diversify.  They do not have all of their eggs in one basket.  Some owners may also be treating their teams as a business write off.  Not all of them are like Kennedys where the money was just passed down. They didn't become billionaires by making bad decisions.   I'm also pretty sure they are insured against this sort of thing. 

    A CPA needs to pore over tax returns to attain a true picture of an owner's MLB business.

    If a billionaire signs off on a bad contract, then the contract must be honored. It's our free enterprise system. You win some, you lose some. Self-made billionaires win more than they lose.

  8. Quote
    12 minutes ago, atomic said:

    So Governor Cuomo was forcing nursing homes to take recovering  Covid patients for two months. It was like throwing gasoline on a burning fire.  Also putting frail elderly people on ventilators probably killed more than it helped and giving them unproven drugs with the side effects of heart attacks probably didn’t help. 

    Here is a misleading narrative from the media. So veterans hospital had 72 deaths due to covid and newspaper says it was like a mass shooting. Well the facility has 350 beds. In a typical year they have 175 deaths. So assuming the hospital is always full you are talking about a 50 percent mortality rate. The people there are on the edge of death to begin with.

    Please provide a citation for the newspaper that says "it was like a mass shooting." Would like to read that item and need the name of the paper, the date of publication, and the title of the news article. Thanks so much.

     

    • Thanks 1
  9. Let's say $100. But, there is an unusual caveat. If I am staying at home most days, then I am looking for baseball games in the afternoon. The game should be played anyway in the sun, as the gods intended. For night games in empty stadia, let's say $50. Although the team has major flaws,, the GM is working to create a respectable one. It'll be fun to follow the young players and enjoy their development, sometimes postive and often a step back. Might even be fun to see Chris Davis at bat, if spring training was a harbinger of a miraculous comeback. 

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