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lifelongbirdfan

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Posts posted by lifelongbirdfan

  1. 1 hour ago, jrobb21613 said:

    For what it’s worth I went back 15 years and the earliest game 1 of any division series ever started was 3:07pm 

    Last year... https://www.sportingnews.com/us/mlb/news/mlb-playoff-schedule-2022-tv-channels-alds-nlds/m4cg6klkhlw24hqykj2vgmvq

    National League Division Series 2022 schedule

    All times are Eastern and are subject to change given results of other series.

    Date Game Start time (ET) TV channel Result
    Tue., Oct. 11 Phillies at Braves, Game 1 1:07 p.m. Fox

     

  2. I'm confused... is Wells even postseason eligible at this point?  Am I correct that players can be added to playoff roster only if replacing an injured player? But what if no one gets hurt? Also, if only one hurt player, does that mean only 1 of Wells/Means but not both? 

  3. 3 hours ago, ShoelesJoe said:

    I think the chances either the Brewers or Cardinals do those trades is somewhere in the zero range. Any team contemplating a major deal with the Orioles is going to hold out for at least one of the following players:

    Henderson

    Holliday

    Mayo

    Cowser

    Westburg

    Kjerstad

    Basallo

    I know. I know. Those guys are (mostly) untouchable in our books. But nobody is going to trade us a #1 or #2 pitcher w/o getting at least one sure fire stud prospect back in the deal, and I don't think Norby, Ortiz, Povich, or Prieto fit that description. 

    I'm not sure.  Just because we have a top farm system doesn't mean a team is guaranteed to get one of our best 5-7 prospects.  While a team with only 2 Top-100 prospects will be forced to trade one of them since they have nothing else to offer, I am hopeful we can deal from our excess like Norby, Prieto, Ortiz.  Think of the Dodgers a few years back, they chose who they wanted to hang on to and didn't give up their top guys.   For Machado, we couldn't land their untouchable guys.  Really, only to get Betts in his prime did they give Verdugo. My point is, I think we should shop our excess and hold the top guys for any rentals. I would only give up one of the studs for multiple years of an ace. 

  4. While we all agree on not trusting Angelos owners, that wasn't the question.

    I think where I've landed is that I do trust the trades that Elias DOES make.  Just like in free agency, everything is measured and calculated and I trust that he won't make stupid moves.  And at last year's deadlines, the moves he made were solid, even spectacular.

    The only question in my mind is whether he'll make the right decision to pull the trigger on something that is a slight overpay due to the market.   I'm not talking about the stupid money that would handcuff the franchise... I'm talking the extra year or extra $ for a guy like Eovaldi or Bassit.  While Elias may have been correct in his risk assessment, the result is that you don't have a starter.  I think that was ok in a year like this year as we are approaching serious contention. 

    But either this deadline or offseason, he is going to need to go past what is a comfortable, easy decision and make a calculated risk to go for it. Not mortgage the future, but go for it. He has proven himself in all other areas so I am hopeful. But until we add a legitimate starting pitcher, I will still have slight reservations.

    I think he's waiting for the right timing because of the ownership limitations, he knows he only has a couple opportunities to push the "override the plan" button and so he is waiting for the right moment. I think we misunderstood the liftoff comments... I think he now has the button on the table but still isn't going to push it until he's good and ready. So I guess I do trust him because he's proven himself trustworthy so far!

     

     

    • Upvote 2
  5. I didn’t trust Duquette. For as successful as DD was, the trade deadline was not his forte.

    When buying, he gave up Josh Hader, Eduardo Rodriquez, even Jonah Heim. When selling, his deals for Gausman and Machado turned up as duds.

    My point is that trades with prospects involved are a crapshoot, but the O’s don’t have a great track record.  This is what concerns me about grow the bats, buy the arms… Are we actually going to be able to buy arms?

    While Elias was aggressive and did very well dumping Mancini and Lopez, I think he’s going to be gun-shy as a buyer at this deadline. Like he was in Free Agency, he assigns a value and sticks with it, even if the market says otherwise. Elias was too disciplined for his own good and we got left with nothing because he wasn’t willing to overpay.  Just like free agency, there’s risk involved and some bad options with only a few good ones mixed in. We can’t afford to be wrong but can’t afford to just sit back and watch.

    Considered pitchers that I’m glad we didn’t get: Degrom, Rodon, Thor, Quintana, Taillon, KLuber,

    Considered pitchers that I wish we had:  Eovaldi, Wacha, Eflin

    So yes, there are more bad deals than good ones, so Elias can say he avoided a mistake, but we also didn't have a chance at a starter either.  With more buyers than sellers, prices will be high and I don’t trust Elias as a buyer because I don't think he'll pull the trigger. But if I he does get aggressive, I think he'll be more successful than DD was. What do you think?

  6. 10 hours ago, Chaka Garcia said:

    With Givens and Tate coming back, who gets sent down from the bullpen? Perez who is slumping is out of options.

    This is a great question. After a nerve-racking start, this pen is way better than we realized. Voth, Akin, then Perez are the only 3 I don't trust, so I guess one of them.   Great depth since all were solid last year. Could Irvin replace Voth for long relief?  They obviously don't want to lose Voth after his great 2nd half... but now is the time to try send him down before he starts putting up better results.  We have so much depth!  Tate, Givens, Hall, Means.

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