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Mizerooskie

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Posts posted by Mizerooskie

  1. 27 minutes ago, Low Country Bird said:

    As a Clemson alum, this discussion is very interesting for both my O's and Tigers. 

    First re Wagner, he was an absolute stud this year.  Any time we needed a big hit, he seemed to deliver.   Caden Grice, who we thought was our best player going into the season, was brutal this year.  Max picked up where Grice left off last year and carried the offense.  I don't think he's coming back to Clemson and think he will sign at or under slot.  We had a coaching change a month ago and while there's a great deal of excitement for Bakich, numerous players have left/transferred.  When Wagner announced he was leaving, there didn't seem to be any uncertainty.  And there doesn't seem to be any from the coaches that he's not coming back.  So I doubt he gives up the money (even at or under slot) to come back to a new coaching staff.  I don't see how he could have a better year than this year.  

    As to the HS pitchers, both Porter and Tristan Smith are Clemson commits so it's been interesting watching them slide a bit (Porter more so than Smith).  Obviously, the hope at Clemson is that they are now priced out of any remaining slot money and will enroll in August.   While it worked out for us for Will Taylor, we were burned on Bubba Chandler last year so many are prepared that Porter will  be drafted today, sign an overslot deal and never step foot in a classroom at Clemson.    I just hope that at this point, it's either Clemson or the O's. 

    Hello fellow Clemson alum!

  2. 4 minutes ago, Remember The Alomar said:

    Not trying to give you a hard time, but there is also a world where they think he's the best prospect and that they can save some money. I'm not making that argument, per se, but the two possibilities aren't necessarily mutually exclusive from the perspective of the Orioles.  

    And that scenario would fall under the first option which was financial impact agnostic 😀.

    • Upvote 1
  3. 1 minute ago, Ruzious said:

    WAC POY - that should count for something.  Everything indicates he's a true workhorse that loves the game.  Gotta wonder - once he adds 15 lbs of muscle, are people going to still say his power rating is just 35?  Sure doesn't strike out much.  

    Lots of XBHs as well.  The assumption used to be that those doubles and triples could turn into HRs with muscle added.  It all depends on how the Las Cruces elevation helped him, I suppose.

  4. Well I disagree, even if he agrees to a deal before hitting the market, at the time of the trade you have him for 2 months. That's all. Any extension, which I see as extremely unlikely 2 months away from free agency anyway, would be paying market rates after the fact. Something that could be done just as easily in the offseason.
    Sigh. You don't think a big market team would go over market value to pull him away from the O's in the offseason? I certainly do, which would mean signing him to a market rates wouldn't be done just as easily in the offseason.
  5. Who cares when you sign him? All this does is get you out of the competitive bidding process, if he's willing to forgo getting out of that process. There's no guarantee the negotiating window gets you anything at all. If he wants to test the waters he'll test the waters, unless you blow him out of the water. Very little value in the trade beyond the production over the next two months.

    I'm quite sure Dan Duquette cares when they sign him. You think he wants his only opportunity to sign an OF upgrade to be during a competitive bidding process? Context is just as important for evaluating roster building as it is in evaluating statistics.

  6. Free Agency is not some great mystery. He isn't signing for anything that isn't near his market value during the negotiating window.
    OK. Even if you take that stance, if he signs during the negotiating window for market value, it can't be with another team. As I said before, that wouldn't have been possible without the trade.
  7. Why would he agree to a deal he couldn't have gotten in free agency? If they do extend it will be at free agent market costs. So, there is no difference. The trade is for 2 months.

    Because he likes his experience in Baltimore, or any of a myriad of other reasons?

    Again, there is a difference if he doesn't hit the market. There would be no competition they'd have to outbid.

    I don't get why in this situation, ignoring context is seen as the more accurate means of evaluation.

  8. Completely disagree. You've traded for two months of him, plus a negotiating window. I wouldn't pay $50 and a goat for the window.

    This doesn't make much sense to me. If they sign him before he hits free agency, it's a direct result of the trade. If would have been impossible without the trade.

  9. Could we not have signed him the off-season without the trade? Whether we extend him or not' date=' in the end, we traded for 2 months of him. They trade should be judge based purely on that.[/quote']Disagree. If they traded for him with the intention of signing him, then whether they sign him should absolutely factor into the trade.
  10. My verdict: incomplete.

    If they extend Parra or win the WS, it's a great trade. A 2 win outfielder that fits the team philosophy is much more valuable than a prospect of Davies' caliber, and the bust potential associated therewith, IMO.

    If Parra walks, it's pretty terrible.

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