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beantownrefugee

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Posts posted by beantownrefugee

  1. Amazing.  The Orioles derive only 22% of their revenue from gate receipts.  Add in a bit for merch & concessions.  That still leaves the majority of the revenue from other sources, mostly media I assume.  So no one could show up to the games, and the team would still break even, assuming media revenues didn't decrease with in-person interest.  Very changed landscape in sports.  NFL is probably skewed even more towards media revenues.  WWE (a business which I follow closely) is very similar.  Back in the 1980s and before, revenue was derived from attendance.  Not anymore. It's perhaps on the order of 10-15%.

  2. Option 1 for me!  

    Both Hall and Ortiz are depreciating assets with respect to a top outcome.  Another year of Hall with a high BB rate, or another year of Ortiz slotting in behind Westburg in the O's front office's perceived pecking order, then neither would be valued as highly in a trade next offseason.  We had that downside risk on our side. 

  3. 1 hour ago, NedFromYork said:

    If Kremer is game 3 starter then that is why Gibson should have been brought in right after Grod.  He has playoff experience pitching in relief.  With the way things are he may not pitch at all in the series, which doesn't make sense the way things are laid out.  You worry about game 4 if there is a game 4.

    Yes indeed. Would have pulled GRod a couple batters earlier.  But liked Coulombe in the 2nd inning *IF* the plan was to have Coulombe limit damage, then let Gibson or Kremer start the 3rd inning.  Whoever was planned for Game 4 starter.  Clean sheet. New game (albeit down a run or two).  But worry about Game 4 later.  Playoffs are a completely different beast.

    • Upvote 1
  4. Echoing what the OP said --- the crowd was terrific.  I think these were a lot of the Birdland members, because the plastic bag for carrying in food that the O's gave to the members was ubiquitous.  I'll give the Orioles credit at least for the upper deck concessions.  The lines moved a lot better than feared, AND they opened three more concession stands, one of which sold Boog's (behind section 372).  

    I hope those attending today's game will be just as loud, and more importantly, enjoy the experience, win or lose.

  5. 1 hour ago, beantownrefugee said:

    If anyone is still looking for parking for tomorrow's game (10/7), we have an extra parking pass in Lots F/G/H.  PM me if interested, with your email address so I can forward it on the MLB Ballpark app.   $25 (the cost I paid the Orioles), pay me via Paypal.

    Parking pass has been sold.  Thanks everyone.

  6. 21 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

    Did you guys have the option to buy ALcS and WS today?

    ALCS but not the WS.  O's divided it into two waves.

    Wave 1:  WC, ALDS, ALCS

    Wave 2: WS (presumably so they can sell more season tickets for 2024 before placing WS on sale)

    • Upvote 1
  7. I found it to be a bit clunky, but otherwise straightforward.  After each purchase, I had to re-enter the offer code.  I purchased upper box all three of my games.  IIRC they were all row 3, so that seems to indicate that there should be plenty available for those with later ticket windows (knock on wood).   I also was able to purchase parking for all three games in Lots F/G/H.  

  8. Assuming Mountcastle is healthy

    McKenna as a late inning defensive replacement.  No need to carry 14 pitchers when the max number of consecutive games is 3 days, and #5 starter is not needed.

    Means, Hall, Gibson

    Bautista of course if healthy.  If not, Flaherty.  He's at least a better option than Baumann as a mid inning replacement if down by 5 runs or more.

     

  9. I've stuck with the Reserved over the last decade for a few reasons:

    - Less money upfront

    -  This season, there were seats available to almost any game.  So trading in / exchanging tickets is feasible.  And thus it really is a "flex" plan while minimizing the deposit outlay.  So I used my account balance as a gift card, equal to the value of my deposit.  What I did was, before the season started and the games assigned to me were identified, I exchanged all of them for games in September or as late in the season as possible.  Thus I didn't have to worry about an unused ticket.  When I wanted to go to a game as the season went along, I then exchanged one of those "September" tickets dollar for dollar.  I had to add whatever the delta was in additional cash (e.g., say the "September" tickets I'm exchanging were worth $100, and the tickets for the game were $104.  I paid the extra $4).  Keep in mind, this approach completely depends on tickets being available for any game.  If the Orioles make the World Series, that may not be the case next year, due to people signing up for 2024 in order to buy 2023 WS.

    -  I still get the concessions / merch discount

    - I still get the member discount on additional tickets

    The drawbacks:

    - the ticket site is only set up to exchange tickets for one game at a time.  So if I wanted to couple, say, "Sept 20" and "Sept 23" tickets to maximize my dollar amount exchanged, I had to phone the Orioles.  Not a big deal.  But I cannot do that after hours or on the weekend, so some planning ahead is required.  Can't decide on Friday at 8 pm that I wanted to do the exchange for the following day's game.

    - Because I wanted to minimize my outlay upfront, I bought just one ticket for upper reserved at the Orange level (13 games).  Which was the absolute lowest deposit required.  So for the playoff pre-sale, I am allowed to purchase just one ticket.  What can I say -- I didn't have faith the Orioles would get to the ALDS before the season started.  Oops.  So if you want to ensure you have a certain number of tickets to a playoff game, buy as many season tickets.

     

    • Thanks 1
  10. Irrelevant to me unless they also have fresher concessions on the upper deck level.  Last year on lower attendance nights, there was a single concession stand behind home plate with boxed up food (and a limited selection).  I'm hoping they can determine a way to make the upper deck concessions more appetizing on low attendance nights.

    • Like 1
  11. 2 hours ago, Going Underground said:

    $500 million is a nice incentive to come from the state .

    Exactly.  Once that boondoggle was announced, I figured if the current franchise didn't take it and instead moved, another owner would.  If it were the Rays and they brought the front office, coaching staff and farm system with them, then I'd personally drive the current o's to Nashville. Bon voyage!

    • Confused 1
  12. I don't favor trading Santander.  Others have put the stat-line improvements earlier in the thread.  In 2023, I'd roll with Santander, Mountcastle and Adley rotating the DH for the most part.  Santander as DH more than the other two.  I see Hays as a stop-gap until Cowser is ready.  I agree with an earlier comment, Hays would at best net a pair of DSL prospects at this point.  Stowers is TBD, but he should be in the mix to start a good chunk of the first half of the year, see what he's got.

    As for Elias' statement that the Orioles plan to spend (like many, I am skeptical), I'm expecting that would include paying Mullins and Santander for their arb-year increases. But primarily as a catalyst for acquiring veteran / pricy starting pitching via trades.  Similar to how Houston operated when the time was right.  For the players involved, I'd prefer to trade from the farm system, vs. Santander. 

  13. On its surface, both Wells and Kremer had solid starts vs. the Blue Jays earlier this year: 

    Kremer (at Toronto, August 16, Win). 7 IP, 7 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 6 K, 15 GB, 5 FB.

    Wells (at Toronto, June 16, Win).  6 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 3 K, 9 GB, 11 FB.

    I can see that playing into Hyde's thinking for tonight.  However, why mess with a good thing in Kremer's recent strong performances?  Unless Kremer is ill or entering a dead arm period, Wells as an opener is overthinking it.  More variance, me thinks, in Wells' expectations for tonight, having not pitched since July 27.

     

     

  14. I wish they would have simply rebalanced the number of non-divisional games within the American League, to account for the increased emphasis of the wild card.   The interleague games always hold the least appeal to me. 

    14 games vs. AL East = 56

    9 games vs. rest of AL = 90

    16 total vs. NL, with Nats every year for at least 3 games.

     

  15. Dream configuration would likely include a FA.  Hard to predict that.  From within the organization, I'm expecting Mountcastle (1B), Vavra (2B), Gunnar (SS), Westburg (3B) at this time next year.  Mateo as the utility IF.

  16. TwinsDaily.com has Povich as the Twins #10 prospect, as of July 1:

    Bats: L / Throws: L

    Age: 22

    Rule 5 Eligible: After 2024 Season

    Acquisition Method: Draft

    Scouting Report

    June 2022 Update
    One of the fastest-rising arm stocks in the system alongside Marco Raya. Povich threw only 10 innings in the Twins system after being drafted in the third round last year, so he's now acclimating to full-season pro competition for the first time. His strikeout rate suggests he's overmatching Single-A hitters at Cedar Rapids, which is unsurprising for a 22-year-old highly drafted college pitcher. If he can reach the high minors and establish himself as a near-ready option in the second half that'd be helpful, because left-handed starters is a clear area of scarcity for the Twins.

    • Upvote 2
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  17. Some consideration needs to be made as to when the projected stars will reach arbitration and free agency.  If we're looking at sustainable success, the Orioles likely won't be able to afford all of them hitting those marks at the same time AND increase payroll to add impact free agents.   Right now I would consider those stars to be Adley, Gunnar, GRod, Holliday.  Barring a top two rookie of the year placement, waiting on Gunnar and GRod until ~ May 2023 would space out the arbitration and FA a bit.  With a possible exception for Gunnar if the O's are in wild card contention in mid-August, a la Manny in 2012.

  18. 4 hours ago, wildcard said:

    O's won, Jays lost.   O's are 5 back.

    Yes!  This post has me giddy. Been way too long since we've watched the nightly results and re-calculated the standings.  Fun, fun!

    If the O's can keep within striking distance as the trade deadline approaches, that would leave Elias in an outstanding negotiating position. Always want the best Option B.  Elias can tell other teams that he can stand pat and keep going for a wild card berth, but make me an offer I can't refuse.  Far better than Option B being keeping the team intact for (relatively) meaningless games.

    I'd look to trade all of the players people are mentioning....Mancini, Santander, Lopez, Tate...and I'd add in Lyles to that mix.  A key to a good return will be whether the O's provide salary relief to the other team, esp. for a Mancini or Lyles trade.  Hopefully the answer is yes.  Those costs were already planned to be allocated this season.  Let's not dampen our return for the sake of a few bucks.

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