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Lurker

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Posts posted by Lurker

  1. 5 hours ago, SilverRocket said:

    The reasons I can think of that would make a difference are:

    1) Deception in the delivery, which doesn't show up in pitch data. But I don't think Grayson is really reliant on some unusual delivery where that would be a huge factor.

    2) Mental game, where the pitcher maybe nibbles or has inconsistent mechanics or otherwise changes how he throws when he's feeling more pressure. Do you think that's the case here? I thought Grayson was pretty well-regarded for how he approaches his game.

    Or is it some other factor?

    Another interesting factor is the risk/reward of drafting players from high school as opposed to players from the college ranks.

    There is only about a 14% chance that any first round high school drafted pitcher makes it to the major leagues, and less than 8% chance that they will play 3 or more years. 
     

    For first round college drafted pitchers, those same numbers are 22% and 15%.

    Both Hall and Rodriguez were high school picks.

    Gibson, Kremer, Bradish, Irvin, and Wells were all drafted from college.

    https://sabr.org/journal/article/the-chances-of-a-drafted-baseball-player-making-the-major-leagues-a-quantitative-study/

  2. 3 hours ago, RZNJ said:

    I think you’re reading too much into it.  This kid had some rough times in AAA and came out strong last year.  He had some struggles in the majors and came back strong and who’s to say he didn’t actually have some shoulder inflammation.    I see nothing wrong with him saying it was good to have a mental and physical reset.    Makes sense to me.

    He had shoulder inflammation.

  3. 3 hours ago, eddie83 said:

    So maybe Bradish side day was a day earlier?  He goes tomorrow. 

    Bradish pitched for Norfolk on Wednesday 3/15. 5 innings, no runs, 5 k’s and 49 pitches.

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  4.  

    Let’s see who comes to ST fit and ready to pitch. Let’s see who shows up overweight and out of shape. Let’s see who spent the winter improving their craft of sitting on a beach drinking.

    Once “we” see who is hungry and ready for a pennant race  OR who is happy cashing checks, we will have a better idea of how the rotation will shake out. 
     

  5. 5 hours ago, Frobby said:

    To me, Bradish just looked more confident and willing to challenge hitters as the season progressed.  Obviously the pitch mix and pitch movement data discussed in this thread are very important, and some of the changes may be what led him to be more aggressive.   But by the end of the year I was feeling very good when he was on the mound.   I think he learned a lot about himself and about how to attack hitters.   I’m bullish on him for 2023.   

    I think what you saw was a young pitcher developing his craft and becoming more confident of his tools.

    Bradish has worked hard during the winter building himself up physically and experimenting with new grips and pitches. (Which is what all our pitchers likely did.)

    I am very excited to see how it all “shakes out” and how our young pitchers will help propel the O’s to the playoffs.

  6. 4 hours ago, interloper said:

    Do you get the impression that, under the Elias regime, they remove players for so-called injuries or option them in order to do mid-season development or implement repertoire changes, etc? It kind of feels like that to me, but not sure there's enough sample to really say they do that. Kind of an interesting thought though. Like maybe they get a big enough sample on what Bradish looks like in the majors, see what's not working, give him an injury rest (by midseason you could probably claim soreness or injury on any pitcher) and then implement changes while he rehabs. Then, boom, he's refreshed and armed with new weapons in the second half based on the analytics. 

    I don’t know about other players injuries, but Bradish was pitching with chronic shoulder soreness for quite awhile before it was noticed and addressed. After treatment and rehab, Bradish pitched his “2nd half” without chronic soreness.

  7. 9 minutes ago, LA2 said:

    Tyranny of the umpires. In the future, baseball must not allow such things to occur. Were low strikes being called all game? (I came in during the 10th.)

    For me, whatever the Umps zone is, is fine…AS LONG AS IT IS CONSISTENT.

    It seems lately that the zone moves around from inning to inning, totally unfair.

  8. On 9/19/2022 at 7:01 PM, DrungoHazewood said:

    To make the game more interesting.  To reduce the amount of time where you have seven fielders drifting off to sleep because the ball's never in play.  To take it back to the way it was meant to be and as it was played for more than a century, as a sport that typically takes two hours or so. To allow my children, aged 15 and 14 to finally, for the first time in their lives, to have fighting chance to see a 9th inning of a weekday game before going to bed.

    Any reasonable organization regularly looks at its weaknesses and proposes improvements.  For a long time baseball has looked at its weaknesses and proclaimed that they were really strengths and that the fans who were leaving didn't really understand baseball.  I'm not a fan of banning the shift, but I'm very happy that they've finally gotten out of their 100 year rut of proclaiming every bug to be a feature and hoping nobody notices they're full of it.

    My dad always let us stay up to watch baseball. He even took me out of school to watch day games from time to time.

    Those were special memories, watching Koufax and Drysdale at Chavez Ravine, with a Carnation chocolate shake in one hand and peanuts in the other.

    Baseball has never been boring to me…ever.

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