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Chito

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Posts posted by Chito

    March 3 vs the Pirates in Bradenton

    in Game Threads

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, OriolesMagic83 said:

    I'm not watching the game.  Do you think Holliday should have had it or was it one of those plays he was lucky to even get to it?

    It was a hard grounder up the middle. Went off Holliday's glove as he was diving; never really had a play. 

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    2019 Arizona Fall League Thread

    in Minors

    Posted

    From Keith Law's AFL scouting piece (he didn't mention any O's players):

    Victor Victor Mesa signed with the Marlins last October for $5.25 million, and right now that appears to be money down the tubes, as he hit just .235/.274/.263 this year. He looks atrocious at the plate, and shows no above-average tools other than his arm. I saw him do nothing but strike out or ground out, and he doesn't even pretend to run out ground balls. Reports I had on him from his workout last fall appear to have been wildly optimistic -- if he's a plus runner, he left it at home before heading to Arizona -- and I had him way too high on my Marlins list at No. 2.

     

    • Upvote 3
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    Stroman to Mets

    in MLB

    Posted

    31 minutes ago, birdwatcher55 said:

    Don't follow top 100 prospects much. Are these guys serious prospects?

    Kay seems like a safe bet to be a mid-rotation starter. Probably would be by now if not for Tommy John a few years ago.

    Woods-Richardson is a higher upside guy who's a few years away.

    I guess it's good value for him. Surprised a serious contender didn't beat this offer though.

    Orioles trade Cashner to Red Sox

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    31 minutes ago, interloper said:

    Meoli snuck this line into his latest article, but doesn't elaborate:

    Wonder what that means, exactly.

    Here's how Connolly put it:

    Cashner is a tough guy who spoke his mind and didn’t care about ruffling young Orioles’ feathers. But he also gave exorbitant amounts of time to those inexperienced guys in the clubhouse.

    • Upvote 1

    Can Means become the Orioles’ version of Kuechel?

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Frobby said:

    I think I found where they track this.    It’s really just vertical movement on the fastball.   Means is second highest of any pitcher who has thrown 30 innings this year:   https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=30&type=19&season=2019&month=0&season1=2019&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0

    Yep. Just found Sarris pointing someone to the BP Pitch f/x leaderboard. 

    Can Means become the Orioles’ version of Kuechel?

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    Just now, Frobby said:

    Thanks.   That explains what it is, but I’m still curious where these measurements are found.    I would love to see a list of the top “riders.”

    He did write this just after the part I posted:

    The all-time top 50 four-seamers by ride average 90 mph. Among four-seamers that average more than 94 mph, Buehler actually has the 11th-highest ride of the era.

    Can Means become the Orioles’ version of Kuechel?

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted · Edited by Chito

    4 hours ago, Frobby said:

    What exactly is “ride,” how do you measure it, and where are those measurements found?

    Seems like it's just another way to say "perceived rise."  Linked to spin rate.  Here's what Sarris wrote in a piece about Walker Buehler:

    There’s another advanced concept that’s at play here. “Ride,” or the way that a backspun fastball can counteract gravity and appear higher at the plate than a batter expects, is something that Buehler has used to guide his development.

    Spin contributes to movement, and Buehler has the 12th-highest spin rate among starting pitchers in baseball this year. More spin on a four seamer generally means more ride. Buehler has more ride than the average pitcher, but only the 116th-highest ride since we started tracking these things in the early 2000s.

    So why doesn’t he have more ride?

    “Over 94, the ride matters less because it’s firm enough to not be perceived any different,” Buehler told me. “The guys that throw invisiballs throw 90-92, the ride helps them play so much further.”

    Can Means become the Orioles’ version of Kuechel?

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    Eno Sarris wrote about Means in a column on pitchers off to surprising starts:

     

    John Means

    I’ve got a comp for you: Marco Estrada. That comp has its ups and downs, but it captures Means’ arsenal best. In today’s game, Means’ 92 mph fastball is below-average, but it has really good ride and jumps on the hitter — only four pitchers have more ride, and one of them is Estrada. His fastball and changeup have a 12 mph velo gap, and Estrada’s have a 12 mph velo gap.

    And just like Estrada struggled to find a good breaking ball, Means has been looking for his own third pitch. The curve rates really poorly in all dimensions, so the slider has to be the key. So far, it’s doing just well enough with a slightly below-average whiff rate, but there are reasons to be worried. Nobody’s really swinging at it (39 percent swing rate, 48 percent is average), and so he may have to come into the zone more with it — which would be a bad idea if it’s not a great pitch.

    Just as Marco Estrada has had some good stretches — even in good hitter’s parks — Means may have the ability to rock hitters back and forth with that fastball and change. But for continued success (or an ERA better than Estrada’s career 4.29 number), Means will need to find more.

     

     

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