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Chito

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Posts posted by Chito

  1. 2 minutes ago, OriolesMagic83 said:

    I'm not watching the game.  Do you think Holliday should have had it or was it one of those plays he was lucky to even get to it?

    It was a hard grounder up the middle. Went off Holliday's glove as he was diving; never really had a play. 

  2. 31 minutes ago, birdwatcher55 said:

    Don't follow top 100 prospects much. Are these guys serious prospects?

    Kay seems like a safe bet to be a mid-rotation starter. Probably would be by now if not for Tommy John a few years ago.

    Woods-Richardson is a higher upside guy who's a few years away.

    I guess it's good value for him. Surprised a serious contender didn't beat this offer though.

  3. 2 minutes ago, Frobby said:

    I think I found where they track this.    It’s really just vertical movement on the fastball.   Means is second highest of any pitcher who has thrown 30 innings this year:   https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=30&type=19&season=2019&month=0&season1=2019&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0

    Yep. Just found Sarris pointing someone to the BP Pitch f/x leaderboard

  4. Just now, Frobby said:

    Thanks.   That explains what it is, but I’m still curious where these measurements are found.    I would love to see a list of the top “riders.”

    He did write this just after the part I posted:

    The all-time top 50 four-seamers by ride average 90 mph. Among four-seamers that average more than 94 mph, Buehler actually has the 11th-highest ride of the era.

  5. 4 hours ago, Frobby said:

    What exactly is “ride,” how do you measure it, and where are those measurements found?

    Seems like it's just another way to say "perceived rise."  Linked to spin rate.  Here's what Sarris wrote in a piece about Walker Buehler:

    There’s another advanced concept that’s at play here. “Ride,” or the way that a backspun fastball can counteract gravity and appear higher at the plate than a batter expects, is something that Buehler has used to guide his development.

    Spin contributes to movement, and Buehler has the 12th-highest spin rate among starting pitchers in baseball this year. More spin on a four seamer generally means more ride. Buehler has more ride than the average pitcher, but only the 116th-highest ride since we started tracking these things in the early 2000s.

    So why doesn’t he have more ride?

    “Over 94, the ride matters less because it’s firm enough to not be perceived any different,” Buehler told me. “The guys that throw invisiballs throw 90-92, the ride helps them play so much further.”

  6. Eno Sarris wrote about Means in a column on pitchers off to surprising starts:

     

    John Means

    I’ve got a comp for you: Marco Estrada. That comp has its ups and downs, but it captures Means’ arsenal best. In today’s game, Means’ 92 mph fastball is below-average, but it has really good ride and jumps on the hitter — only four pitchers have more ride, and one of them is Estrada. His fastball and changeup have a 12 mph velo gap, and Estrada’s have a 12 mph velo gap.

    And just like Estrada struggled to find a good breaking ball, Means has been looking for his own third pitch. The curve rates really poorly in all dimensions, so the slider has to be the key. So far, it’s doing just well enough with a slightly below-average whiff rate, but there are reasons to be worried. Nobody’s really swinging at it (39 percent swing rate, 48 percent is average), and so he may have to come into the zone more with it — which would be a bad idea if it’s not a great pitch.

    Just as Marco Estrada has had some good stretches — even in good hitter’s parks — Means may have the ability to rock hitters back and forth with that fastball and change. But for continued success (or an ERA better than Estrada’s career 4.29 number), Means will need to find more.

     

     

  7. Markakis is #18 on Keith Law's top 50 FA list. 

    Jones didn't make the cut.

    Here's what he had to say about Nick:

    "Not to rain on anyone's parade here, but after a huge start to his season, in the second half Markakis kind of turned back into a pumpkin... He hit .258/.332/.369 after the All-Star break, which looks a lot like his previous five years: .277/.348/.380 overall, never slugging .400 in any of those seasons. He's a below-average regular in right field, and at 35 this year is far more likely to decline than improve. A one-year deal for $6 million-$8 million might be a bit rich given the lack of power, but there is some value in his durability: He has played in 155 or more games in six straight years and 11 of 12."

  8. 1 hour ago, SouthRider said:

    Gausman starting for Atlanta game 3.  So depressing seeing all of our ex-players in the post season.   I am rooting for Manny while I have the chance.  If he goes to NY or Boston I will stop.  

    Not sure why they made the change.

  9. 17 minutes ago, MrOrange82 said:

    Don't want to post yet another Manny thread/poll, but I suspect some extra thanks might be owed Manny (for people who're into that).

    It's fair to argue that he should have been traded last winter, but he was also coming off a season in which he hit .259/.310/.471. This year he put himself on pace for career highs in almost every offensive category. 

    How much better do people think a trade offer would have been last winter? Probably better, sure. But how much? This deal looks pretty good to me. Possibly great, all things considered.

    I just don't see it being much better. I've seen it reported that the Cardinals were the closest, and their offer was built around Jedd Gyorko and two young pitchers. Maybe Flaherty was one of them? I know we liked Hicks.

    Anyway, Manny had a .730ish OPS at the deadline last year, was red hot for a while, then bad in September. Hard to tell what he might've brought in December, but I don't think it would have been appreciably better than what we got today.

  10. 1 minute ago, ScGO's said:

    I know folks are feeling a bit down, but this is great overall.  I figured we'd only get 3 total from the beginning: one top 100 towards the 50-80 range (got him) and two B to C+ prospects.  This isn't bad at all for the market that I envisioned.  Kremer and Bannon are doing very well at levels that are congruent with their ages.  Valera is an interesting throw in as he has been .300 avg in the minors and the dude walks more than he K's.  Could be a scrappy dude to cheer for on the MLB squad going forward that could carve a career out of this opportunity.  Pop seems like just a guy, but our scouts may see something they like.  That is one thing our system has done well, develop relief arms.  Patience.  And I applaud this return.  And be careful if it comes out a desired target was rejected bc of their physical; the dude's career could be over in a year or two with an injury.

    Manny did us a huge favor with his first half. I think his OPS is over 200 percentage points higher than this time last year.

    • Upvote 1
  11. 4 minutes ago, ISU94 said:

    Good catch, just noticed that.

    Impressive nonethesless. Still getting viewed as a future pen arm but we'll see. If so, looks like he'd be pretty damn solid out of there.

    Yeah. I'm glad we got him. 

    From MLB.com:

    Kremer's best pitch is a fastball that sits at 91-94 mph, touches 96 and plays better than its velocity thanks to some armside run. He backs up his heater with a big-breaking curveball that he can land for strikes or get hitters to chase out of the zone. He has made improvements with his slider and changeup, which has helped fuel his success in 2018.

    He's also locating his pitches better this year, enhancing Kremer's chances of remaining a starter. He has demonstrated a consistent ability to miss bats that also could make him useful as a late-inning reliever. He didn't start pitching full-time until he got to junior college and was young for his draft class, so he has more room to develop than the typical pitcher in his third year in pro ball.

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