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Otter

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Posts posted by Otter

  1. 8 hours ago, Orioles4Life21 said:

    CB Bucknor was surprisingly ok tonight

    Yes, after the terrible 3rd strike call on Gunnar in the 1st he was actually better than he normally is.  But I loved how Palmer tore into him after that bad call.  It's almost as if Palmer was just waiting for the first chance to bash him.

  2. 44 minutes ago, Frobby said:

    I think the main issue is that Kimbrel is turning 36 shortly and he’s not cut out to make 78 appearances a year, which is the pace he’s on.  He did that once when he was 23 years old.  He’s only reached 70 appearance one other time, last year, when he tired at the end of the season.  

    If I’m Hyde, I’m doing my best to limit Kimbrel to 5 appearances every two weeks.   If that means someone else has to pitch the 9th in a save situation every so often, so be it.  
     

    This.  The problem is Hyde doesn't really have any other appealing options.  Elias handcuffed him by not bringing in at least one other late inning reliever in the offseason.  

  3. 2 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

    Not to mention it was a different era.

    That said, Burnes doesn’t have the command or control Maddux had..simply put, maybe no one in baseball history has either.

    Exactly, completely different eras.  And I've never seen a pitcher with the combination of elite control, command, and movement that Maddux had.  It's crazy to go back and watch some old videos and see the movement and command he had of his two seam fastball.

  4. Good points.  As for Fabian, good defense but I'm not sold on the bat skills translating against major league pitching.  And although Cowser has looked so much better defensively this year, I don't think he's a full-time CF at the major league level.  Although I'm comfortable with him filling in at CF.

  5. 46 minutes ago, Roll Tide said:

    Just curious, Was Greg Maddux an ace? Age 30-36 he was a clear #1 and his career K/9 of 6. His best seasons were 7.3 and 7.8. As long as his BB/9 runs don’t increase it isn’t a big deal. The credit for the home run yesterday goes to the hitter. The pitch was far from a meatball. 
     

    An interesting stats …. Maddux faced around 20,500 batters and only allowed something like 350 3-0 counts ….his BB/9 was 1.8 for his career and under 1.5 from 30-36. After that he wasn’t an ace but a very good #3. And he played part of his career in the roid era. 
     

    Burnes doesn’t need to fan 10-12 per 9. If he manages a K/9 per 9 that’s plenty good enough if he can get the BB/9 under 2.0. He’s currently at 1.5 this season and was 1.8 two seasons ago. And 2.6 for his career. But that doesn’t matter when your are struck ing 10-12 batters .

    What you say is certainly possible, but using one of the best pitchers of all time (and a true unicorn) as the exception to disprove the rule isn't a great argument IMO.

    • Upvote 2
  6. 17 hours ago, OsFanInOhio said:

    Are we deeper at 2nd than cf? What 2b prospects due we have outside norby? Maybe Wagner if he hits enough but can’t handle 3rd? Horvath is more valuable at 3rd or cf as well…I feel like our middle infield depth has actually dried up quite a bit in the last year with westburg and Holliday moving up to the bigs and Ortiz getting traded … 

     

    within his own draft class he’s competing with bradfield and etzel who either have higher draft capital or are playing even better. 
     

    flexibility is never a bad thing, but I feel like the road to the majors is clearer in middle infield than outfield. 

    True.  But I was looking more at majors and minors depth combined, so we have Mateo/Urias/Holliday/Westburg/Norby that can all play 2B, but mostly just Mullins and Bradfield as legit CFs ahead of him right now.

  7. 3 hours ago, RZNJ said:

    Josenberger was our 3rd round pick last year.   In 2021 at Kansas he played exclusively in CF.   In 2022, back at Kansas, he played exclusively at 2B.  He transferred to Arkansas and the SEC for the 2023 season and played exclusively at CF.  On draft day he was listed as an OF.  Last year at Delmarva he played all three outfield positions with 17 overall including 9 in CF.   This year it looks like he’s back at 2B.   He hasn’t made an error in 9 games and has been involved in turning 6 DP.    So far, so good.   The bad news.  He’s only hitting .177 with no extra base hits.   The good news.  In 47 PA he has 11 walks and only 5 strikeouts.  More good news.  He has 11 stolen bases without being caught.  Josenberger didn’t show much power at Kansas but he did smack 10 homers last year in the best conference there is.    He’s making a lot of contact and it looks like he’s making good swing decisions.   He’s worth keeping an eye on.

    Nice summary.  I wonder why he's playing 2B this year instead of OF.  It seems all the scouting reports were high on his outfield defense, and we are much deeper at 2B than CF.  

  8. I don't think Elias will do this, but if Holliday goes down I'd like to see Norby brought up and given an opportunity to start 60-70% of time at 2B.  I know OF is probably his long term home if he stays in the organization, but as long as he can play a mediocre 2B I'd like to see how his bat plays in the majors.  However, even if Elias brings him up I suspect he sits on the bench in favor of Mateo/Urias.

    • Upvote 1
  9. 1 hour ago, Frobby said:

    It’s really interesting how this is the second straight year he’s dominated while repeating a level he’d struggled at the previous season.  (Though 9 games is a little early to say that he’ll continue to dominate.)

    Yes, it's an interesting pattern.  But I also suspect it stands out to us since we've become a little spoiled with the fast-moving and precocious prospects we've had fly through our system in the past few years.  

  10. 1 hour ago, Frobby said:

    After going 3 for 4 with a homer last night, Beavers’ slash line is .343/.400/.486.   That’s strikingly similar to last year’s .321/.417/.478.   

    He’s now at 197 PA at Bowie, around the amount of PA that have been the threshold for promotions to AAA for players who have done well there (Gunnar had 225 PA in AA, Westburg 209, Kjerstad 184, Holliday 164).   The Norfolk OF is a bit crowded so I’m guessing they’ll be in no hurry to promote Beavers right now, but if he continues to play well, I think by mid-June at latest they’ll need to make room for him. 

    While reports on his defense are slightly mixed, my impression is that he’s closer to Cowser’s level than he is to Stowers/Kjerstsd/Norby.  That bodes well for him.   

     

    Agreed on both counts: that he's getting close to a promotion based on previous handling of similar levels of prospects, and that the outfield at AAA is already crowded.  And this brings up one minor beef I have with Elias regarding prospect promotions.....he often is very aggressive in promoting well-performing prospects up through the lower levels, but then is very conservative in promoting well-performing prospects from AAA to the majors.  As a result, we may always have a logjam of prospects at AAA which can force prospects into playing off their natural positions, taking turns at DH instead of getting reps at their positions, or even spending time on the bench.  I wonder if Elias will change a bit now that AAA is already crowded and slow down the promotions at lower levels. 

  11. On 4/10/2024 at 8:33 PM, Just Regular said:

    First base tonight for the Baysox, looks like his first career game off the grass, at least for the Orioles.

    His Swinging Strike rate, notably low last year, down at about 8% (about 80th percentile Eastern League) so far.

    Very interesting.  Will be interesting to track if this is just a rare occurrence or they are getting him some legit time there.  I would have thought Kjerstad would be a much better option for 1B than Beavers, but maybe they tried it and Kjerstad was brutal there.  

  12. Partially agree, but not for the reasons stated.  The old left field was way too short and unfair to pitchers.  However, Elias overcompensated and now the left field wall is way too long and unfair to hitters.  And I do find it strange that Elias hasn't tried to draft or acquire more LHP to mitigate left-handed power hitters taking advantage of the only short porch left in the current configuration.

  13. 3 hours ago, waroriole said:

    I mean that’s not on OHearn. That’s on Hyde and Elias. You can’t put him out there. Just like you couldn’t put Mullins at SS. Put players in positions to succeed. We have enough good ones to be able to do it effectively. OHearn should never be in the OF. 

    Agreed.  O'Hearn is just a below average outfielder and should be relegated to 1B/DH only.  It's also ironic for all the talk from Elias and Mansolino about the importance of defense and having plus defenders at every position they put O'Hearn in the outfield.  Is O'Hearn better defensively at RF than Holliday is at 2B?? 

  14. Great reports, but Norby is blocked by multiple players at either 2B or LF and Mayo is still working on a position.  Too bad we can't get all these glowing reports on some starting pitcher prospects...I know it's just the first game but looks like McDermott is still having serious control/command issues.  At some point all the coaching, metrics, tinkering have been exhausted and a pitcher is who he is.  I'd guess he has a full year to improve control/command, and if he doesn't then he's in the bullpen next year.

  15. On 3/30/2024 at 1:36 PM, Natty said:

    This bothers me. 

    Yesterday Baumann comes in and walks the first batter he faces. 

    How many times did this happen to us last year? It seems like this happens all the time to us.

    Am I the only one who just can't accept this? 

    If I were manager we would have a rule for relievers. You come in and walk the first guy, you are done today. 

    I know that's not feasible with our bullpen.

    Am I the only one who hates to see this happen? 

    Sorry for my rant.

     

    Do you think the pitchers are trying to walk batters?  Do you think a silly rule will stop them from walking batters?

    • Upvote 1
  16. 1 hour ago, Sports Guy said:

    People say depth is a good thing and while that’s partially true, there is also a lot of problems with it.

    If “depth” is keeping you from playing your best players, that’s a problem. 

    Agreed.  Depth is very important, but if you have so much depth at certain positions that major league ready talented players need 2-3 serious injuries to even get a shot then you probably need to make a move.  Deep depth is needed with pitchers because they have so frequently have long-term serious injuries that some never even make it back from.  That is much more rare with position players, so trade from the position player surplus (either the guys who aren't getting a chance or the veterans blocking them) and stockpile pitching.

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