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DrungoHazewood

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Everything posted by DrungoHazewood

  1. I treat NFTs and digital baseball cards and crypto just like playing the lottery. All of them are great things to get into if you just don't care if your money is there tomorrow. I'm much more of a put 10% in a stock-indexed low-fee fund for 30 years and forget it kind of guy.
  2. Well that's dumb. That's like a college football tiebreak where it's an SEC team's record in the SEC vs a Mid-America Conference team's record in the Mid-America Conference. It's a great plan if you're looking to get Akron a bowl...
  3. Aguilar is having a poor season across the board, but as recently as last year he had quite a few positive indicators. Maybe Elias and his staff thinks there's something obviously fixable. Otherwise I'm not sure why he's here. But I'm not sure why Nevin is here, either.
  4. Three years difference in age among rookies of similar performance points to something like 50% more career WAR. Catcher-shortstop comps are tricky, who knows what's going to happen with defensive metrics for catchers or robot umps canceling out framing. But If they were the same position I'd say Gunnar was likely to have 20-30 more WAR just based on age and current performance. How much development do you think Gunnar will have between now and 2025 when he's Adley's current age? But, don't discount the value of having an All Star level catcher through his prime. It really only takes about 45 WAR to get a catcher on the Cooperstown shortlist. A shortstop probably needs 55 or 60.
  5. I'll stick with buying a pack of Topps once in a while and if I get a Rich Amaral I'll stick it in the spokes of my bike when I'm riding to the 7-11 to get a Slurpee.
  6. I thought cards weren't really a thing any more, ever since the card market crash of the early 90s made the '29 stock market look like nothing. I gave up on cards when a buddy down the street had his dad buy dozens and dozens of full sets as an investment, making the rest of us buying packs to try get the whole thing kind of stupid. Today those 50 1990 Fleer sets are worth, like, $100 total. I had a Mattingly rookie card that I'm sure at one point was worth $30 according to some book, now it's what... 30 cents?
  7. Dude, Oswaldo Peraza is 59 years old and he wasn't even good in '88. But I give him some props for hanging in there this long.
  8. The real find is stealing the magnet-card from when he was in 11U ball from his parents' fridge.
  9. Should be like 1981, when you had to wait nine months for the card to come out next spring, you had to buy 46 packs until you got the one you wanted (although they were 25 cents each), the photo was weirdly off-center and out of focus, and it had a stick of rock-hard bubblegum adhered to it. Oh, and Gunnar has a perm and is wearing your Aunt Florence's glasses. You know, the good 'ol days.
  10. Hey, I weigh 147 pounds, can run a 5k in under a half hour maybe without even throwing up, and I think Mateo's running is just swell.
  11. I think someone on here needs to come up with a projection system that just shows the O's winning 93 games and the World Series and then everyone will be happy.
  12. I agree with using him to keep him sharp. But nobody in the O's pen, nobody, is likely to give up four runs in an inning. The MLB average team wins 97% or 98% of games were they're up three runs going to the ninth. A random pitcher from the BaySox would convert 75% of three-run, three-out saves. And last night was four runs.
  13. Not to be too flip about this, but everyone thinks their favorite team is the one who won't regress to career numbers. And most people are wrong. But any projection system can't just ignore past performance or it's going to be wrong more than it's right. A typical system will do like Marcels, which is something like (3 x this year) + (2 x last year) + (the year prior) all divided by six. Although they probably tweak that because this year is really only 5/6ths of this year so they'd do well to not rate it quite as highly.
  14. '86 was his last year as an effective reliever, only threw eight innings in '88. For some reason I never liked Aase. Not sure why. Probably because he coincided with the demise of the Oriole dynasty.
  15. Bautista is on pace for 68 games and 68 innings. 253 batters faced. Age 27. From 23 to 27 Ryan never threw more than 57 innings, although he was used in a lot of LOOGY situations and pitched as many as 76 games. Then in '04 at 28 he threw 76 games/87 innings, which was a lot. . The next year he was a more traditional closer at 69 games/ 70 innings. One year of pretty heavy use. Gregg Olson was pretty heavily used by Frank as a rookie. 64 games, 85 innings, 356 batters. But never more than 74 innings again.
  16. It's fine, I'm just messing with him.
  17. There's nothing magic about any particular way to use a reliever. But we got into the situation where almost all teams have a designated closer, only in the ninth and only with a three run lead or less because managers needed a straightforward way to manage workloads. I'm sure you remember the 1970s (I'm too young), when Mike Marshall would throw 287 games, 664 innings in relief, or Bruce Sutter would break down on the 2nd half, or Jim Kern would throw 143 innings to a 1.57 one year and go 3-11 in 63 innings with a 4.83 the next. Cubs Manager Herman Franks' way of controlling workload was just to pitch Sutter in save situations. It worked, everyone adopted it in short order. LaRussa and other expanded to just the ninth. So creativity good. Just make sure nobody's arm falls off.
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