deward
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Posts posted by deward
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53 minutes ago, oriolediehard said:
I would hope Holliday would be what he was hyped to be. Also would hope Mayo can field 3B or 2B and hit. I don't want Mateo to be a permanent regular.
I can't imagine they have any expectation of Mateo going back to being a regular. If he's going on his annual hot streak, then it's smart to ride him until he gasses out, then shift him back to his reserve role. Holliday is taking that full-time spot soon enough.
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1 minute ago, EddeeEddee said:
He won't. He hasn't been a shut down closer for years. It was a risky signing that worked for a few weeks but the juice is gone. He was throwing batting practice out there and should not be brought in for save situations any more.
He's been fine when he's well-rested. The O's need to accept that his usage has to be limited in order to keep him effective.
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11 hours ago, interloper said:
What do we think - is Davis getting in?
Glenn, Storm, or Chris?
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31 minutes ago, Orioles Jim said:
So, uh, what will it take to get Mayo up here?
Between Santander/Mullins scuffling to start the season, Urias/Mateo being themselves, and O’Hearn being allergic to left handed pitching (at least as far as the O’s brass is concerned), I feel like they could carve out a role for him to play most nights in RF/3B/DH/1B.
Urias off the team, probably. Or an injury. Given how much they value Urias' glove, I suspect he'd have to be terrible at the plate all the way through the All-Star break before they'd consider that kind of move.
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10 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:
This is years, at a very low price.
That was months.
The O's could have an elite closer/set up man combo next year for two million. There is value in that.
That's a big leap of faith for a guy who's only been THIS guy for 13.1 innings in the majors and has already had a UCL issue. And you're still trading a potential middle of the lineup bat for a reliever. Even for an elite reliever, that value proposition will end up very lop-sided if Basallo comes close to what people think he can be.
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3 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:
Yankees got Torres for a couple months of Chapman.
Chapman was much more of a proven commodity.
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1 minute ago, Malike said:
I don't think that they (A's) do Basallo for Miller straight up.
I think it would be hilariously foolish of them not to if it was offered. A top 15 prospect for a closer on a bad team? Of course you take that.
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1 minute ago, Moose Milligan said:
Kjerstad! Oh boy!
Proceeds to go 0-4 with 2 K's, gets buried on the bench for another week, then abruptly sent back to Norfolk. The bum.
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It's a great group to watch and root for; a bunch of young guys who came up together, along with some survivors of the Dark Times, on a mission to turn around a moribund franchise. I really hope that this particular group, with fairly minimal modifications, is able to finish the job; as opposed to requiring a significant influx of mercenary help from the outside. Not that I'd turn the other scenario down, but winning with this group would have a special vibe to it that you wouldn't be able to recreate.
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Just now, dystopia said:
Thats a pretty stupid reason in April so I’m not buying it.
If they gave him an extra day because they were worried about his shoulder, and then let him throw 100 pitches anyway, then they can't have been THAT worried about it.
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20 minutes ago, Emory Eagle said:
Shoulder injuries have catastrophic potential... could be wrong, but I don't think these things are gamed so cavalierly, so this is worrying IMO. Need to leverage all of this minor league hitting for SP and RP reinforcements.
The worst case scenario is certainly ugly, but there have been plenty of cases where guys got treatment and were back quickly. It could be something that they would have considered trying to avoid an IL stint for if they didn't have both Means and Bradish ready to return. Not gaming, necessarily, just an opportunity to take a cautious approach.
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6 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:
Is there a study showing that a guy that throws 100-102 is more of a risk than someone that throws 97-99 or 94-96?.
There are plenty of studies tying throwing harder to an increased risk of UCL injury. This article from SI is a bit more readable than some of the medical journals I've found:
https://www.si.com/mlb/2024/04/08/pitcher-injury-epidemic-tommy-john-surgery-velocity
It doesn't specifically answer your question. There seems to be a sharp spike in risk as you get into the mid-90s (keeping in mind that no one is immune, at any velocity), but I can't find anything that delineates between high-90s vs triple digits. Though it seems intuitive that the pressure on the UCL would continue to increase the higher up the chart you go.
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7 minutes ago, Bemorewins said:
That's fair. But the starter will have similar injury risk. Almost all pitchers get hurt in the modern game. That's just a reality. You have to use them while they are upright.
By the way, there aren't going to be that many high end MLB starting pitchers on the market, like last year. Maybe SEA is a team who would be willing? But then they are going to want someone who is ready to help their lineup currently.
A guy who throws as hard as Miller will carry a higher injury risk than most.
Kjerstad is ready to help anyone's lineup, he just needs a chance. There will be opportunities out there this off-season if Elias wants to be aggressive about it.
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2 minutes ago, Bemorewins said:
I doubt we miss those 30 bombs that much. We have and are going to have several guys (and I mean like 7-8) hitting 25- 45 home runs every season for a long time.
I'd rather trade someone like Kjerstad for a starter to replace Burnes, not a reliever with a high amount of risk attached.
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6 minutes ago, ChosenOne21 said:
Oakland would absolutely do that. It would be a massive overpay on our part.
Something like Kjerstad for Miller would be more fair, and I'd consider that trade.
You'd probably have regrets when Kjerstad is hitting 30 bombs for Oakland and Miller is on the shelf with TJ and never gets back to 100%. I know Miller has been going his best Felix Bautista impression for 13 innings this year, but he's got a grand total of 46 innings in the majors, and the 33 he pitched last year were solid, but not amazing. As mentioned elsewhere, he already had a UCL sprain last year, so the specter of Tommy John is certainly hanging over him. I think trading a top 30 prospect for him would be getting a little carried away, and I can't see Elias doing that.
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1 hour ago, interloper said:
He certainly has the casual fan tone down. Cal Ripken, Orioles Magic, etc. I know a lot of fans where this is really working for them, and it's probably a good business decision to tap into that subsect of fans. For me, it's a little eye-rolly.
How are you improving the organization? That's all I care about. I'm confident he'll do good work. But you can miss me with the 80s callbacks. It's 2024 and it's a new brand of baseball in Baltimore. Show me the work. That's why everyone is excited about this ownership.
And I've said from the beginning that I'm not just going to give DR a blanket pass simply because he's not Angelos. We have no idea if he will spend. We have no idea what he will or won't do. Again, I'm confident he will, but until he does something, ya know... actions speak louder than words/social media posts.
Recapturing the casual fan's attention IS improving the organization. More butts in seats, more eyeballs on broadcasts, more clicks, social media interactions, etc, etc, etc. What appeals to the casual fan will always risk coming off a bit cringy to the die-hards; nothing he can do about that. This stuff won't ultimately determine how good an owner he turns out to be, you're right about that, but I take it as part of the process.
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13 minutes ago, Bemorewins said:
Look I like what Kremer has given us tonight and in general. And I don’t want to take anything away from him as a solid starter.
But how many All-star teams and accolades has Manny Machado racked up since he left Baltimore?
We don’t have to rewrite history to prop up Kremer. He’s a really solid starter.
I don't think he was suggesting that anyone would trade Manny for Kremer in a vaccum, just that the team is getting better value out of the deal than it used to look like they would. A reliable back end starter for two months of Manny isn't bad at all.
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I think either one would be a far better use of Kjerstad's spot on the bench.
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1 hour ago, LGOrioles said:
His numbers coming into tonight certainly showed he was better against off speed and breaking stuff, but last year he was best against fastballs. Good adjustment by him this year and hopefully his success last year against heaters is a good sign if pitchers start adjusting back.
This, he's already proven he can catch up to anyone's fastball. It's always a game of adjustments back and forth.
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12 minutes ago, sportsfan8703 said:
No injury is good. Sometimes players just fail. That's why there is a minor leagues and a developmental path. Rooting for an injury should never be an answer. The simple answer is likely that he only has thrown 252 IP in his entire pro career, and he's now pitching against the best talent he's ever faced. Baseball is hard.
He's going to have to adjust, but an injury to be the easy solution is a terrible outcome.
I don't see how revealing that he has a sore back, resting him for a couple of weeks, then him coming back showing better command is a terrible outcome.
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1 hour ago, sportsfan8703 said:
Heck no. Never hope for an injury to a pitcher. McDermott has all of 72 IP in AAA, and only 265 IP for a guy that is about to turn 26. It could be just adjusting to the competition in AAA, or whatever was up in AAA with all the early offense. Command doesn't need a knife to be fixed.
Let's be real, we only have 5 SP spots on the MLB roster. McDermott is looking like a reliever for our team. That will have some real value, especially considering he doesn't have to be added to the 40 roster until this offseason, and then will have three option years.
Who said anything about a knife? It doesn't have to be Tommy John to be an injury that might be impacting his command (see Kimbrel, Craig). Learning that a sore back or ankle is bothering him would be a better explanation than him just suddenly walking over a batter an inning because the competition got tougher. That wouldn't bode well at all for his future success.
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On 4/28/2024 at 7:41 AM, Frobby said:
You do need to wonder if there’s some underlying physical problem. McDermott has always had command issues, but 23 walks in 21.1 innings makes me think something could be wrong.
You'd almost hope for that to be the case. Seems easier to fix than if his command has truly deserted him.
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1 hour ago, Frobby said:
I said this the other day. IMO Kimbrel should not work more than 5 times every two weeks and we should have a plan B (Suarez?) for save situations when we need to lay off Kimbrel.
I assumed when they signed Kimbrel that the plan was for Cano to handle some of the save situations, as Kimbrel's innings would need to be managed closely. Riding him like they rode Bautista last year always seemed like a recipe for disaster. I wonder if the struggles of some of the other relievers made it difficult to execute that plan.
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Really happy to see Cowser take one up the LCF gap there
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Could Grayson Be the Solution to Our Bullpen Issue?
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