Malike
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Posts posted by Malike
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1 minute ago, Jim'sKid26 said:
This is a fantastic article from Cody Stavenhagen in the Athletic.
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5622374/2024/07/08/tarik-skubal-all-star-game-tigers-pitcher/
"Since July 4, 2023, Skubal has been, statistically, the best starting pitcher in all of baseball. He leads the game in fWAR (6.2), FIP (2.42) and WHIP (0.92). Only Corbin Burnes has bested Skubal’s 2.60 ERA over his past 32 outings. Once a pitcher who could struggle with count leverage, Skubal ranks second in MLB with a first-pitch strike rate of 71.6 percent.
“That may have been the best pitching performance we’ve seen so far this year,” Pittsburgh Pirates manager Derek Shelton said May 29, after Skubal threw first-pitch strikes to 22 of the 25 batters he faced."
Makes you wonder if even the O's have enough prospects to get this guy..
The Os can get any player they want that is available.
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6 minutes ago, Frobby said:
So far this year, the Orioles’ OF PA (1,078) have been allocated as follows:
Santander (302) 28.0%
Mullins (272) 25.2%
Cowser (268) 24.9%
Hays (136) 12.6%
O’Hearn (45) 4.2%
Kjerstad (29) 2.7%
Stowers (26) 2.4%
Note that Santander (55 PA) and Kjerstad (17 PA) have also seen time at DH, while O’Hearn gets most of his time (225 PA) at 1B/DH.
My question is, what do you think the mix will look like over the final 72 games? Personally, I’d like to see something like:
Santander 27%
Mullins 25%
Cowser 16%
Hays 16%
Kjerstad 16%
With Santander and Kjerstad continuing to get some PA at DH, as they have been. Kjerstad since his recall has started 8 of 12 games, 4 in the OF and 4 as DH, and pinch hit in two other games.
I think it’s time to play Cowser less, unless his bat picks up. 16% basically means he’s still playing half the time, split evenly between CF and a corner spot.
Totally agree with this. I'd give Kjerstad some of Cowsers time. The defensive drop-off is real but Cowser is hitting himself to less play time.
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7 minutes ago, Spy Fox said:
Good summary of some of the best players not selected. They list Westburg, and surprisingly list Cowser over Santander on the OF list (which makes me think the fWAR sort column was the top data point).
Not so sure Grayson or Kimbrel will be on that subs list, looking at some of the other very good pitchers who didn't make it.
Cowser worries me late in games. He's got the absolute worst clutch stats in MLB and he's one of the absolute worst players in WPA. He's the last guy I want at the plate if we need something to happen in a big spot.
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3 minutes ago, sportsfan8703 said:
You're right. He's having a typical Mountcastle year, but this year we have better options when he slumps and there is a RH SP.
Who?
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He has the 2nd fastest bat on the team. He slumps and then he doesn't. We have seen this movie before.
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His fastball is way down, his strikeouts are awful. He's had 2 IL stints for his elbow and back. He's probably the riskiest proposition to even finish the season healthy let alone be effective.
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He's obviously having a great season but his numbers would be nutty if he hit more fly balls. As hard as he hammers the ball it's rarely a fly ball.
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Too many injury concerns and the rate and quality that he's pitched this year the team should look to do better.
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3 minutes ago, sportsfan8703 said:
We’re trotting out A lineup out there and Mounty is hitting 7th and Cowser is on the bench. Both have really ugly numbers since May 1 basically.
We’re discussing game 3 SP, why not discuss do we want Mountcastle starting in the playoffs if it’s not against a LHP? I’d say no.
As analytic and swing decision our FO is, I bet they want to get rid of Mounty. He was a necessary dude to get us here, but not anymore. Not with Mayo behind him. Mounty might benefit numbers wise, not approach, to get away from the Wall.
Would a contender want him? If so, which one? I don’t see why a rebuilding team would want him. Could we buy and sell at the deadline?
Runs in the playoffs are generally at a premium, you want your best defenders in the game so you don't give away free runs. Mountcastle will be starting in the playoffs.
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2 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:
I bet a huge majority of ML players should be platoon guys, it’s just that most aren’t treated that way.
If you are looking at just OPS, probably. There are obviously other things to consider.
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6 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said:
Just out of curiosity, but which pitchers do you guys like who will actually be available? Last I checked Crochet was #1 in fWAR and Fedde was #15 (neck & neck with Burnes) and yet half this board wants nothing to with either of them. Interested in who these high end pitchers are who have question marks and will come at reasonable prices.
I think most people are interested in Crochet, the risk is he won't help this year and most people here think we can get him for scraps when it's going to cost guys that most people here wouldn't trade.
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3 minutes ago, RZNJ said:
Look at Hays, Mullins, and Santander. Those guys didn’t develop into regulars for 2-3 years. Cowser might never develop but I’d bet on it.
You could argue that Mullins should have been a platoon player with a low .600's OPS against LHP in his career, but he doesn't strike out more than a third of the time against them and they let him play every day on terrible teams. Santander only got a few ABs in 2017 and 2018, in 2019, his first season of getting over 400 PAs he OPS'd .753 and .810 against RHP/LHP. He's always had about equal splits over the course of his career. Hays didn't get near a full season of ABs until his age 24 season. He got 60 at age 21 in 2017 and 68 in 2019 as a 23 year old. Like Mullins, he got a lot of time on a terrible team in 2021 and OPS'd .683 and .897 vs RHP/LHP.
Cowser at 24 is getting his first season where he's going to get 500 PAs currently at 278 he's OPS'ing .763 and .674 against RHP/LHP. The bigger problem is LHP is striking him out more than 30% of the time. He's a guy you pull for a RHB late in a game. Hopefully, that's not always the case but it's who he is right now. In 2022 in the MiL they gave him 158 PAs against LHP and he OPS'd .616, in 2023 they only gave him 99 PA's against LHP. I'm not saying that anything is written in stone, but he's certainly looked like he might be a platoon bat. Time will tell and hopefully, they give him a chance to prove it one way or the other.
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Just now, sportsfan8703 said:
Sometimes it’s good to get a pulse for what others think. I think we’re pretty demanding on what we want versus what we want to trade. Plus, we overrate Mounty and Cowser here.
I hope Cowser gets 500 ABs this year against both side pitching. He's starting to look like a platoon player and a near-full season of ABs would be helpful in the information gathering process on that.
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1 minute ago, Bemorewins said:
How do we know if he is available or not? And how do we conclude that Elias is “pestering” the Tigers?
Have the Orioles come out and declared who is available or who they would be willing to trade? From my limited knowledge, that’s not how it often works.
I'd be willing to bet that nearly anyone they want is available. They just have to say the right names, and therein lies the problem, they aren't going to say those names.
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1 minute ago, Sports Guy said:
The problem with Skubal is the injury history and lack of IP.
The “penalty” for going after him is that I wouldn’t offer any of our top 3 because of that.
I would trade more for him than Crochet because Skubal should be in the rotation this entire season and I feel a lot better about him being healthy and a top starter in 2025…but the threat of injury is real, so I’m not trading the top 3.
The problem with pitching is the threat of injury for everyone is real. You just have to accept that fact and hope while they're here it doesn't happen. Of course, the more years you have a guy the better the chance you get a ROI on your prospect capital. If you get a guy for 5 years and he goes down for 18 months, you still have a shot at getting value from them.
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1 minute ago, Sports Guy said:
I agree they wouldn’t make it. I was asking the question for a reason and my suspicion was realized by this thread and the same poll question I asked on twitter.
Im surprised at how many said no but I also thought I would get more nos than I think should be.
I mean, of course, SG if we're playing pretend you make that trade 100% of the time. I thought you were suggesting that those players get it done so I voted no based on that.
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5 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:
So if they would make it, you would say no?
They wouldn't make that trade. There isn't a chance in hell that they would, the proposal is so ridiculous that in good conscience I had to vote no. We're asking to trade for the best pitcher in the AL for Kjerstad and probably a bunch of nothing.
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I voted no because there is no chance that Detroit will make this trade.
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- Popular Post
You shouted from the rooftops that Povich needed to be brought up and now you're doing it for McDermott. You will never be satisfied and there is absolutely nothing "telling" about this game. It's a loss and even when the Orioles were losing 108 games they managed to blowout playoff teams like the Guardians who won 93 games and got blown out by the 108 loss O's 13-0 two days in a row.
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1 minute ago, Rbiggs2525 said:
When can Mateo come in to pitch?
Oh he can pitch now, I guess.
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1 minute ago, LGOrioles said:
Their overall line actually isn’t that bad but their hitting with RISP has just been brutal. 8th best wRC+ in the league the last 14 days but are 22nd in runs, averaging less than 4 per game.
They'll be fine. There is too much talent here and water always finds its level.
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2 minutes ago, LGOrioles said:
Povich is not an MLB starter and this offense has been awful the past 2 weeks and horrid with RISP.
Did you think they wouldn't slump over the course of 162 games because the xStats look so nice on Statcast?
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This must be Medina's WS game. 95 MPH average FB and he's throwing 100, good way to blow your arm out on a 36 win team.
Skubal trade..Kjerstad, Mountcastle, McDermott and Bradfield?
in Orioles Talk
Posted
I did. The Os can outbid any team for whoever they want if the player is available and they choose to.