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mdbdotcom

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Posts posted by mdbdotcom

  1. 24 minutes ago, Going Underground said:

    Yes,I have seen wide ranges from 38,000 to 2.1 million

    I guess IHME is around 93,000 into August But still data based on how the virus will perform and people will act.

    Hopefully we get the real low end and does not come back in the fall 

    That model was based on applying US data to the Chinese curve. But in China they implemented a full lockdown. We still have 12 states with no stay-at-home measures in place.

  2. 43 minutes ago, weams said:

    I’d prefer not to die which I would if I caught this. So call me callous. I don’t care about your comforts. 

    As I am 66 and have several underlying conditions, I haven't been in a room with another person in nearly three weeks. I don't leave my condo except to go to the laundry room, the mail room and to take out the garbage. All my food is delivered by Amazon Fresh, which drops off at my door and emails me that the order has been delivered.

    So, I wouldn't call you callous, @weams, I'd say you're cautious. And rightfully so.

    Stay safe. Stay home. Slow the spread.

    • Upvote 2
  3. The last time I played I was an emergency fill-in on my son's fall ball team in Harford County. Only 8 guys showed up and they dragged me out to right field, where I made the most embarrassing attempt at catching a fly ball in athletic history. I made up for it somewhat in my first at bat.

    There was a huge hole between first and second and I aimed a dribbler over there. Still don't understand how the first-baseman never got to it, but I ended up with a single. Somehow, I made it to second base, where I had to dive back to the bag to avoid being picked off. Wow, did that hurt. I shortened my lead so I wouldn't have to do that again and then scored on a solid single. I was 43-years old and hadn't played ball since my softball days in Central Park 20 years earlier (I was a very good 3B). I needed oxygen.

    My next at bat the first pitch was right at my head. I got out of the way and, after striking out, found someone to take my place. So ended my "career."

    • Haha 1
  4. 2 hours ago, OsFanSinceThe80s said:

    So an 81 game season? Despite what Boras may want I think it's safe to say 162 games is out of the question now. Maybe between 100-120 games, but I think that requires scheduled doubleheaders to be feasible. 

    162 games. 81 double headers, all five inning games. Every ticket is a two for the price of one bargain. Easy peasy.

  5. Palmer's complete game shutout in game 2 of the '66 World Series was the greatest and most important pitching performance in Orioles history (IMHO). Aside from the fact that he became the youngest pitcher to throw a shutout in World Series history, he was facing the best pitcher in the game, Sandy Koufax, in his home park in his farewell game. The Orioles weren't supposed to have a chance against the Dodgers. This game showed they were legit. It set the stage for shutouts by Bunker in Game 3 and McNally in Game 4. Compared to these "intangibles," the game score doesn't mean hooey.

  6. I'm hoping they can pick up spring training the last week in May and start the season in mid-June. They could allow extra pitchers on each team for the first two or three weeks while pitchers get stretched out. Play a 72-game season of 18 games with each of the other four teams in the division. The "regular" season would end at the end of August. There would be no wildcard teams. Each league would have a 3-team round-robin tournament, three losses and you're out. Winners would face each other in the World Series. The season would end in late September, hopefully before the second wave of the virus hits.

    This is all probably just wishful thinking on my part. It's just as likely (perhaps more so) that some major league cities will be so devastated by the first wave of the virus that the idea of playing baseball is unimaginable this year. 

  7. When I was taking Plaquenil the primary manufacturing source for it was in India. One year that factory flunked its FDA test, so there was a shortage and the price (on my insurance) went from $12/mo. to $75.

    My point is that any drugs that work will need to be sourced in the US so there is a stable supply.

  8. 13 hours ago, 24fps said:

    For those who are interested: 

    Hydroxychloroquine (plaquenil) has been used for the treatment of malaria for almost 70 years.  It is also used for lupus and rheumatoid arthritis and it is also very effective for polymyalgia rheumatica in some patients.  It is safe and cheap and in the brief amount of time I spent looking online very promising for treating corona viruses.  It's also early, of course, but it qualifies as good news in an otherwise bleak outlook.

    I took plaquenil for eight years for rheumatoid arthritis and experienced no side effects. But the dosage as a coronavirus treatment could be radically different from what I took. Plaquenil users must have their eyes tested before usage and during sustained usage as it can cause a type of retinopathy. After eight years my retina specialist suggested that I stop using plaquenil or risk going blind. Too bad, because it was the best RA treatment I've taken.

  9. 24 minutes ago, Camden_yardbird said:

    China reported its first day with no NEW cases today.

    One would think the US has to reach that point and then 2-3 weeks after it.  That of course requires extensive testing that the US still doesnt have up and running.

    Last week CT had 4 cases.  Yesterday they crossed 50, so I dont know how soon we will reach that point.

    The number of cases will likely explode as testing is expanded, plus, there will be new cases. Given how slow we have been to test, it could be 6-8 weeks before we have anything approaching a realistic picture of what's going on. Right now, with only the worst cases being tested, no one knows how bad it is. 

    In Vo, Italy they tested everyone, isolated all who tested positive, and then tested them again two weeks later. When they did the retests they found six people who were still positive and yet never had any symptoms. By isolating all the carriers they quickly ended the epidemic in their town. But, as we so often say in baseball, it was a SSS - small town.

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