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Paul in Virginia

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Posts posted by Paul in Virginia

  1. What MLB scouts think of the American League prospects in the Futures Game - The Athletic

     

    Gunnar Henderson
    21 | 3B/SS | Baltimore | Double A/Triple A
    76 G, .293/.427/.532, 18 BB%, 21 K%, 16 2B, 4 3B, 13 HR

    Henderson had such a steady start to this season it’s easy to forget he had an up-and-down 2021. His wonky left-handed swing leveled out enough for him to make consistent contact and show his slugging potential early. He hits a lot more ground balls and fly balls than line drives, and he strikes out at an above-average rate, but “that’s because he’s letting it eat,” one scout said. He just turned 21 and is already at Triple A, so there’s more to like than to be concerned about. Regardless, he profiles as a big, middle-of-the-order bat who could club 30 home runs on an annual basis. Whether he plays at shortstop or third base, Henderson has star potential.

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  2. Law has us taking Lee in his latest mock:

    MLB Mock Draft 3.0: Keith Law updates his projection as draft week begins - The Athletic

    "I wrote this in the last mock too, but I’ll say it again: No one is going to know what Baltimore is doing until a few minutes before the pick. We have over 10 years of history with Mike Elias drafting high, including four previous times he’s had the first pick between Houston and Baltimore, and every time, they kept it under their hats, and then put their hats in a locked safe, and then sent the safe to the apocalypse seed depository on Svalbard. My educated guess, based primarily on Elias & Co.’s history, is that the five or six names in their mix (a number Elias himself offered up about a month ago) include Lee, Druw Jones, Termarr Johnson, Jackson Holliday, and maybe Cam Collier or Jacob Berry. Elijah Green would surprise me. Elias said they’re probably not taking a pitcher, which for him is an extreme level of candor..."

     

     

  3. Law says this about Holliday in the link I posted above.  Perhaps this might make Elias lean "more" in Holliday's favor?

     

    He’s improved his defensive skills at shortstop, although there’s also been talk of him moving to centerfield to take advantage of his speed if he can’t stay at short, rather than moving him to second or third. 

  4. Orioles own first pick in draft and they’ll take… whomever Mike Elias wants - The Athletic

     

    Although there is no consensus, Jones, the son of former MLB All-Star Andruw Jones, is widely considered the top talent in the group and, therefore, is likely to sign at the full slot value of $8,842,200.

    Holliday, Green and Johnson are also athletic, high-ceiling, up-the-middle prep players who fit Elias’ draft profile, except that he hasn’t taken a high schooler first since joining the Orioles. Elias has been college-hitter heavy with most of his top picks with the Orioles. He did, however, select prep hitters Gunnar Henderson (second round) and Darell Hernaiz (fifth round) in 2019; Coby Mayo (fourth round) in 2020; and Creed Willems (eighth round) in 2021.

    “I love taking high school hitters. We don’t do it left and right, willy-nilly. But I think that if you look back on the drafts that Sig and I have been parts of here or with the Astros, it’s a pretty good group of high school hitters,” Elias said. “We’ve got some in the mix at the top. I’m sure there’ll be some in the 33 to 42 pick range that we’ll like. And we’ll see if they get there.”

  5. The Adley Rutschman effect is already being felt after a quarter of a season - Camden Chat

    In the simplest terms, the Orioles have already shown clear signs of improvement since Adley’s arrival. At the time of Rutschman’s call-up, Baltimore was 16-24. In the 41 games since the call-up, the Orioles are 21-20. While a one-game-above .500 record doesn’t exactly seem like a victory—given what this fan base has suffered through the last four-plus years—this undoubtedly represents a beacon of hope.

    Those improvements have shown up on both offense and defense for this Orioles squad. Prior to Rutschman’s arrival, the Birds had a -32 run differential and were averaging 3.5 runs per game. Since Adley joined the team, those numbers have jumped to a +7 run differential and 4.6 runs per game.

     

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  6. Law: The Phillies’ next wave of arms, plus Nationals, Orioles and White Sox prospects - The Athletic

    Keith Law:

    I mentioned Orioles infielder Darell Hernaiz in a scouting post in mid-May, saying he was the best-hitting prospect on Low-A Delmarva at the time. He’s since been promoted to High A, and I caught his first three-hit game at the level, with three hard-hit balls, showing plus speed underway on the bases as well. He’s a natural shortstop, but has played second and third as well this year, doing so in about equal measure for Aberdeen; at second base, he looked like someone who hadn’t played the position much before, with poor reads on groundballs consistent with inexperience (or just poor instincts). I said in May that I thought he had a chance to be a utility infielder and I still see that.

     

     

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  7. Myriad Orioles Thoughts: June’s vibes; bullpen relief; the Gunnar Henderson train - The Athletic

    Dan Connolly:

    ...Not many scouts are going to criticize someone so young with such lofty numbers at the top of the minor-league hierarchy. But they normally find something they don’t like, and often that’s on the defensive end.

    Considering Henderson is 6-foot-2, 210 pounds and is still filling out, the whispers have been about his moving off shortstop when he gets to the majors.

    But three scouts I talked to recently all believe the 2019 second-rounder can play shortstop at the big-league level. Maybe Henderson gets shifted to third to make room for a slicker, showier shortstop, but it won’t be because Henderson can’t handle it, I’ve been told...

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  8. Live Looks: Cape Cod League featuring Cam Collier — Prospects Live

    Cam Collier, 3B, Chipola, Cotuit Keetlers 

    Game Lines (6/13 and 6/14): 2 hits in 5 ABs, 3 walks, 2 strikeouts 

     

    At 17, Cam Collier checks in as one of the youngest players in the Cape’s history; however, with an approach at the plate well beyond his years, he leaves no question that he belongs. While at the plate, Collier’s patience has been on display, constantly working deep counts and rarely chasing. When he swings, he features an incredibly quiet and smooth swing that’s quick to the ball. Collier generates power from his strong lower half and has easy pop to left-center, where he hit a double two weeks ago in a scrimmage against the Lexington Blue Sox. In the batter’s box, the projected top 10 pick offers a well-rounded approach, making him an extremely tough out for pitchers.

    In the field, he projects to stick at third base. His strong arm and soft hands make him a plus defender at the position. On the bases, Collier has shown improvements in his speed and has adopted an aggressiveness on the basepaths, getting good jumps on his attempts to steal. Though he has looked better as a runner, there is no doubt that his bat and his defense will carry him and are what has caused him to skyrocket up draft boards.

     

  9. Players who stood out at 2022 Draft Combine workout (mlb.com)

     

    Cam Collier, 3B, Chipola (Fla.) JC
    Collier reclassified from the 2023 Draft to 2022, graduated early and attended junior college in what would have been his junior high school season, then headed to the Cape Cod League and became the youngest player (age 17) anyone could remember in the recent history of the prestigious summer circuit. After going 3-for-9 with three walks in his first three games on the Cape, he flew to San Diego and took one of the best rounds of batting practice. The son of former big league infielder Lou Collier didn't shoot for the fences and repeatedly barreled balls with one of the best left-handed strokes in this Draft.

     

    Termarr Johnson, 2B, Mays HS (Atlanta)
    The highest-ranked prospect to participate in the workout, Johnson is the best high school hitter in recent memory. He took a professional batting practice, working the ball around the park and displaying effortless pull-side power.

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  10. 2022 MLB Draft - Top 500 Prospects — Prospects Live

    Still ranked #1 (Termarr at 6???):

    Jones has some of the most explosive athletic ability in the 2022 class and the namesake to draw in fans. The bat-to-ball skills here are impressive. Jones has substantial raw power too, comfortably plus, maybe more. At 6-foot-3, it’s a prototype frame that will undoubtedly stick in CF thanks to top-of-the-scale speed and on-field instincts. He may end up an elite defender like his dad thanks to terrific speed and a plus arm to go along with it. Some scouts have envisioned a potential shortstop here too, though most feel he’s destined for centerfield. He produces big barrel velocities with violent hands and an aggressive, whippy swing plane. He gets fantastic extension at the plate as well. The entire package is incredibly advanced. The last frontier for evaluators is seeing Jones sync up his upper and lower half with more consistency in-game, something he’s shown remarkable improvement on since last summer. He’s reasonably comfortably the best prospect in this class right now.

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