Paul in Virginia
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Posts posted by Paul in Virginia
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1 hour ago, Hazmat said:
I'd still prefer Jones but if Elias wants to go with a college player, the decision between Lee and Parada could be interesting, especially if Lee is not seen as a SS and Parada can stick at catcher.
Going catcher at 1.1 would also give us the flexibility of later trading Adley, largely assuaging our concerns over Adley's "late" start. By this I mean in 2 or 3 years our ML club would benefit more from then trading Adley than it would have from a 20-21 year-old Druw Jones in the minors. This would also ease our lament over taking so long to get Adley to the majors.
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1 hour ago, Hazmat said:
Last year, we missed on the opportunity to pair Henry Davis with Adley. Could we go with Parada and alternate 1B/DH/Catcher?
Was wondering the same thing. Could dual-hat in the under-slot department, too.
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MLB Draft Live Looks: April Recap — Prospects Live
Parada’s bat is a 60 hit/60 power weapon of destruction, and the raw power could easily be 70 grade, as well. He’s got more home runs than strikeouts on the year so far, which is pretty unprecedented to see in this day of age. While there’s some questions about his defense behind the plate, it’ll be tough for any team to not include him in their lineup. Could he work at first base? Or, maybe even third? There’s a lot to dissect there, but either way you dice it up, Parada likely slots himself somewhere in the top five in this draft.
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During Mike Elias’ tenure as the Orioles’ general manager, he’s never been afraid to make difficult, unpopular decisions.
His unstated mantra is, “This may hurt now, but it’s for the ultimate good.”
He’s about to enter new and treacherous territory, however. Within the next two weeks, and certainly by the end of July, it sure looks like Elias will be dealing away first baseman/designated hitter Trey Mancini.........
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"The Athletic" says it's his elbow, not his triceps:Rutschman, baseball’s top prospect, has been held out of on-field workouts the past few days because he developed some elbow soreness after playing in an intrasquad game Friday. It shouldn’t keep the catcher out long.
“He’s just getting treatment right now,” Hyde said. “And I’m just hoping he’s out there in the next couple days.”
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"The entire package is incredibly advanced. The last frontier for evaluators is seeing Jones sync up his upper and lower half with more consistency in-game, something he’s shown remarkable improvement on since last summer. He’s reasonably comfortably the best prospect in this class right now."
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"There’s a rather good chance we’re at the doorstep of witnessing the most anemic MLB Draft, in terms of college pitching, in the history of the event..."
2022 MLB Draft: College Pitching Class Could End Up Historically Bad — Prospects Live
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Watching Orioles infield prospect and 2021 draft pick Connor Norby take BP, I see someone who is already at that second level of swing despite just barely beginning his pro career. Striding into the cage confidently among a group of mashers at a recent camp, it was the slighter Norby who wielded the bat like a club and moved it with laser precision...
Baltimore Orioles: Connor Norby's Swing Shows Serious Potential (eutawstreetreport.com)
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3 hours ago, Paul in Virginia said:
Also from your article:
If DeLauter does end up being picked by the Orioles, it'll be appropriate; one scout said that he's Colton Cowser with a grade and half more power. Cowser was, of course, happily selected fifth overall by the Orioles last draft.
One last gem from that article:
Indeed, scouts start to sound like Dr. Seuss when they talk about Elijah Green's whiffing: he will swing and miss on pitches fast and slow; he will swing and miss on pitches high and low; he will swing and miss all the time; he will swing and miss at this rhyme.
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50 minutes ago, calsmanystances said:
1. Termarr Johnson, 2B, Mays HS (GA)
Johnson is a special offensive prospect as well as the beneficiary of a hype blizzard. One veteran scout told CBS Sports that projecting Johnson's hit tool to become an 80 (that is, the highest grade and most important aspect of a player's game) was an easy decision. Other evaluators have dared to debate how Johnson stacks up to Wander Franco when he was 17 years old, and have offered Guardians third baseman José Ramírez as a best-case scenario comparison. (Best case indeed.) Some, if not all of that could prove to be overzealous by the time draft day arrives. Still, Johnson offers a lot to like, including a mature approach and a feel for the barrel that has earned him a reputation for being able to hit any pitch in any count to any field. He came into his strength late last season, and the natural loft on his swing bodes well for his future power production. The biggest downside to his game is his future defensive position, with second base serving as the safest bet. Johnson hasn't yet committed to a college; he won't need to if his desire is to begin his pro career later this year.
Also from your article:
If DeLauter does end up being picked by the Orioles, it'll be appropriate; one scout said that he's Colton Cowser with a grade and half more power. Cowser was, of course, happily selected fifth overall by the Orioles last draft.
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Major Changes Could Be Coming to the MLB Draft — Prospects Live
While the subject hasn’t been brought up with the fervor of some of the topics listed above, the trading of draft picks is likely to come to the table as well during these negotiations at some point.
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I didn't see this posted here anywhere else (apologies if already posted):
Some of these rankings are an interesting "change of pace."
Baltimore Orioles: Top 20 O's Prospects Headed Into 2022 (eutawstreetreport.com)
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Just stumbled onto this, for what it's worth:
"The fact that each side is offering up a version of a lottery in its latest proposal, though, sure does seem like strong evidence that it’s a concept enough folks are on board with that it’ll be employed in some form or fashion. Thus, I got more curious about how *precisely* the draft lottery would be deployed in the vision of each side, and how they might bridge the gap to something we’ll actually see in place in 2023 and beyond (no version is going to kick in for 2022, so don’t worry: the Cubs’ number 7 pick is safe).
MLB Draft Lottery Details: What Exactly Each Side is Proposing (bleachernation.com)
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Baltimore Orioles: Coby Mayo Should Stick at Third Base (eutawstreetreport.com)
"If this were the Orioles of yesteryear, I could see a position switch, but this regime does skill maximization as well as anyone. I’m going to hold fast to my contention that when the O’s have Gunnar Henderson at SS and Coby next to him playing 3rd it’ll be time to start expecting very big things."
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Not sure this has been posted anywhere here yet (apologies if it has):
Fact: One name that didn’t appear on the BA top 100 is Coby Mayo. Mayo had a .981 OPS in Delmarva last year. He has a cannon arm, huge power and will take a walk. He will strikeout but he also has a high exit velocity and still hit for a good average.
Opinion: There is some talk that his lack of agility may prevent him from staying at third base, but that is to be determined. That being said, I have him as the O’s third best prospect. His upside is huge and if he can stay at third, he may have the highest upside of anyone in the organization, including Adley. I think he is a top 75 prospect by midseason.
Baltimore Orioles: Fact/Opinion - O's Should Move Mullins if Price is Right (eutawstreetreport.com)
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Never too early to think about NEXT year:
2023 MLB Draft - Top 100 Prospects — Prospects Live
Two more Vandy pitchers. The write-up for their #10 prospect (Enrique Bradfield, CF) sure sounds enticing.
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2022 early look top prospects
in O's Amateur Draft and International Signings
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MLB Draft MailBag - 5/5/2022 — Prospects Live
"Comparing the super star catcher (Parada) against his high school star counter parts (Jones, Johnson, etc) What makes him different than years with Adley, Bart, or even Davis last year? He’s the best hitter of the those 4, so why is there no 1:1 talk for him?"
Great question, Cameron. I think there’s a pretty big difference between Parada and the three you mentioned.
For starters, I’d agree, it’s an impressive bat. There’s hard to find any warts here. The strikeout rate is healthy, the exit velocities are gaudy, and there isn’t a single pitch or zone he’s struggled to handle at Georgia Tech. I would put Parada’s bat on par with any of the three you mentioned. And let the record show, I do think there’s some 1.1 potential here.
But let’s talk about the differences. Adley Rutschman and Henry Davis were both considered talented defensive backstops as well. Bart too, to a lesser degree. All three were considered better bets to stick behind the plate than is Parada. The issues with Parada surround his arm strength and struggles to control the running game. Over the last two seasons, Parada has thrown out just 14 of the 85 base-stealers that have tested his arm. That’s actually improved quite a bit in 2022 having thrown out 7 of the 33 threats. That’s a shade over 20 percent this season and roughly 16 percent for his collegiate career. For comparison, big league catchers throw out about 30 percent of their runners and most would agree the guys stealing bases at the highest level are better, more advanced runners. That will obviously need to improve with scouts pointing to mechanics and pure arm strength as areas needing addressed.
For now, Parada projects a fringy defensive catcher who may eventually need to move to first base or a corner outfield role to get the most out of his value. Maybe he ends up an Andrew Vaughn type of player. But the risk of him having to move out of the middle of the field weighs on his draft stock.