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tabletop

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Posts posted by tabletop

  1. 26 minutes ago, Frobby said:

    I was listening to the MLB Pipeline podcast last week, and someone posed the question “who will be the no. 1 prospect in July 2024?”   Both Jonathan Mayo and Jim Callis predicted it would be Holliday.   It’s interesting that although it seemed like Druw Jones was the favorite pundit choice to be worthy of the 1:1 pick, Holliday seems to have picked up a lot of buzz since the Orioles picked him and he got his feet wet in pro ball.   

    From what I recall the big question around Jones was his ability to hit meanwhile there were no questions on Holliday's hitting ability. For me, that always made him the logical choice between the two. I'm guessing now that people have seen his approach at the plate against better competition they feel more confident in him. Plus, Jones hasn't played so he hasn't had a chance to increase his stock it's just stayed where it was.

  2. He is one of the best players in baseball and would give the Orioles a true middle of the order hitter. I’m all for making the Orioles better and I hope they sign him.

    Don’t be fooled into thinking the Orioles cannot afford him. Don’t be fooled into thinking any prospect is a sure thing. Don’t be fooled into being happy the organization is fighting for a wild card spot.

    They have the core in place to compete for a long time and Carlos Correa would greatly improve their chances at winning a championship.

    That being said I will be pleasantly surprised if they are even seriously considering signing him.

    • Upvote 1
  3. 27 minutes ago, wildcard said:

    I don't think Kremer repeats last year.   I think he gets better.   He didn't pitch in the majors last year until June 5th.   I expect he will get a full year.

    The problem I have with Bassitt is that that it sounds like he wants a 3 year contract for his 34, 35 and age 36 years.   If you are looking for regression this is a player that should regress just because of age.

    I hope you're right but you are the only person I've seen that expects him to get better.

  4. Just now, Roll Tide said:

    So what tells you that Kremer can’t be as good as Bassitt. He’s only 26 and still has time to improve. He was very solid for us nearly every time out. He should pitch 170-180 innings this year and some minor improvement on his WHP their stats would be nearly identical. Bassitt is 33 and while not really old yet I doubt he’s getting any better.

    Bassitt career K/9 is 8.2 while Kremer's is 7.1.
    Bassitt career ERA is 3.45 while Kremer's is 4.55.
    Bassitt career ERA+ is 118 while Kremer's is 92.
    Bassitt career FIP is 3.81 while Kremer's is 4.57.

    I know Kremer was great last year but what he did last year is about what you can expect from Bassitt. I don't think most expect Kremer to repeat last year. Even last year Kremer's FIP was 3.80.

  5. 8 minutes ago, interloper said:

    Big Ben named Sean Manaea as a guy he thinks the Orioles should target. LHP, 30, 170+ IP last year but fell from a 3.91 in 2021 to a 4.96 in 2022 (ouch). 

    Seems like a guy we might be able to get back on track, and definitely fits that tier 2-3 zone. Not very exciting though, more of a Lyles replacement than anything. 

    Manaea is a nice bounce back candidate who IMO is a lot better than Lyles. I would be happy with them signing him but if they're serious about winning he should not be the best starter they acquire this offseason.

  6. 48 minutes ago, RZNJ said:

    Abreu has still got a lot left in the tank, IMO, but between the new dimensions at OPACY and the fact that we already have a 1B in Mountcastle, he wasn't a great fit.  Either Abreu was going to be getting a lot of DH bats or Mountcastle would be dealt.    

    Abreu hit .304 last year. Mountcastle’s OBP was .305.

  7. Just now, jamalshw said:

    I would have done it at your projection or really any of the projections (though MLBTR's number was starting to push it). I would have loved to see him in an Orioles uniform, but not at that price. 

    Not paying what it takes for a guy who just hit .304 is how you end up with a guy whose OBP was .305 as your everyday 1B.

  8. 10 minutes ago, Just Regular said:

    I don't know if Elias will close deals, but all this left-handed bats smoke its awfully tempting to infer his perspective on Stowers and Vavra leans Glass Half Empty.

    I've always been curious for Brandon Belt to get a year away from McCovey Cove - he rates very well in OBP and Swing Decisions, plus he can tell Adley stories about Buster Posey.

     

    He hits better in McCovey than he does outside of it.

  9. 1 hour ago, Frobby said:

    You never really know until these guys get to the majors how their numbers will translate.  Stowers had a .357 OBP in Norfolk, .306 in the majors this year  Vavra was .435/.340, Henderson .390/.349.  Those are big gaps.  Of course, Stowers and Vavra weren’t playing as regularly as they did in AAA, so that could have had some impact.   Stowers struggled at plate discipline in the majors, which hadn’t been a big problem for him in the minors.  Vavra and Henderson did not have that issue.  Vavra had a much lower BABIP and ISO in the majors.  

    And that .306 when he wasn’t getting everyday at bats was still better than all but 3 everyday veteran starters

  10. 2 hours ago, Roll Tide said:

    .330 in the minors seems to correlate in to a .300 in the majors. Probably not true in every case. But, I’m saying if your expecting Norby, Westburg, and company to come up and immediately give you a .340+ OBP I think your drinking the Orange Koolaid.

    Who said they expect .340+? I said hopefully the days of low .300 OBP’s are over. They could have an OBP of .320 and better than every non-rookie on the team last year. I would expect most of the up and coming hitters to have at least a .310 OBP which would be an upgrade over most of the veterans.

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