SteveA

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The one bad assumption people make about 1-run records is that a good late inning bullpen crew should automatically lead to a better record. Sure, the good bullpen will protect more 1 run leads and give you more 1 run wins that way. But a worse bullpen may start the 9th with a 2 or 3 run lead and given up a run or two, so you win by 1 run. So a bad bullpen can also lead to more 1 run wins. The Orioles bullpen failure Saturday night gave us a 1 run win which improved our record in 1 run games. If Kimbrel had been lights out, we would have had one LESS 1 run win. 1-run wins aren't just games where you lead by a run and hold on because your bullpen pitches well. They are also games where you lead by more and your pitching allows the opponent to get to within 1 run. Similarly, 1 run losses are not all the result of bad bullpen. Maybe you are a run behind in the 7th, and you lose by 1 run because your good pen doesn't let the opponent add any more, and you don't score. Whereas a worse bullpen, you might have given up runs in the 8th and 9th lost by > 1 run. So you get an extra 1-run loss on your record BECAUSE your bullpen is good in that case. These situations all muddy the water when it comes to 1-run win%. There is not necessarily a correlation between bullpen strength and 1-run game win% because of all the different ways a game can wind up a 1 run game. We tend to focus on the single case of "1-run lead in the 9th" where having a good bullpen will obviously make your 1-run record better. But those games are actually a small % of the cases.

How do you know it's Melanie, and not Ben Wagner, Geoff Arnold, or Brett Hollander.

Pitch Kimbrel for the 3rd straight day???

Yes, because his position was completely based on a short term slump and was full of recency bias.

Pitching staff continues to be incredible this week. 7 runs allowed in 6 games. Bullpen 2 runs in 17.1 innings since the start of the Yankee series.

If Kevin Brown said that you'd be annoyed.

Way

We don't play Monday, so he definitely gets two day s off after tonight.

If De La Cruz was the god-walking-amongst-men they make him out to be, he should have come flying over from shortstop to catch that pop foul from Cedric.

Because he committed the cardinal sin of giving up a hit? I mean, these are major league hitters on the other team. Watching every one panic and use terms like "bad CIonel" and "meltdown" because he gave up one hit is comical.

You have his first name wrong. It's CIonel.

GUNNAR! Great play to end a GREAT start by John Means!

Doubt it. 2-0 in the late innings we're going to use our typical late inning guys. Suarez would have come in if Means had a short outing.

Westburg made a great stop and had to pop up and make a hard across the diamond throw. He threw it really hard but a bit off target and it got past Mountcastle. E5. Mateo had come over behind first and raced over into foul territory, got the ball, and gunned down the batter trying to go to 2nd. He was out by a mile.