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Tony-OH

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Everything posted by Tony-OH

  1. Well here is your first overslot guy. Big High school right-handed power hitter with a power arm. This is where the Orioles money comes in handy because few team would have been able to buy him outta of his college commitment at this point. Reportedly has a $1.5 to $2 million number to buy him outta of his Florida commitment. His price tag is most likely was why he's still available in the 4th round. That and the fact that his swing can be a bit inconsistent. Had an exit velocity of 107 MPH in game this year and can put up some light tower power already at a young age. Moves well enough that if his footwork doesn't come around at 3B, he can be moved to RF to take advantage of his hose. May have as much upside as Kjerstad. This is a guy to be excited about.
  2. There is no doubt Anthony Servideo brings the most unique hair style of any of the Orioles draftees so far. Plate discipline guy at the plate who got off to a red hot start after completely bombing in the Cape Cod League last summer with wood bats. Defensively, a 50 arm suggest he might have enough arm to stick at shortstop, but there are mixed opinions on whether he can stay there. He's a 30-40 (scouting grade, not home runs) power guy and though he's got some strength, game power is not going to be part of his game. An athletic kid with some speed, he probably has a utility profile though don't count his bat out. If his red hot start was real development, the Orioles may have a steal here. Reports are he's not a high exit velocity guy like the first three selections.
  3. The more I read up on this guy the more I'm intrigued I am especially if he's a high exit velocity guys as some have heard. Ugly swing but generates productive bat to ball contact consistently. Some believe his upside is 20 homers power wise so if his power develops, his hit tool, speed, and plus defensive abilities in center field should make him at worse a 4th outfielder, but with a chance to be a solid major league average CFer.
  4. While you can any opinion you want, you do know that MLB drafts a pretty much crap shoots after the 1st round, and even late in the first round, right? Maybe this draft turns out to be a bust, but it also could turn out to be the best draft in Orioles history. Let's remember, they have a lot more data than anyone on here or anyone making up mock drafts. I've been a bit surprised by some of the selections, but I'm pretty certain he is not a dumb guy so it's not like he's just taken names he likes. This guy has a decent upside as potential with some great exit velocities despite using very little lower half in his swing. That tells me he's got very strong hands/wrists.
  5. I need to do more homework on this kid, but let's just say I'm scratching my head knowing the arms available here. only watched that one video here, looked at the stats, including his pull happy, not great K-BB ratio cape cod league stats last summer and gotta wonder how this guy is the 1st 2nd rounder off the board. Very interesting draft strategy so far. One full draft and three selections into a 6 selection draft, and the earliest Elias has drafted a pitcher is the 8th round. It certainly seems like he's in the mindset of grow the bats, trade for the arms when they are closer and more ready. That's kinda how Houston did things for the most part when you think about it.
  6. Yep, good points. It's all good fun. I'm making an assessment of who I think they should draft off a minuscule amount of information that Elias and team has. They will get the benefit of the doubt of course, but that doesn't mean they are not open to questioning.
  7. There is certainly talent in Kelley. If the Orioles go that way I'm not saying it's bad, and trust me, Elias/Sig and company have much more on these guys than me. I'm risk adverse when it comes to the draft. I think it makes sense to take some risks no doubt, but in a year with limited information to go off of, I'd go with the more "sure things". But that's me.
  8. Fastball movement when it comes to Kelley and Wilcox. Both have true fastball, too true for my liking. Fulton I'm going off of what I read pre injury. I just like the entire package of McMahon, who only allowed 4 home runs in his college career.
  9. Fulton is the guy I'd go for if it's all about ceiling at this pick. I think the risk though is pretty great an that McMahon has a sold floor and is not that far from being ready. Not sure Orioles fans can wait 2-3 more years of losing 100+ games. The college heavy route give them a chance to be competitive again in 3-4 years.
  10. Thanks for posting this. My quick take. Arm strength is a plus obviously sitting 94-97, but the fastball is pretty straight and his command is pretty bad, and doesn't seem to be able to pitch to glove side very well. The breaking ball is below average and would need a lot of improvement. The change is really good with drop and fade away from lefties. Command is overall was well below average and he changed his mechanics a bit on the breaking ball at least once trying to get more bite. If I could get this kind of arm and get him signed reasonably in the 3rd round I would, but I'd much prefer to go with another college arm like Chris McMahon.
  11. Westburg is an interesting pick in that he's never really put up the college numbers that a Elias/Sig college pick generally has put up. He's a guy with a plus raw power grade who has never been able to take it onto the field, and that's concerning a little bit. He's also a fairly aggressive hitter who in several scouting videos was seen chasing sliders away and watching inside fastballs for strike three which could suggest some guessing. Defensively, although scouting reports seem to indicate he has enough arm to stay at SS, the videos I watched did not show plus arm a strength and at 6-3 and nearly 200 pounds right now, the question is whether he will outgrow SS and end up at 3B. It actually appears his best profile in my limited looks could be a Jonathan Schoop like second baseman. Elias and his staff have seen a ton more than me on this guy so I will hope their looks suggest he can stick at SS, or will hit for enough game power to play 3B. I have concerns about his plate discipline and pitch recognition based on some limited video work. If he can stick at shortstop than I like this pick more, particularly if he's going to be able to tap into his raw power more after some development.
  12. Henderson hasn't grown into his power yet so he's an unknown. He very well may turn into a legitimate power hitter prospect, but for now, he's too raw to really say he's left-handed power in the system. Rutschman counts for sure despite being a switch-hitter. Santander is on the major league roster and doesn't really count as in the system but either way, while having pop, he doesn't have plus power.
  13. I gotta agree here. Hobgood was an out of nowhere risky high school pitcher overdraft reach. Kjerstad is a college lefty hitting power hitter with good college stats. We can argue whether he was the best available at #2 for sure, but nowhere near the Hobgood situation.
  14. It's not surprising that the draft is looking different than many mock boards due to the lack of 2020 data to go off of due to the lack of games to evaluate. Elias is clearly not afraid to go with a guy with one plus plus tool (power) which is a bit surprising for the #2 overall pick. His hit tool is probably plus as well, but the K-BB ratio prior to his short junior year makes him a bit of question mark when he has to face professional pitching on a nightly basis. Elias and his guys have way more data then any of the Mock draft guys so they are certainly going to get the benefit of the doubt from me. But, it is interesting that the reports suggest he will bring no defensive value in the outfield (adequate outfielder is not a glowing remark) or as a runner (40-45 grade by most) which means there is a ton of pressure on the bat. Saying that, the Orioles have no real left-handed power in the system (outside of Rutschman who is a switch-hitter) and thinking of a guy like that aiming for the flag court on a daily night sounds like fun. It will also be interesting to see what he signs for. Is he an underslot so the Orioles have an opportunity to pick a guy at #30 that might not be available if they had to spent Austin Martin money (Boras as an agent and reportedly asking 1-1 money) with the #2 pick? Let's see what he signs for and who they take at #29 before making a final initial assessment. Overall, Kjerstad's left-handed power was the 2nd best in the draft behind Torkelson, and that alone makes this pick very interesting.
  15. Kids really are starting to focus on one sport earlier and earlier. My son played three sports when he was 6-12, Baseball, Wrestling and Football. By the time he was 12, he was on the top travel Wrestling team in Maryland and we were travelling all over Maryland, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Delaware and New Jersey. Being at an elite level like that, it became apparent you have to wrestling and train all year around so baseball (much to my chagrin) was the first to go by 8th grade. Besides, if you are at an elite level in one sport, it's sometimes hard to just be a regular rec league players in another, or at least that's how he looked at it so he wrestled through the spring and summer. He was recruited in the 8th grade by several private schools for wrestling and once he choose Archbishop Spalding, he decided he would still play football. Although he was not very big (118 pounds his Freshman year) he was a starting running back and kick returner and the football coaches really wanted him to keep playing, but by the end of his Freshman football season, it was clear he was already missing "unofficial" wrestling workouts and honestly, the injury factor was too high in football. So by his Sophomore year, he was a full-time, all year around wrestler. He ended up a two time High School All-American, MIAA Champion, and finished with 179 varsity wins over four years (10th all-time in MD) and ended up being recruited to wrestle at the University of MD where unfortunately shoulder injuries cut his college "career" short. So for at least my son, you can see how he gradually gave up the other sports as he got older and focused on the one that was "going to get him into a top college". Without wrestling, there was no way he would have gotten into U of MD out of high school since it's a highly competitive academic school (my son was a two-time All Academic Big-10 so it's not like he was a dummy). So did eventually focusing on one sport get him where he wanted to go? In Matt's case, yes. In another situation, when I coached baseball at Spalding, every single one of our starters played baseball only.
  16. While nothing you say here is wrong, one thing you need to consider is the difference between being the only game on that night vs one of many like with MLB. Also, it's hard to get too pumped up about one game out of 162 until late in the season when they start having playoff considerations. Football with it's action and 16 game schedule is perfect for the bar and sports restaurant scenes too. Baseball is more of an in the background sport at those bars, at least until you get into big games or late in games when the score is close.
  17. A lot of good point here but I wanted to point this one out. I think I would count as a baseball fanatic. I run a website dedicated to a major league team, watch or attend over 250 major and minor leaguer games, played the game until my mid 40s, have scouted amateur and pros, and have coached up to the High School level. Up until this year, I couldn't have imagined what a summer looked like without baseball. so much of my time was dedicated to the sport over the years that I actively wondered what I would do. Well, hundreds of miles on my Harley, hours upon hours in my pool, hours and hours of playing board games with the kids/friends, hours and hours of watching new shows and even reruns of old ones that I used to enjoy, hours of hiking and walking, and even signing some Karaoke in my basement later, I found that life still goes on. I'm honestly so fed up with everything right now, that I'm quickly finding myself not caring about whether baseball returns or not. So if this is my opinion, what is the opinion of the under 40 crowd that already has baseball the 4th popular sport? Back in my day (70s-80s), my community alone would have six-eight team baseball leagues from age 5-15. When we weren't playing baseball, we were finding a field, good backyard, or "rightaways" to play whiffleball all while pretending to be our favorite players. Sure there were All-Star teams, but we didn't have travel ball and parents weren't dishing out tons of money and time which of course puts pressure on the kids. We played until late June, sometimes into July for All-Star tourneys, and they we went and played all summer and didn't play anything organized. When was the last time you saw some kids playing whiffle ball somewhere and pretending to be Trey Mancini or Adam Jones? Baseball is dying sport that probably would be fairly irrelevant in 30 years anyways, but if they just shut a season down due to the greed of the players and owners, I truly think that irrelevancy will stat it's spiral much quicker. I've said this before, and I'll say it again, if baseball doesn't come back this year, I doubt the Hangout will be here next year. Or if it is, I won't be.
  18. I think if people want to do that, have fun! Honestly, I will be on here to discuss the Orioles picks like we always do.
  19. http://www.orioleshangout.com/2020/05/31/orioles-beat-blue-jays-to-break-16-game-losing-streak-sim/
  20. I could kinda understand it from the Yankees perspective because her family was ok with everything and the Yankees had no idea it was sexual. Weird, sure, but it appears, at least from the people interviewed, that they looked at it in the same situation as a "big brother/father figure" since the family was ok. In retrospect it certainly looks bad though. There is so much head scratching on how the parents dealt with all of this in several cases that it makes you wonder how some of this even was allowed to happen.
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