Coming out 18-19 games over .500 would still be pretty good.
The Yankees don't have Judge coming back anytime soon, looks like. While they should be taken seriously, I don't believe they're nearly as formidable. Stanton is -0.4 rWAR this year, his OPS is .621. Their hyped rookie, Volpe, is a joke. They just lost to the A's last night, 2-1.
I mean, they're still the YANKEES and they can get right at any time. But I don't think they're as good as they have been in recent history.