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luismatos4prez

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Posts posted by luismatos4prez

  1. O'Hearn has 4 more walks than strikeouts this year. That didn't used to be special, but it is in today's game. As far as I can see, Rafael Palmeiro in 2004 was the last to do it for the Orioles in a full season of ABs and he wasn't much of a hitter by then.

  2. This is a bench position for sure. The Milkman is the starting LF now.

    Career wRC+ vs LHP:

    Hays - 111

    McKenna - 82

    McKenna is a better defender by the fielding stats, but I don't trust him. He's a goofball. The starting OF defense is strong anyway so we're not desperate for a defensive replacement.

  3. Catching fWAR since 2022:

    1. Adley 12.2

    2. Sean Murphy 10.1

    3. Will Smith 9.9

    4. William Contreras 9.4

    5. JT Realmuto 9.3

    The best catcher in baseball and it's not close. 

    • Upvote 2
  4. I'm not a believer in Maverick Handley. His only notable offensive tool is his eye. He's essentially Brett Cumberland offensively. 

    Guys who don't hit for average or power in the minors but have a great eye tend to get blown away by ML stuff in the zone.

    If his defense is outstanding (and I can't evaluate that), he could be a Caleb Joseph type backup catcher but that's it.

  5.  

    7 hours ago, Tony-OH said:

    Besides not walking many guys, I agree, Kremer has been getting pretty "lucky" so far this year. He's a bit of a gamer though and he's typically outperformed his expected stats. 

    Either way, I agree, he's needs to keep pitching well or could have some risk to being options for no other reason than to lose a pitcher.

    Dean really is a gamer. I love the intensity he brings on the mound. I don't want him starting any more playoff games, but he's a legit bottom of the rotation starter. 

    And he's been more valuable than Machado was in a few months for the Dodgers, so I guess Dan won that trade in the end 😁

  6. Can someone explain Terry Crowley to me? I was too young to watch him play. Is he being inducted as a coach or for longevity with the organization?

    He had less plate appearances and was a worse overall hitter for the Orioles than Luke Scott. I'm not trying to be a hater, just trying to understand.

  7. Of course he's confident. He built the best offense in the AL without signing a single free agent or big trade.

    By fWAR, we have the 10th best pitching staff in baseball right now and that's despite bullpen issues, and 3 SP injuries. None of which seem to be long-term issues.

    This is a really, really good team. And they're on pace for over 100 wins. I get that it's not the nature of sports fans, but I'm just sitting back and enjoying. I trust Mike and Sig and Eve.

    • Upvote 3
  8. I'm with you Roy.

    I watched every at bat that Stevie Wilkerson, Pat Valaika, and Dwight Smith Jr. took for this team. This young, fun, talented team is our reward and I'm enjoying every second. But even if they still stunk, I'm not going anywhere.

    Don't forget, you're here forever.

  9. Reminds me of Miguel Gonzalez, who came out of nowhere to be a major contributor to some playoff runs. 

    I doubt he ends up as a rotation mainstay. But I was certain O'Hearn would turn into a pumpkin after a few weeks too and he still hasn't.

  10. Quote

    The Orioles signed De León for a $30,000 bonus in December two years ago. That makes him something of an unusual signing in that he did not get signed on January 15 with most of the other prospects of that type. The O’s found De León a little later. He was already 18 when they signed him, again unlike the typical Dominican signings who can be as young as 16.

    Camden Chat

    $30,000 is crazy cheap for Tony's #12 prospect in a great system. He's ahead of Jackson Baumeister who went to FSU, got drafted in the 2nd round, and got a 1.6M bonus.

    It happens though. Elly de la Cruz signed for only $65,000. This stuff happens when you participate in this market.

  11. "Skip, I've already thrown 130 pitches and this is my first start since Tommy John. And we're already up 18 runs. Are you sure I should go back out there for the 8th?"

    "Dang it Brnovich we need this win. The people of Bowie need this win. You go out there and shove until I tell you to stop."

    • Haha 1
  12. 7 hours ago, interloper said:

    I think Pinto is getting TJS, right? 

    Ah, I hadn't seen that. He's out then. Worst time to get it, too. He's basically out for 2 years.

    I'll add Wandisson Charles to the Names to Watch category on the off chance he learns how to throw strikes. 1 IP 2 K 0 BB in his first outing of the year tonight.

  13. 1 hour ago, wildcard said:

    There is a guy named Holliday that you didn't mention.

    I'm only working with Rule 5 eligible players. Holliday technically doesn't have to be protected for like 3 more years. But of course he'll be on the roster well before next winter.

  14. I'll be using this thread to predict 40-man roster adds next winter. I've gotten the adds right 2 years straight, hoping to make it 3. Link to last year's thread. I'll check in every month or so to see where things stand.

    Here's where I see things now before the minor league season starts. Tony's prospect ranking in parentheses:

    Locks:

    1. Coby Mayo (3)

    2. Chayce McDermott (9)

    3. Connor Norby (11)

    4. Cade Povich (13)

    Unlikely:

    5. Brandon Young (30)

    6. Jean Pinto (33)

    7. Keagan Gillies (34)

    8. Hudson Haskin (36)

    9. Justin Armbreuster (46)

    10. John Rhodes (48)

    Other eligible names to watch:

    Maverick Handley (49), Billy Cook (40), Garrett Stallings (70), Kyle Brnovich, Carter Baumler (22)

    -

    This year is unique in that there are 4 guys that I would be stunned if they didn't make it and then a bunch of long shots. There aren't any bubble cases for me right now. Maybe someone will play themselves up or down into the bubble as the season goes on.

    I expect Mayo to be added during the season and Norby to be traded. McDermott is pretty likely to pitch out of the bullpen at some point, too.

    Any predictions or guys I missed?

  15. It's far from a lock Jackson wins ROY even if he is as good as advertised. Evan Carter and Wyatt Langford are studs.

    DraftKings has the odds at 

    Holliday +250

    Carter +300

    Langford + 550

    (Kjerstad is listed as 9th at +2200)

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