The Orioles will still win a lot of games this year, probably around 89-90 wins and possibly a WC. But you can't expect to win 100+ games like last year, it will never happen. Last year they were involved in a lot of close games too, and had bullpen meltdowns too. But they had Bautista for most of the year and they were lucky in close games. It's not just the bullpen either, the offense plays well from behind or tied, but they go into sleep mode as soon as they get a lead.